Articles | Volume 18, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-919-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-919-2022
Research article
 | 
28 Apr 2022
Research article |  | 28 Apr 2022

Influence of warming and atmospheric circulation changes on multidecadal European flood variability

Stefan Brönnimann, Peter Stucki, Jörg Franke, Veronika Valler, Yuri Brugnara, Ralf Hand, Laura C. Slivinski, Gilbert P. Compo, Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, Michel Lang, and Bettina Schaefli

Data sets

Ensemble Kalman Fitting Paleo-Reanalysis Version 2 (EKF400_v2) J. Franke, V. Valler, Y. Brugnara, and S. Brönnimann https://doi.org/10.26050/WDCC/EKF400_v2.0

Construction of a 10-min-gridded precipitation data set for the Greater Alpine Region for 1800-2003 (http://www.zamg.ac.at/histalp/datasets.php) D. Efthymiadis, P. D. Jones, K. R. Briffa, I. Auer, R. Böhm, W. Schöner, C. Frei, and J. Schmidli https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JD006120

Actualisation de l'hydrologie des crues du Rhône A. Bard and M. Lang https://www.plan-Rhone.fr/publications-131/actualisation-de-lhydrologie-des-crues-du-Rhone-1865.html?cHash=5628938abe287dc9ca390dad7373ae0e

Towards a more reliable historical reanalysis: Improvements to the Twentieth Century Reanalysis system (https://portal.nersc.gov/project/20C_Reanalysis/) L. C. Slivinski, G. P. Compo, J. S. Whitaker, P. D. Sardeshmukh, B. S. Giese, C. McColl, R. Allan, X. Yin, R. Vose, H. Titchner, J. Kennedy, L. J. Spencer, L. Ashcroft, S. Brönnimann, M. Brunet, D. Camuffo, R. Cornes, T. A. Cram, R. Crouthamel, F. Domínguez‐Castro, J. E. Freeman, J. Gergis, E. Hawkins, P. D. Jones, S. Jourdain, A. Kaplan, H. Kubota, F. Le Blancq, T. Lee, A. Lorrey, J. Luterbacher, M. Maugeri, C. J. Mock, G. K. Moore, R. Przybylak, C. Pudmenzky, C. Reason, V. C. Slonosky, C. Smith, B. Tinz, B. Trewin, M. A. Valente, X. L. Wang, C. Wilkinson, K. Wood, and P. Wyszyński https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3598

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Short summary
Floods in Europe vary on time scales of several decades. Flood-rich and flood-poor periods alternate. Recently floods have again become more frequent. Long time series of peak stream flow, precipitation, and atmospheric variables reveal that until around 1980, these changes were mostly due to changes in atmospheric circulation. However, in recent decades the role of increasing atmospheric moisture due to climate warming has become more important and is now the main driver of flood changes.