Articles | Volume 13, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-13-1169-2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-13-1169-2017
Research article
 | 
19 Sep 2017
Research article |  | 19 Sep 2017

A complete representation of uncertainties in layer-counted paleoclimatic archives

Niklas Boers, Bedartha Goswami, and Michael Ghil

Related authors

Projections of Precipitation and Temperatures in Greenland and the Impact of Spatially Uniform Anomalies on the Evolution of the Ice Sheet
Nils Bochow, Anna Poltronieri, and Niklas Boers
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1597,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1597, 2024
Short summary
No critical slowing down in the Atlantic Overturning Circulation in historical CMIP6 simulations
Maya Ben-Yami, Lana Blaschke, Sebastian Bathiany, and Niklas Boers
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1106,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1106, 2024
Short summary
Statistical precursor signals for Dansgaard–Oeschger cooling transitions
Takahito Mitsui and Niklas Boers
Clim. Past, 20, 683–699, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-683-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-683-2024, 2024
Short summary
Synchronization phenomena observed in glacial–interglacial cycles simulated in an Earth system model of intermediate complexity
Takahito Mitsui, Matteo Willeit, and Niklas Boers
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 1277–1294, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1277-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1277-2023, 2023
Short summary
Tipping Point Detection and Early-Warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems
Vasilis Dakos, Chris A. Boulton, Josh E. Buxton, Jesse F. Abrams, David I. Armstrong McKay, Sebastian Bathiany, Lana Blaschke, Niklas Boers, Daniel Dylewsky, Carlos López-Martínez, Isobel Parry, Paul Ritchie, Bregje van der Bolt, Larissa van der Laan, Els Weinans, and Sonia Kéfi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1773,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1773, 2023
Short summary

Related subject area

Subject: Proxy Use-Development-Validation | Archive: Ice Cores | Timescale: Millenial/D-O
Statistical precursor signals for Dansgaard–Oeschger cooling transitions
Takahito Mitsui and Niklas Boers
Clim. Past, 20, 683–699, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-683-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-683-2024, 2024
Short summary
Continuous synchronization of the Greenland ice-core and U-Th timescales using probabilistic inversion
Francesco Muschitiello and Marco Antonio Aquino-Lopez
Clim. Past Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2023-65,https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2023-65, 2023
Revised manuscript accepted for CP
Short summary
Synchronizing ice-core and U ∕ Th timescales in the Last Glacial Maximum using Hulu Cave 14C and new 10Be measurements from Greenland and Antarctica
Giulia Sinnl, Florian Adolphi, Marcus Christl, Kees C. Welten, Thomas Woodruff, Marc Caffee, Anders Svensson, Raimund Muscheler, and Sune Olander Rasmussen
Clim. Past, 19, 1153–1175, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-1153-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-1153-2023, 2023
Short summary
Assessing the statistical uniqueness of the Younger Dryas: a robust multivariate analysis
Henry Nye and Alan Condron
Clim. Past, 17, 1409–1421, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-1409-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-1409-2021, 2021
Short summary
The SP19 chronology for the South Pole Ice Core – Part 2: gas chronology, Δage, and smoothing of atmospheric records
Jenna A. Epifanio, Edward J. Brook, Christo Buizert, Jon S. Edwards, Todd A. Sowers, Emma C. Kahle, Jeffrey P. Severinghaus, Eric J. Steig, Dominic A. Winski, Erich C. Osterberg, Tyler J. Fudge, Murat Aydin, Ekaterina Hood, Michael Kalk, Karl J. Kreutz, David G. Ferris, and Joshua A. Kennedy
Clim. Past, 16, 2431–2444, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-2431-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-2431-2020, 2020
Short summary

Cited articles

Alley, R. B., Shurman, C. A., Meese, D. A., Gow, A. J., Taylor, K. C., Cuffey, K. M., Fitzpatrick, J. J., Grootes, P. M., Zielinski, G. A., Ram, M., Spinelli, G., and Elder, B.: Visual-stratigrapic dating of the GISP2 ice core: Basis, reproducability, and application, J. Geophys. Res., 102, 26367–26381, 1997.
Andersen, K. K., Svensson, A., Johnsen, S. J., Rasmussen, S. O., Bigler, M., Rüthlisberger, R., Ruth, U., Siggaard-Andersen, M. L., Peder Steffensen, J., Dahl-Jensen, D., Vinther, B. M., and Clausen, H. B.: The Greenland Ice Core Chronology 2005, 15–42 ka. Part 1: constructing the time scale, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 25, 3246–3257, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.08.002, 2006.
Blaauw, M.: Methods and code for “classical” age-modelling of radiocarbon sequences, Quat. Geochronol., 5, 512–518, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quageo.2010.01.002, 2010.
Blaauw, M.: Out of tune: the dangers of aligning proxy archives, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 36, 38–49, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.11.012, 2012.
Download
Short summary
We introduce a Bayesian framework to represent layer-counted proxy records as probability distributions on error-free time axes, accounting for both proxy and dating errors. Our method is applied to NGRIP δ18O data, revealing that the cumulative dating errors lead to substantial uncertainties for the older parts of the record. Applying our method to the widely used radiocarbon comparison curve derived from varved sediments of Lake Suigetsu provides the complete uncertainties of this curve.