Articles | Volume 18, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-919-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-919-2022
Research article
 | 
28 Apr 2022
Research article |  | 28 Apr 2022

Influence of warming and atmospheric circulation changes on multidecadal European flood variability

Stefan Brönnimann, Peter Stucki, Jörg Franke, Veronika Valler, Yuri Brugnara, Ralf Hand, Laura C. Slivinski, Gilbert P. Compo, Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, Michel Lang, and Bettina Schaefli

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Cited articles

Alexander, L. V. and Jones, P. D.: Updated precipitation series for the UK and discussion of recent extremes, Atmos. Sci. Lett., 1, 142–150, https://doi.org/10.1006/asle.2001.0025, 2000. 
Alfieri, L., Burek, P., Feyen, L., and Forzieri, G.: Global warming increases the frequency of river floods in Europe, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2247–2260, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2247-2015, 2015. 
Alfieri, L., Bisselink, B., Dottori, F., Naumann, G., de Roo, A., Salamon, P., Wyser, K., and Feyen, L.: Global projections of river flood risk in a warmer world, Earth's Future, 5, 171–182, 2017. 
Bard, A. and Lang, M.: Actualisation de l'hydrologie des crues du Rhône, Rapport Synthétique de diffusion des résultats, Lavaldens, France, https://www.plan-Rhone.fr/publications-131/actualisation-de-lhydrologie-des-crues-du-Rhone-1865.html?cHash=5628938abe287dc9ca390dad7373ae0e (data downloaded: 26 April 2020, last access: 27 April 2022), 2018. 
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Short summary
Floods in Europe vary on time scales of several decades. Flood-rich and flood-poor periods alternate. Recently floods have again become more frequent. Long time series of peak stream flow, precipitation, and atmospheric variables reveal that until around 1980, these changes were mostly due to changes in atmospheric circulation. However, in recent decades the role of increasing atmospheric moisture due to climate warming has become more important and is now the main driver of flood changes.
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