Articles | Volume 16, issue 5
Clim. Past, 16, 1715–1735, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1715-2020

Special issue: Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project phase 4 (PMIP4)...

Clim. Past, 16, 1715–1735, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1715-2020

Research article 10 Sep 2020

Research article | 10 Sep 2020

A Bayesian framework for emergent constraints: case studies of climate sensitivity with PMIP

Martin Renoult et al.

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AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (23 Apr 2020) by Julien Emile-Geay
AR by Martin Renoult on behalf of the Authors (25 May 2020)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (24 Jun 2020) by Julien Emile-Geay
AR by Martin Renoult on behalf of the Authors (04 Jul 2020)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (27 Jul 2020) by Julien Emile-Geay
AR by Martin Renoult on behalf of the Authors (04 Aug 2020)  Author's response    Manuscript
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Short summary
Interest in past climates as sources of information for the climate system has grown in recent years. In particular, studies of the warm mid-Pliocene and cold Last Glacial Maximum showed relationships between the tropical surface temperature of the Earth and its sensitivity to an abrupt doubling of atmospheric CO2. In this study, we develop a new and promising statistical method and obtain similar results as previously observed, wherein the sensitivity does not seem to exceed extreme values.