Articles | Volume 18, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-919-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-919-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
28 Apr 2022
Research article |
| 28 Apr 2022
| 28 Apr 2022
Influence of warming and atmospheric circulation changes on multidecadal European flood variability
Stefan Brönnimann
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Peter Stucki
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Jörg Franke
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Veronika Valler
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Yuri Brugnara
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Ralf Hand
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Laura C. Slivinski
CIRES, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, USA
NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado, USA
Gilbert P. Compo
CIRES, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, USA
NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado, USA
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh
CIRES, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, USA
NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado, USA
Michel Lang
INRAE, Lyon-Villeurbanne, France
Bettina Schaefli
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
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Cited
10 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessing the impact of very large volcanic eruptions on the risk of extreme climate events N. Freychet et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/acee9f
- Past hydroclimate extremes in Europe driven by Atlantic jet stream and recurrent weather patterns S. Brönnimann et al. 10.1038/s41561-025-01654-y
- Use of a national flood mark database to estimate flood hazard in the distant past B. Renard 10.1080/02626667.2023.2212165
- A GIS-Based Assessment of Flood Hazard through Track Records over the 1886–2022 Period in Greece N. Evelpidou et al. 10.3390/cli11110226
- Floods and droughts: a multivariate perspective M. Brunner 10.5194/hess-27-2479-2023
- Assessing downscaling methods to simulate hydrologically relevant weather scenarios from a global atmospheric reanalysis: case study of the upper Rhône River (1902–2009) C. Legrand et al. 10.5194/hess-28-2139-2024
- Storylines of extreme precipitation events and flood impacts in alpine and pre-alpine environments under various global warming levels L. Munz et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177791
- Characterization of periods of high and low hydrological activity in the Loire River, France, between the 14th and mid-19th centuries E. Mesmin et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.130932
- Shifts in flood generation processes exacerbate regional flood anomalies in Europe L. Tarasova et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-00714-8
- The observed evolution of sub‐daily to multi‐day heavy precipitation in Switzerland V. Bauer & S. Scherrer 10.1002/asl.1240
10 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessing the impact of very large volcanic eruptions on the risk of extreme climate events N. Freychet et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/acee9f
- Past hydroclimate extremes in Europe driven by Atlantic jet stream and recurrent weather patterns S. Brönnimann et al. 10.1038/s41561-025-01654-y
- Use of a national flood mark database to estimate flood hazard in the distant past B. Renard 10.1080/02626667.2023.2212165
- A GIS-Based Assessment of Flood Hazard through Track Records over the 1886–2022 Period in Greece N. Evelpidou et al. 10.3390/cli11110226
- Floods and droughts: a multivariate perspective M. Brunner 10.5194/hess-27-2479-2023
- Assessing downscaling methods to simulate hydrologically relevant weather scenarios from a global atmospheric reanalysis: case study of the upper Rhône River (1902–2009) C. Legrand et al. 10.5194/hess-28-2139-2024
- Storylines of extreme precipitation events and flood impacts in alpine and pre-alpine environments under various global warming levels L. Munz et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177791
- Characterization of periods of high and low hydrological activity in the Loire River, France, between the 14th and mid-19th centuries E. Mesmin et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.130932
- Shifts in flood generation processes exacerbate regional flood anomalies in Europe L. Tarasova et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-00714-8
- The observed evolution of sub‐daily to multi‐day heavy precipitation in Switzerland V. Bauer & S. Scherrer 10.1002/asl.1240
Latest update: 14 Mar 2025
Short summary
Floods in Europe vary on time scales of several decades. Flood-rich and flood-poor periods alternate. Recently floods have again become more frequent. Long time series of peak stream flow, precipitation, and atmospheric variables reveal that until around 1980, these changes were mostly due to changes in atmospheric circulation. However, in recent decades the role of increasing atmospheric moisture due to climate warming has become more important and is now the main driver of flood changes.
Floods in Europe vary on time scales of several decades. Flood-rich and flood-poor periods...
