Articles | Volume 15, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-15-1303-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-15-1303-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
10 Jul 2019
Research article |
| 10 Jul 2019
| 10 Jul 2019
The weather behind words – new methodologies for integrated hydrometeorological reconstruction through documentary sources
Salvador Gil-Guirado
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Interuniversity Institute of Geography, University of Alicante,
P.O. Box 99, 03080 Alicante, Spain
Department of Geography, University of Murcia, Campus de la Merced,
30001 Murcia, Spain
Juan José Gómez-Navarro
Department of Physics, University of Murcia, Campus de Espinardo
(Faculty of Chemistry), 30100 Murcia, Spain
Juan Pedro Montávez
Department of Physics, University of Murcia, Campus de Espinardo
(Faculty of Chemistry), 30100 Murcia, Spain
Related authors
Josep Barriendos, María Hernández, Salvador Gil-Guirado, Jorge Olcina Cantos, and Mariano Barriendos
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-832, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-832, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Current uncertainty caused by climate change justifies the analysis of the most severe and less frequent droughts. In the Northeast of the Iberian Peninsula these events have direct repercussions on water resources and management. The study of these episodes using historical documentary sources and early instrumental records allows to identify episodes resembling the current ones. This knowledge allows better management of water resources in similar situations that may occur in future scenarios.
Josep Barriendos, María Hernández, Salvador Gil-Guirado, Jorge Olcina Cantos, and Mariano Barriendos
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2177, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2177, 2023
Preprint archived
Short summary
Short summary
An analysis of severe droughts in the Mediterranean region is justified by the uncertainty produced by climate change in this type of natural hazard, which clearly has implications on water resources. The study of severe episodes from historical documentary sources and old instrumental records makes it possible to identify very severe episodes such as the megadrought of 1812–1825. This knowledge allows better management of water resources in similar situations that may occur in future scenarios.
Salvador Gil-Guirado, Alfredo Pérez-Morales, and Francisco Lopez-Martinez
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 1955–1971, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-1955-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-1955-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
In this study the SMC-Flood database for the municipalities of the Mediterranean coast of mainland Spain is presented. This database has enabled the reconstruction of 3008 cases of flooding on a municipal scale between 1960 and 2015. The data analysis reveals a growing trend in the frequency and area affected by flood cases. The main novelty lies in the fact that we have detected a clear latitudinal gradient of growing intensity and severity of flood cases with a north–south direction.
Josep Barriendos, María Hernández, Salvador Gil-Guirado, Jorge Olcina Cantos, and Mariano Barriendos
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-832, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-832, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Current uncertainty caused by climate change justifies the analysis of the most severe and less frequent droughts. In the Northeast of the Iberian Peninsula these events have direct repercussions on water resources and management. The study of these episodes using historical documentary sources and early instrumental records allows to identify episodes resembling the current ones. This knowledge allows better management of water resources in similar situations that may occur in future scenarios.
Eloisa Raluy-López, Juan Pedro Montávez, and Pedro Jiménez-Guerrero
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 1469–1495, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-1469-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-1469-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) represent a significant source of water but are also related to extreme precipitation events. Here, we present a new regional-scale AR identification algorithm and apply it to three simulations that include aerosol interactions at different levels. The results show that aerosols modify the intensity and trajectory of ARs and redistribute the AR-related precipitation. Thus, the correct inclusion of aerosol effects is important in the simulation of AR behavior.
Josep Barriendos, María Hernández, Salvador Gil-Guirado, Jorge Olcina Cantos, and Mariano Barriendos
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2177, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2177, 2023
Preprint archived
Short summary
Short summary
An analysis of severe droughts in the Mediterranean region is justified by the uncertainty produced by climate change in this type of natural hazard, which clearly has implications on water resources. The study of severe episodes from historical documentary sources and old instrumental records makes it possible to identify very severe episodes such as the megadrought of 1812–1825. This knowledge allows better management of water resources in similar situations that may occur in future scenarios.
Amar Halifa-Marín, Miguel A. Torres-Vázquez, Enrique Pravia-Sarabia, Marc Lemus-Canovas, Pedro Jiménez-Guerrero, and Juan Pedro Montávez
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 4251–4263, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-4251-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-4251-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Near-natural Iberian water resources have suddenly decreased since the 1980s. These declines have been promoted by the weakening (enhancement) of wintertime precipitation (the NAOi) in the most humid areas, whereas afforestation and drought intensification have played a crucial role in semi-arid areas. Future water management would benefit from greater knowledge of North Atlantic climate variability and reforestation/afforestation processes in semi-arid catchments.
Enrique Pravia-Sarabia, Juan José Gómez-Navarro, Pedro Jiménez-Guerrero, and Juan Pedro Montávez
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 13353–13368, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-13353-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-13353-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Given the hazardous nature of medicanes, studies focused on understanding and quantifying the processes governing their formation have become paramount for present and future disaster risk reduction. Therefore, enhancing the modeling and forecasting capabilities of such events is of crucial importance. In this sense, the authors find that the microphysical processes, and specifically the wind--sea salt aerosol feedback, play a key role in their development and thus should not be neglected.
Aleix Cortina-Guerra, Juan José Gomez-Navarro, Belen Martrat, Juan Pedro Montávez, Alessandro Incarbona, Joan O. Grimalt, Marie-Alexandrine Sicre, and P. Graham Mortyn
Clim. Past, 17, 1523–1532, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-1523-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-1523-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
During late 20th century a singular Mediterranean circulation episode called the Eastern Mediterranean Transient (EMT) event occurred. It involved changes on the seawater physical and biogeochemical properties, which can impact areas broadly. Here, using paleosimulations for the last 1000 years we found that the East Atlantic/Western Russian atmospheric mode was the main driver of the EMT-type events in the past, and enhancement of this mode was coetaneous with low solar insolation.
Sonia Jerez, Laura Palacios-Peña, Claudia Gutiérrez, Pedro Jiménez-Guerrero, Jose María López-Romero, Enrique Pravia-Sarabia, and Juan Pedro Montávez
Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 1533–1551, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-1533-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-1533-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
This research explores the role of aerosols when modeling surface solar radiation at regional scales (over Europe). A set of model experiments was performed with and without dynamical modeling of atmospheric aerosols and their direct and indirect effects on radiation. Results showed significant differences in the simulated solar radiation, mainly driven by the aerosol impact on cloudiness, which calls for caution when interpreting model experiments that do not include aerosols.
José María López-Romero, Juan Pedro Montávez, Sonia Jerez, Raquel Lorente-Plazas, Laura Palacios-Peña, and Pedro Jiménez-Guerrero
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 415–430, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-415-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-415-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
The effect of aerosols on regional climate simulations presents large uncertainties due to their complex and non-linear interactions with a wide variety of factors, including aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions. We show how these interactions are strongly conditioned by the meteorological situation and the type of aerosol. While natural aerosols tend to increase precipitation in some areas, anthropogenic aerosols decrease the number of rainy days in some pollutant regions.
Enrique Pravia-Sarabia, Juan José Gómez-Navarro, Pedro Jiménez-Guerrero, and Juan Pedro Montávez
Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 6051–6075, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-6051-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-6051-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
This work shows TITAM, a time-independent tracking algorithm specifically suited for Mediterranean tropical-like cyclones, often referred to as medicanes. The methodology developed has the capacity to track multiple simultaneous cyclones, the ability to track a medicane in the presence of intense extratropical lows, and the potential to separate the medicane from other similar structures by handling the intermittent loss of structure and managing the tilting of the axis.
Salvador Gil-Guirado, Alfredo Pérez-Morales, and Francisco Lopez-Martinez
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 1955–1971, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-1955-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-1955-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
In this study the SMC-Flood database for the municipalities of the Mediterranean coast of mainland Spain is presented. This database has enabled the reconstruction of 3008 cases of flooding on a municipal scale between 1960 and 2015. The data analysis reveals a growing trend in the frequency and area affected by flood cases. The main novelty lies in the fact that we have detected a clear latitudinal gradient of growing intensity and severity of flood cases with a north–south direction.
Juan José Gómez-Navarro, Christoph C. Raible, Denica Bozhinova, Olivia Martius, Juan Andrés García Valero, and Juan Pedro Montávez
Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 2231–2247, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-2231-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-2231-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
We carry out and compare two high-resolution simulations of the Alpine region in the period 1979–2005. We aim to improve the understanding of the local mechanisms leading to extreme events in this complex region. We compare both simulations to precipitation observations to assess the model performance, and attribute major biases to either model or boundary conditions. Further, we develop a new bias correction technique to remove systematic errors in simulated precipitation for impact studies.
Laura Palacios-Peña, Rocío Baró, Alexander Baklanov, Alessandra Balzarini, Dominik Brunner, Renate Forkel, Marcus Hirtl, Luka Honzak, José María López-Romero, Juan Pedro Montávez, Juan Luis Pérez, Guido Pirovano, Roberto San José, Wolfram Schröder, Johannes Werhahn, Ralf Wolke, Rahela Žabkar, and Pedro Jiménez-Guerrero
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 5021–5043, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-5021-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-5021-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
Atmospheric aerosols modify the radiative budget of the Earth, and it is therefore mandatory to have an accurate representation of their optical properties for understanding their climatic role. This work therefore evaluates the skill in the representation of optical properties by different remote-sensing sensors and regional online coupled chemistry–climate models over Europe.
Martina Messmer, Juan José Gómez-Navarro, and Christoph C. Raible
Earth Syst. Dynam., 8, 477–493, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-477-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-477-2017, 2017
Short summary
Short summary
Low-pressure systems of type Vb may trigger heavy rainfall events over central Europe. This study aims at analysing the relative role of their moisture sources. For this, a set of sensitivity experiments encompassing changes in soil moisture and Atlantic Ocean and Mediterranean Sea SSTs are carried out with WRF. The latter moisture source stands out as the most relevant one. Furthermore, the regions most affected by Vb events in the future might be shifted from the Alps to the Balkan Peninsula.
Juan José Gómez-Navarro, Eduardo Zorita, Christoph C. Raible, and Raphael Neukom
Clim. Past, 13, 629–648, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-13-629-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-13-629-2017, 2017
Short summary
Short summary
This contribution aims at assessing to what extent the analogue method, a classic technique used in other branches of meteorology and climatology, can be used to perform gridded reconstructions of annual temperature based on the limited information from available but un-calibrated proxies spread across different locations of the world. We conclude that it is indeed possible, albeit with certain limitations that render the method comparable to more classic techniques.
Svenja E. Bierstedt, Birgit Hünicke, Eduardo Zorita, Sebastian Wagner, and Juan José Gómez-Navarro
Clim. Past, 12, 317–338, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-317-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-317-2016, 2016
J. J. Gómez-Navarro, C. C. Raible, and S. Dierer
Geosci. Model Dev., 8, 3349–3363, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-3349-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-3349-2015, 2015
J. A. García-Valero, J. P. Montávez, J. J. Gómez-Navarro, and P. Jiménez-Guerrero
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 2143–2159, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2143-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2143-2015, 2015
Short summary
Short summary
This paper presents a study of extremely hot days (EHDs) in Spain and their connection with atmospheric dynamics. In addition, this work proposes a method that allows the detection of trends in the frequency of extreme events and their attribution to changes in atmospheric dynamics characterized through circulation types (CTs). The main CT-driven EHDs are identified. The increase in the EHD appearance is linked to the increase of the extreme CTs; however this only partially explains the trends.
J. J. Gómez-Navarro, O. Bothe, S. Wagner, E. Zorita, J. P. Werner, J. Luterbacher, C. C. Raible, and J. P Montávez
Clim. Past, 11, 1077–1095, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-1077-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-1077-2015, 2015
J. A. Santos, M. F. Carneiro, A. Correia, M. J. Alcoforado, E. Zorita, and J. J. Gómez-Navarro
Clim. Past, 11, 825–834, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-825-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-825-2015, 2015
S. Jerez, P. Jimenez-Guerrero, J. P. Montávez, and R. M. Trigo
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 11195–11207, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-11195-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-11195-2013, 2013
J. J. Gómez-Navarro, J. P. Montávez, S. Wagner, and E. Zorita
Clim. Past, 9, 1667–1682, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-1667-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-1667-2013, 2013
Related subject area
Subject: Proxy Use-Development-Validation | Archive: Historical Records | Timescale: Centennial-Decadal
Multiproxy tree ring reconstruction of glacier mass balance: insights from Pinus cembra trees growing near Silvretta Glacier (Swiss Alps)
Effects of weather and climate on fluctuations of grain prices in southwestern Bohemia, 1725–1824 CE
The Spatial-Temporal Evolution of the Chongzhen Drought (1627–1644) in China and its Impact on Famine
Climate and disease in historical urban space: evidence from 19th century Poznań, Poland
Climatic signatures in early modern European grain harvest yields
Pre-industrial temperature variability on the Swiss Plateau derived from the instrumental daily series of Bern and Zurich
Is it possible to estimate aerosol optical depth from historic colour paintings?
Meteorological and climatological triggers of notable past and present bark beetle outbreaks in the Czech Republic
Quantifying and reducing researcher subjectivity in the generation of climate indices from documentary sources
Documentary-based climate reconstructions in the Czech Lands 1501–2020 CE and their European context
Controlling water infrastructure and codifying water knowledge: institutional responses to severe drought in Barcelona (1620–1650)
Reassessing long-term drought risk and societal impacts in Shenyang, Liaoning Province, north-east China (1200–2015)
Climate records in ancient Chinese diaries and their application in historical climate reconstruction – a case study of Yunshan Diary
Reconstructions of droughts in Germany since 1500 – combining hermeneutic information and instrumental records in historical and modern perspectives
A survey of the impact of summer droughts in southern and eastern England, 1200–1700
A 424-year tree-ring-based Palmer Drought Severity Index reconstruction of Cedrus deodara D. Don from the Hindu Kush range of Pakistan: linkages to ocean oscillations
Droughts in the area of Poland in recent centuries in the light of multi-proxy data
Rogation ceremonies: a key to understanding past drought variability in northeastern Spain since 1650
The longest homogeneous series of grape harvest dates, Beaune 1354–2018, and its significance for the understanding of past and present climate
Extreme droughts and human responses to them: the Czech Lands in the pre-instrumental period
Documentary data and the study of past droughts: a global state of the art
A 414-year tree-ring-based April–July minimum temperature reconstruction and its implications for the extreme climate events, northeast China
Streamflow variability over the 1881–2011 period in northern Québec: comparison of hydrological reconstructions based on tree rings and geopotential height field reanalysis
Temperature changes derived from phenological and natural evidence in South Central China from 1850 to 2008
Droughts in the Czech Lands, 1090–2012 AD
Temperature changes over the past 2000 yr in China and comparison with the Northern Hemisphere
Multi-periodic climate dynamics: spectral analysis of long-term instrumental and proxy temperature records
An open-access database of grape harvest dates for climate research: data description and quality assessment
Winter temperature variations over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River since 1736 AD
Assessing extreme droughts in Spain during 1750–1850 from rogation ceremonies
Continental atmospheric circulation over Europe during the Little Ice Age inferred from grape harvest dates
Hydrometeorological extremes derived from taxation records for south-eastern Moravia, Czech Republic, 1751–1900 AD
A shift in the spatial pattern of Iberian droughts during the 17th century
Jérôme Lopez-Saez, Christophe Corona, Lenka Slamova, Matthias Huss, Valérie Daux, Kurt Nicolussi, and Markus Stoffel
Clim. Past, 20, 1251–1267, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1251-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1251-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Glaciers in the European Alps have been retreating since the 1850s. Monitoring glacier mass balance is vital for understanding global changes, but only a few glaciers have long-term data. This study aims to reconstruct the mass balance of the Silvretta Glacier in the Swiss Alps using stable isotopes and tree ring proxies. Results indicate increased glacier mass until the 19th century, followed by a sharp decline after the Little Ice Age with accelerated losses due to anthropogenic warming.
Rudolf Brázdil, Jan Lhoták, Kateřina Chromá, and Petr Dobrovolný
Clim. Past, 20, 1017–1037, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1017-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1017-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The newly developed series of wheat, rye, barley, and oats prices from Sušice (southwestern Bohemia) for the period 1725–1824 CE is used to demonstrate effects of weather, climate, socio-economic, and societal factors on their fluctuations, with particular attention paid to years with extremely high prices. Cold spring temperatures and wet conditions from winter to summer were reflected in very high grain prices.
Siying Chen, Yun Su, Xudong Chen, and Liang Emlyn Yang
Clim. Past Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2024-11, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2024-11, 2024
Revised manuscript accepted for CP
Short summary
Short summary
This study used 1,802 drought and 1,977 famine records from historical documents to reconstruct the spatial-temporal progression of the Chongzhen Drought (1627–1644) in China and its impact on famine. The advances: reconstructing the annual spatial patterns and regional series of drought; demonstrating drought as the primary factor triggering famine, contributing 2/3; finding a continuity of 2–3 years in drought’s impacts on famine; identifying the transmission pathway of the drought's impacts.
Grażyna Liczbińska, Jörg Peter Vögele, and Marek Brabec
Clim. Past, 20, 137–150, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-137-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-137-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This study examines the relationship between temperature and precipitation as explanatory variables for the probability of death due to waterborne and airborne diseases in historical urban space. The lagged effects of temperature and precipitation on waterborne and airborne diseases were significant, except for the smooth lagged average monthly temperature effect for the latter. There was also significant spatial heterogeneity in the prevalence of deaths due to waterborne and airborne diseases.
Fredrik Charpentier Ljungqvist, Bo Christiansen, Jan Esper, Heli Huhtamaa, Lotta Leijonhufvud, Christian Pfister, Andrea Seim, Martin Karl Skoglund, and Peter Thejll
Clim. Past, 19, 2463–2491, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-2463-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-2463-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
We study the climate signal in long harvest series from across Europe between the 16th and 18th centuries. The climate–harvest yield relationship is found to be relatively weak but regionally consistent and similar in strength and sign to modern climate–harvest yield relationships. The strongest climate–harvest yield patterns are a significant summer soil moisture signal in Sweden, a winter temperature and precipitation signal in Switzerland, and spring temperature signals in Spain.
Yuri Brugnara, Chantal Hari, Lucas Pfister, Veronika Valler, and Stefan Brönnimann
Clim. Past, 18, 2357–2379, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-2357-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-2357-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
We digitized dozens of weather journals containing temperature measurements from in and around Bern and Zurich. They cover over a century before the creation of a national weather service in Switzerland. With these data we could create daily temperature series for the two cities that span the last 265 years. We found that the pre-industrial climate on the Swiss Plateau was colder than suggested by previously available instrumental data sets and about 2.5 °C colder than the present-day climate.
Christian von Savigny, Anna Lange, Anne Hemkendreis, Christoph G. Hoffmann, and Alexei Rozanov
Clim. Past, 18, 2345–2356, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-2345-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-2345-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
This study investigates the possibility of inferring information on aerosol optical depth from photographs of historic paintings. The idea – which has been applied in previous studies – is very interesting because it would provide an archive of the atmospheric aerosol loading covering many centuries. We show that twilight colours depend not only on the aerosol optical thickness, but also on several other parameters, making a quantitative estimate of aerosol optical depth very difficult.
Rudolf Brázdil, Petr Zahradník, Péter Szabó, Kateřina Chromá, Petr Dobrovolný, Lukáš Dolák, Miroslav Trnka, Jan Řehoř, and Silvie Suchánková
Clim. Past, 18, 2155–2180, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-2155-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-2155-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Bark beetle outbreaks are important disturbances to Norway spruce forests. Their meteorological and climatological triggers are analysed for the main oubreaks over the territory of the Czech Republic based on newly created series of such outbreaks, covering the 1781–2021 CE period. The paper demonstrates the shift from windstorms as the main meteorological triggers of past outbreaks to effects of high temperatures and droughts together with windstorms in past decades.
George C. D. Adamson, David J. Nash, and Stefan W. Grab
Clim. Past, 18, 1071–1081, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-1071-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-1071-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Descriptions of climate held in archives are a valuable source of past climate variability, but there is a large potential for error in assigning quantitative indices (e.g. −2, v. dry to +2, v. wet) to descriptive data. This is the first study to examine this uncertainty. We gave the same dataset to 71 postgraduate students and 6 professional scientists, findings that error can be minimized by taking an average of indices developed by eight postgraduates and only two professional climatologists.
Rudolf Brázdil, Petr Dobrovolný, Jiří Mikšovský, Petr Pišoft, Miroslav Trnka, Martin Možný, and Jan Balek
Clim. Past, 18, 935–959, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-935-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-935-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
The paper deals with 520-year series (1501–2020 CE) of temperature, precipitation, and four drought indices reconstructed from documentary evidence and instrumental observations for the Czech Lands. Basic features of their fluctuations, long-term trends, and periodicities as well as attribution to changes in external forcings and climate variability modes are analysed. Representativeness of Czech reconstructions at European scale is evaluated. The paper shows extreme character of past decades.
Santiago Gorostiza, Maria Antònia Martí Escayol, and Mariano Barriendos
Clim. Past, 17, 913–927, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-913-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-913-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
How did cities respond to drought during the 17th century? This article studies the strategies followed by the city government of Barcelona during the severely dry period from 1620 to 1650. Beyond the efforts to expand urban water supply sources and to improve the maintenance of the system, the city government decided to compile knowledge about water infrastructure into a book and to restrict access to it. This management strategy aimed to increase the city's control over water.
LingYun Tang, Neil Macdonald, Heather Sangster, Richard Chiverrell, and Rachel Gaulton
Clim. Past, 16, 1917–1935, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1917-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1917-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
A historical drought series (since 1200 CE) for Shenyang, NE China, shows 20th century droughts comparable in magnitude to recent severe droughts. Drought resilience driven by early 20th century societal/cultural changes reduced loss of life compared with the 1887 and 1891 droughts. A longer temporal analysis from integrated precipitation and historical records shows an earlier onset to droughts. Regional standardised precipitation indices could provide early warnings for drought development.
Siying Chen, Yun Su, Xiuqi Fang, and Jia He
Clim. Past, 16, 1873–1887, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1873-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1873-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Private diaries are important sources of historical data for research on climate change. Through a case study of Yunshan Diary, authored by Bi Guo of the Yuan dynasty of China, this article demonstrates how to delve into climate information in ancient diaries, mainly including species distribution records, phenological records and daily weather descriptions. This article considers how to use these records to reconstruct climate change and extreme climatic events on various timescales.
Rüdiger Glaser and Michael Kahle
Clim. Past, 16, 1207–1222, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1207-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1207-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
A new study on droughts in Germany since 1500 reveals the long-term trend of single extreme events, as well as drier periods. Extreme droughts appeared in 1540, 1590, 1615, 1706, 1834, 1893, 1921, 1949 and 2018. Like today, droughts had manifold impacts such as harvest failures, water deficits, low water levels and forest fires. This had different societal consequences ranging from famine, disease, rising prices, migration and riots leading to subsidies and discussions on climate change.
Kathleen Pribyl
Clim. Past, 16, 1027–1041, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1027-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1027-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Droughts pose a climatic hazard that can have a profound impacts on past societies. Using documentary sources, this paper studies the occurrence and impacts of spring–summer droughts in pre-industrial England from 1200 to 1700. The impacts most relevant to human livelihood, including the agricultural and pastoral sectors of agrarian production, and public health are evaluated.
Sarir Ahmad, Liangjun Zhu, Sumaira Yasmeen, Yuandong Zhang, Zongshan Li, Sami Ullah, Shijie Han, and Xiaochun Wang
Clim. Past, 16, 783–798, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-783-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-783-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
This study provides the opportunity to extend climatic records to preindustrial periods in northern Pakistan. The reconstructed March–August PDSIs for the past 424 years, going back to 1593 CE, enable scientists to know how these areas were prone to climatic extremes in the past. The instrumental data are limited in Pakistan; however, the Cedrus deodara tree that preserves physical characteristics of past climatic variabilities can provide insight into the trend of climatic changes.
Rajmund Przybylak, Piotr Oliński, Marcin Koprowski, Janusz Filipiak, Aleksandra Pospieszyńska, Waldemar Chorążyczewski, Radosław Puchałka, and Henryk Paweł Dąbrowski
Clim. Past, 16, 627–661, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-627-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-627-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
The paper presents the main features of droughts in Poland in the period 996–2015 based on proxy data (documentary and dendrochronological) and instrumental measurements of precipitation. More than 100 droughts were found in documentary sources from the mid-15th century to the end of the 18th century with a maximum in the second halves of the 17th and, particularly, the 18th century. The long-term frequency of droughts in Poland has been stable for the last two or three centuries.
Ernesto Tejedor, Martín de Luis, Mariano Barriendos, José María Cuadrat, Jürg Luterbacher, and Miguel Ángel Saz
Clim. Past, 15, 1647–1664, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-15-1647-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-15-1647-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
We developed a new dataset of historical documents by compiling records (rogation ceremonies) from 13 cities in the northeast of the Iberian Peninsula (IP). These records were transformed into quantitative continuous data to develop drought indices (DIs). We regionalized them by creating three DIs (Ebro Valle, Mediterranean, and Mountain), which cover the period from 1650 to 1899 CE. We identified extreme drought years and periods which help to understand climate variability in the IP.
Thomas Labbé, Christian Pfister, Stefan Brönnimann, Daniel Rousseau, Jörg Franke, and Benjamin Bois
Clim. Past, 15, 1485–1501, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-15-1485-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-15-1485-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
In this paper we present the longest grape harvest date (GHD) record reconstructed to date, i.e. Beaune (France, Burgundy) 1354–2018. Drawing on unedited archive material, the series is validated using the long Paris temperature series that goes back to 1658 and was used to assess April-to-July temperatures from 1354 to 2018. The distribution of extremely early GHD is uneven over the 664-year-long period of the series and mirrors the rapid global warming from 1988 to 2018.
Rudolf Brázdil, Petr Dobrovolný, Miroslav Trnka, Ladislava Řezníčková, Lukáš Dolák, and Oldřich Kotyza
Clim. Past, 15, 1–24, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-15-1-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-15-1-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
The paper analyses extreme droughts of the pre-instrumental period (1501–1803) over the territory of the recent Czech Republic. In total, 16 droughts were selected for spring, summer and autumn each and 14 droughts for summer half-year (Apr–Sep). They are characterized by very low values of drought indices, high temperatures, low precipitation and by the influence of high-pressure situations. Selected extreme droughts are described in more detail. Effect of droughts on grain prices are studied.
Rudolf Brázdil, Andrea Kiss, Jürg Luterbacher, David J. Nash, and Ladislava Řezníčková
Clim. Past, 14, 1915–1960, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-1915-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-1915-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
The paper presents a worldwide state of the art of droughts fluctuations based on documentary data. It gives an overview of achievements related to different kinds of documentary evidence with their examples and an overview of papers presenting long-term drought chronologies over the individual continents, analysis of the most outstanding drought events, the influence of external forcing and large-scale climate drivers, and human impacts and responses. It recommends future research directions.
Shanna Lyu, Zongshan Li, Yuandong Zhang, and Xiaochun Wang
Clim. Past, 12, 1879–1888, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-1879-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-1879-2016, 2016
Short summary
Short summary
This study presents a 414-year growing season minimum temperature reconstruction based on Korean pine tree-ring series at Laobai Mountain, northeast China. It developed a more than 400-year climate record in this area for the first time. This reconstruction showed six cold periods, seven warm periods, and natural disaster records of extreme climate events.
Pierre Brigode, François Brissette, Antoine Nicault, Luc Perreault, Anna Kuentz, Thibault Mathevet, and Joël Gailhard
Clim. Past, 12, 1785–1804, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-1785-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-1785-2016, 2016
Short summary
Short summary
In this paper, we apply a new hydro-climatic reconstruction method on the Caniapiscau Reservoir (Canada), compare the obtained streamflow time series against time series derived from dendrohydrology by other authors on the same catchment, and study the natural streamflow variability over the 1881–2011 period. This new reconstruction is based on a historical reanalysis of global geopotential height fields and aims to produce daily streamflow time series (using a rainfall–runoff model).
J. Zheng, Z. Hua, Y. Liu, and Z. Hao
Clim. Past, 11, 1553–1561, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-1553-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-1553-2015, 2015
Short summary
Short summary
In this paper we reconstruct the annual temperature anomalies in South Central China from 1850 to 2008, using phenodates of plants, snowfall days, and five tree-ring width chronologies. It is found that rapid warming has occurred since the 1990s, with an abrupt change around 1997, leading to unprecedented variability in warming; a cold interval dominated the 1860s, 1890s, and 1950s; warm decades occurred around 1850, 1870, and 1960; and the warmest decades were the 1990s–2000s.
R. Brázdil, P. Dobrovolný, M. Trnka, O. Kotyza, L. Řezníčková, H. Valášek, P. Zahradníček, and P. Štěpánek
Clim. Past, 9, 1985–2002, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-1985-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-1985-2013, 2013
Q. Ge, Z. Hao, J. Zheng, and X. Shao
Clim. Past, 9, 1153–1160, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-1153-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-1153-2013, 2013
H.-J. Lüdecke, A. Hempelmann, and C. O. Weiss
Clim. Past, 9, 447–452, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-447-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-447-2013, 2013
V. Daux, I. Garcia de Cortazar-Atauri, P. Yiou, I. Chuine, E. Garnier, E. Le Roy Ladurie, O. Mestre, and J. Tardaguila
Clim. Past, 8, 1403–1418, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-8-1403-2012, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-8-1403-2012, 2012
Z.-X. Hao, J.-Y. Zheng, Q.-S. Ge, and W.-C. Wang
Clim. Past, 8, 1023–1030, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-8-1023-2012, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-8-1023-2012, 2012
F. Domínguez-Castro, P. Ribera, R. García-Herrera, J. M. Vaquero, M. Barriendos, J. M. Cuadrat, and J. M. Moreno
Clim. Past, 8, 705–722, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-8-705-2012, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-8-705-2012, 2012
P. Yiou, I. García de Cortázar-Atauri, I. Chuine, V. Daux, E. Garnier, N. Viovy, C. van Leeuwen, A. K. Parker, and J.-M. Boursiquot
Clim. Past, 8, 577–588, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-8-577-2012, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-8-577-2012, 2012
R. Brázdil, K. Chromá, H. Valášek, and L. Dolák
Clim. Past, 8, 467–481, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-8-467-2012, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-8-467-2012, 2012
F. Domínguez-Castro, R. García-Herrera, P. Ribera, and M. Barriendos
Clim. Past, 6, 553–563, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-6-553-2010, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-6-553-2010, 2010
Cited articles
Addinsoft, S. A.: XLSTAT software, available at: http://www.xlstat.com/es/, last access: 17 September 2018.
Alberola Romá, A.: La percepción de la catástrofe: sequía e
inundaciones en tierras valencianas durante la primera mitad del siglo
XVIII, Revista de historia moderna, 15, 257–269, 1996.
Alberola Romá, A.: Clima, desastre y religiosidad en los dietaristas
valencianos de los siglos XVI y XVII, Obradoiro de historia moderna, 25, 41–66, 2016.
Alberola Romá, A., Bueno Vergara, E., and García Torres, A.:
Sequía y rogativas en tierras meridionales valencianas durante el siglo
XVIII, in: Clima, desastres y convulsiones sociales en España e Hispanoamérica, siglos XVII–XX, edited by: Arrioja Diaz, L. A. and Alberola Roma, A.,
Publicaciones de la Universidad de Alicante, Zamora de Michoacán-Alicante, 123–155, 2016.
Alcoforado, M. J., de Fátima Nunes, M., Garcia, J. C., and Taborda, J.
P.: Temperature and precipitation reconstruction in southern Portugal during
the late Maunder Minimum (AD 1675–1715), Holocene, 10, 333–340,
https://doi.org/10.1191/095968300674442959, 2000.
Alexandersson, H.: A homogeneity test applied to precipitation data,
J. Climatol., 6, 661–675, 1986.
Bardin, L.: Análisis de Contenido, Akal, Madrid, 1986.
Bar-Matthews, M., Ayalon, A., Matthews, A., Sass, E., and Halicz, L.: Carbon
and oxygen isotope study of the active water-carbonate system in a karstic
Mediterranean cave: Implications for paleoclimate research in semiarid
regions, Geochim. Cosmochim. Ac., 60, 337–347, https://doi.org/10.1016/0016-7037(95)00395-9, 1996.
Baron, W. R.: The reconstruction of eighteenth century temperature records through the use of content analysis, Climatic Change, 4, 385–398, https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00142537, 1982.
Barreiro-Lostres, F., Moreno, A., Giralt, S., Caballero, M., and
Valero-Garcés, B.: Climate, palaeohydrology and land use change in the
Central Iberian Range over the last 6 kyr: The La Parra Lake record,
Holocene, 24, 1177–1192, https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683614540960, 2014.
Barriendos, M.: El clima histórico de Catalunya (siglos XIV–XIX). Fuentes, métodos y primeros resultados, Revista de Geografía, 30–31, 69–96, 1996–1997.
Barriendos, M.: Climatic variations in the Iberian peninsula during the late Maunder minimum (AD 1675–1715): an analysis of data from rogation ceremonies, Holocene, 7, 105–111, 1997.
Barriendos, M.: La climatología histórica en el marco geográfico de la antigua Monarquía Hispana, Scripta Nova, 3, 32–54, 1999.
Barriendos, B. and Martin-Vide, J.: Secular climatic oscillations
as indicated by catastrophic floods in the Spanish Mediterranean coastal
area (14th–19th centuries), Climatic Change, 38, 473–491, 1998.
Barriendos, M. and Llasat, M. C.: El caso de la anomalía “Maldá”
en la cuenca mediterránea occidental (1760–1800). Un ejemplo de fuerte
variabilidad climática, in: Desastre natural, vida cotidiana y religiosidad popular en la España moderna y contemporánea, Universitat d'Alacant/Universidad de Alicante, 253–286, 2009.
Benito, G., Rico, M., Sanchez-Moya, Y., Sopena, A., Thorndycraft, V. R., and Barriendos, M.: The impact of late Holocene climatic variability and land use change on the flood hydrology of the Guadalentín River, southeast Spain, Global Planet. Change, 70, 53–63, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2009.11.007, 2010.
Brázdil, R., Pfister, C., Wanner, H., Von Storch, H., and Luterbacher,
J.: Historical climatology in Europe–the state of the art, Climatic Change, 70, 363–430,
2005.
Brázdil, R., Dobrovolny, P., Luterbacher, J., Moberg, A., Pfister, C.,
Wheeler, D., and Zorita, E.: European climate of the past 500 years: new
challenges for historical climatology, Climatic Change, 101, 7-40, 2010.
Brázdil, R., Dobrovolný, P., Trnka, M., Řezníčková, L., Dolák, L., and Kotyza, O.:
Extreme droughts and human responses to them: the Czech Lands in the pre-instrumental period, Clim. Past, 15, 1–24, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-15-1-2019, 2019.
Buishand, T.: Some methods for testing the homogeneity of rainfall records,
J. Hydrol., 58, 11–27, 1982.
Bullón, T.: Winter temperatures in the second half of the sixteenth century in the central area of the Iberian Peninsula, Clim. Past, 4, 357–367, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-4-357-2008, 2008.
Camenisch, C.: Endless cold: a seasonal reconstruction of temperature and precipitation in the Burgundian Low Countries during the 15th century based on documentary evidence, Clim. Past, 11, 1049–1066, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-1049-2015, 2015.
Camuffo, D, Bertolin, C., Barriendos, M., Dominguez-Castro, F., Cocheo, C., Enzi, S., Sghedoni, M., della Valle, A., Garnier, E., Alcoforado, M. J., Xoplaki, E., Luterbacher, J., Diodato, N., Maugeri, M., Nunes, M. F., and Rodriguez, R.: 500-year temperature
reconstruction in the Mediterranean Basin by means of documentary data and
instrumental observations, Climatic Change, 101, 169–199, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9815-8, 2010.
Chen, Z. J., He, X. Y., Chen, W., Shao, X. M., Sun, Y., and Tao, D. L.:
Solar activity, global surface air temperature anomaly and Pacific Decadal
Oscillation signals observed in urban outskirts tree ring records from
Shenyang, China, Adv. Space Res., 38, 2272–2284, 2006.
Cornes, R. C., Jones, P. D., Briffa, K. R., and Osborn, T. J.: A daily
series of mean sea-level pressure for Paris, 1670–2007, Int. J. Climatol., 32, 1135–1150,
2012.
Corona, M. G., Vicente, A. M., and Novo, F. G.: Long-term vegetation
changes on the stabilized dunes of Doñana National Park (SW
Spain), Vegetatio, 75, 73–80, 1988.
Cortizo, C. F.: La pequeña edad de hielo en Galicia: estado de la
cuestión y estudio histórico, Obradoiro de historia moderna, 25, 9–39, 2016.
Creus Novau, J. and Saz Sanchez, M. A.: Las precipitaciones de la época cálida en el sur de la provincia de Alicante desde 1550 A 1915, Revista de Historia Moderna, 23, 35–48, 2005.
Cuadrat, J. M., Tejedor, E., Saz-Sánchez, M. Á., Serrano Notivoli,
R., Arrillaga, L., and Barriendos, M.: Avances en la reconstrucción plurisecular del clima en el noroeste de España: nuevas bases de datos y resultados, in: Clima, sociedad,
riesgos y ordenación del territorio, edited by: Olcina Cantos, J., Rico
Amorós, A. M., and Moltó Mantero, E., Alicante, Instituto
Interuniversitario de Geografía, Universidad de Alicante, Sevilla,
Asociación Española de Climatología, 67–76, 2016.
DeMenocal, P. B.: Cultural responses to climate change during the late Holocene, Science, 292, 667–673, 2001.
Domínguez-Castro, F., Santisteban, J. I., Barriendos, M., and
Mediavilla, R.: Reconstruction of drought episodes for central Spain from
rogation ceremonies recorded at the Toledo Cathedral from 1506 to 1900: A
methodological approach, Global Planet. Change, 63, 230–242, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.06.002, 2008.
Domínguez-Castro, F., Vaquero, J. M., Sánchez-Rodrigo, F., Farrona, A. M.
M., Gallego, M. C., García-Herrera, R., Barriendos, M., and
Sanchez-Lorenzo, A.: Early Spanish meteorological records (1780–1850),
Int. J. Climatol., 34, 593–603, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3709, 2013.
Domínguez-Castro, F., García-Herrera, R., and Vaquero, J. M.: An early weather diary from Iberia (Lisbon, 1631–1632), Weather, 70, 20–24, https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.2319, 2015.
Domínguez-Castro, F., García-Herrera, R., and Vicente-Serrano, S.
M.: Wet and dry extremes in Quito (Ecuador) since the 17th
century, Int. J. Climatol., 38, 2006–2014, 2018.
Espín-Sánchez, J. A. and Gil-Guirado, S.: Praying in the desert, in: Queen's Applied Micro Conference, 3–5 May 2016, Kingston, Canada, 2016.
Fernández-Fernández, M. I., Gallego, M. C., Domínguez-Castro,
F., Trigo, R. M., and Vaquero, J. M.: The climate in Zafra from 1750 to
1840: precipitation, Climatic Change, 129, 267–280, 2015.
Gagen, M., McCarrol, D., and Hicks, S.: The Millennium project: European climate of the last millennium, PAGES News, 14, p. 4, 2006.
Galván, J. D., Camarero, J. J., Ginzler, C., and Büntgen, U.:
Spatial diversity of recent trends in Mediterranean tree growth,
Environ. Res. Lett., 9, 084001, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/8/084001, 2014.
García-Herrera, R., Macias, A., Gallego, D., Hernández, E., Gimeno,
L., and Ribera, P.: Reconstruction of the precipitation in the Canary
Islands for the period 1595–1836, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 84, 1037–1039, 2003.
Garza, G. and Barriendos, M.: El clima en la historia, Ciencias, 51, 22–25, 1998.
Ge, Q., Zheng, J., Fang, X., Man, Z., Zhang, X., Zhang, P., and Wang, W.-C.:
Winter half-year temperature reconstruction for the middle and lower reaches
of the Yellow River and Yangtze River, China, during the past 2000 years,
Holocene, 13, 933–940, https://doi.org/10.1191/0959683603hl680rr, 2003.
Ge, Q., Zheng, J., Hao, Z., Zhang, P., and Wang, W.: Reconstruction of
historical climate in China: High-resolution precipitation data from Qing
Dynasty archives, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 86, 671–679, 2005.
Gil-Guirado, S.: Reconstrucción climática histórica y
análisis evolutivo de la vulnerabilidad y adaptación a las
sequías e inundaciones en la Cuenca del Segura (España) y en la
Cuenca del Río Mendoza (Argentina), Cuadernos Geográficos, 52, 132–151, 2013.
Gil-Guirado, S., Espín-Sánchez, J., and Prieto, M. D. R.: Can we
learn from the past? Four hundred years of changes in adaptation to floods
and droughts. Measuring the vulnerability in two Hispanic cities, Climatic Change, 139,
183–200, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1768-0, 2016.
Giorgi, F., Jones, C., and Asrar, G. R.: Addressing climate Information
needs at the regional level: the CORDEX framework, World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Bulletin, 58, 175–183, 2009.
Glaser, R.: Data and Methods of Climatological Evaluation in Historical
Climatology, Hist. Soc. Res., 21, 56–88, 1996.
Gómez-Navarro, J. J., Montávez, J. P., Jerez, S., Jiménez-Guerrero, P., Lorente-Plazas, R., González-Rouco, J. F., and Zorita, E.: A regional climate simulation over the Iberian Peninsula for the last millennium, Clim. Past, 7, 451–472, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-7-451-2011, 2011.
Gómez-Navarro, J. J., Bothe, O., Wagner, S., Zorita, E., Werner, J. P., Luterbacher, J., Raible, C. C., and Montávez, J. P.: A regional climate palaeosimulation for Europe in the period 1500–1990 – Part 2: Shortcomings and strengths of models and reconstructions, Clim. Past, 11, 1077–1095, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-1077-2015, 2015.
Gutiérrez, R. C.: Gobierno municipal y oligarquías. Los oficios públicos de la villa de Albacete en el siglo XVIII (Doctoral dissertation, Universidad de Castilla-La
Mancha), 2005.
Hegerl, G., Luterbacher, J., González-Rouco, F., Tett, S. F. B.,
Crowley, T., and Xoplaki, E.: Influence of human and natural forcing on
European seasonal temperatures, Nat. Geosci., 4, 99–103, https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1057, 2011.
Hernández Amores, A.: Inundaciones de la huerta de Murcia. Juicio sobre su frecuente repetición de pocos años a esta parte; sus terribles desastres, sus causas y remedios, Imprenta “El Diario”, Murcia, 1885.
Hidalgo-Brinquis, M. C.: La fabricación del papel en España e Hispanoamérica en el siglo XVII, in: V Jornadas Científicas Sobre Documentación de
Castilla e Indias en el siglo XVII (207–225), edited by: Cabezas Fontanilla, S. and Royo
Martínez, M. M., UCM, Madrid, Spain, 2006.
Hsiang, S. M. and Burke, M.: Climate, conflict, and social stability: what
does the evidence say?, Climatic Change, 123, 39–55, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0868-3, 2013.
Huang, S., Pollack, H. N., and Shen, P.-Y.: Temperature trends over the past
five centuries reconstructed from borehole temperatures, Nature, 403, 756–758, 2000.
IPCC: Climate Change 2001: Working Group 1: The Scientific Basis, Third
Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, New
York, Cambridge Univ. Press., 2001.
IPCC: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Stocker, T. F., Plattner, G.-P., Tignor, M. M. B., Allen, S. K., Boschung, J., Nauels, A., Yu, X., Bex, V., and Midgley, P. M., Cambridge Univ Press, Cambridge, UK, 2013.
Izdebski, A., Holmgren, K., Weiberg, E., Stocker, S. R., Büntgen, U., Florenzano, A., Gogou, A., Leroy, S. A. G., Luterbacher, J., Martrat, B., Masi, A., Mercuri, A. M., Montagna, P., Sadori, L., Schneider, A., Sicre, M.-A., Triantaphyllou, M., and Xoplaki, E.: Realising consilience: How better communication between archaeologists,
historians and natural scientists can transform the study of past climate
change in the Mediterranean, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 136, 5–22, 2016.
Jones, P. D. and Bradley, R. S. (Eds.): Climatic variations over the last 500 years, in: Climate since AD 1500, Routledge, London and New York, 649–665, 1999.
Lamb, H.: The early medieval warm epoch and its sequel, Palaeogeogr. Palaeocl., 1, 13–37,
https://doi.org/10.1016/0031-0182(65)90004-0, 1965.
Logar, I. and van den Bergh, J. C.: Methods to assess costs of drought
damages and policies for drought mitigation and adaptation: review and
recommendations, Water Resour. Manage., 27, 1707–1720, 2013.
Luening, S.: Mapping the Medieval Climate Anomaly, last access: September 2018, available at:
https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1akI_yGSUlO_qEvrmrIYv9kHknq4&ll=45.348409375635036%2
C24.67877981349193&z=2 (last access: 9 September 2018), 2017
Luterbacher, J., Rickli, R., Xoplaki, E., Tinguely, C., Beck, C., Pfister,
C., and Wanner, H.: The late Maunder minimum (1675–1715) – a key period
forstudying decadal scale climatic change in Europe, Climatic Change, 49, 441–462, 2001.
Machado, M. J., Benito, G., Barriendos, M., and Sánchez-Rodrigo, F.: 500 years of
rainfall variability and extreme hydrological events in southeastern Spain
drylands, J. Arid Environ., 75, 1244–1253, 2011.
Mann, M. E., Gille, E., Bradley, R. S., Hughes, M., Overpeck, J. T., Keimig, F. T., and Gross, W.: Global temperature patterns in past centuries: An interactive
presentation, Earth Interact., 4, 1–29, 2000.
Martínez, M. M.: Comer en Murcia (s. XV): Imagen y realidad del régimen alimentario, Miscelánea Medieval Murciana, 19–20, 189–220, 1996.
Martín-Vide, J.: Spatial distribution of a daily precipitation
concentration index in peninsular Spain, Int. J. Climatol., 24, 959–971, 2004.
Martín-Vide, J. and Barriendos, M.: The use of rogation ceremony
records in climatic reconstruction: a case study from Catalonia
(Spain), Climatic Change, 30, 201–221, 1995.
Metcalfe, S., Prieto, M. R., Endfield, G. H., Davies, S. J., and O'Hara, S. L.: The Potential of Archival Sources for Reconstructing Climate and Climate-Related Processes in Latin America, PAGES News, 10, 11–14, 2002.
Moodie, D. W. and Catchpole, A. J.: Environmental Data from Historical Documents by Content Analysis: Frezze-Up and Break-Up of Estuaries on Hudson Bay 1714–1871, Geographical Studies 5, Atmospheric Enviroment Service, Department of Environment, Manitoba, 1975.
Moreira, E. E., Mexia, J. T., and Pereira, L. S.: Are drought occurrence and severity aggravating? A study on SPI drought class transitions using log-linear models and ANOVA-like inference, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 3011–3028, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-3011-2012, 2012.
Nash, D. J. and Adamson, G. C. D.: Recent Advances in the Historical
Climatology of the Tropics and Subtropics, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 95, 131–146, https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-12-00030.1, 2014.
Neukom, R., Prieto, M. R., Moyano, R., Luterbacher, J., Pfister, Ch., Villalba, R., Jones, P. H., and Wanner, H.: An extended network of documentary data from South America and its potencial for quantitative precipitation reconstruction back to the 16th century, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L12703, https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL038351, 2009.
Nieto-Moreno, V., Martinez-Ruiz, F., Giralt, S., Gallego-Torres, D.,
García-Orellana, J., Masqué, P., and Ortega-Huertas, M.: Climate
imprints during the “Medieval Climate Anomaly” and the “Little Ice Age” in
marine records from the Alboran Sea basin, Holocene, 23, 1227–1237, https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683613484613, 2013.
PAGES 2K Consortium: Continental-scale temperature variability during the
past two millennia, Nat. Geosci., 6, 339–346, https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1797, 2013.
PAGES 2K Consortium: A global multiproxy database for temperature
reconstructions of the Common Era, Scientific Data, 4, 170088, https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2017.88, 2017.
Pérez, A. J. S.: Poder municipal y oligarquía: el concejo cacereño en el siglo XVII, Vol. 2, Institución Cultural “El Brocense”, Excma. Diputación Provincial, 1987.
Pettitt, A.: A non-parametric approach to the change-point detection,
Appl. Stat., 28, 126–135, 1979.
Pfister, C.: Balancing between reconstructing past climate and human dimension of destructive weather, The crux and challenge of historical climatology, in: An environmental history of the Early Modern Period. Experiments and perspectives, edited by: Knoll, M. and Reith, R., LIT Verlag, Vienna, 5–10, 2014.
Pfister, C., Luterbacher, J., Wanner, H., Wheeler, D., Brazdil, R., Ge, Q.,
Hao, Z., Moberg, A., Grab, S., and Prieto, M. R.: Documentary evidence as
climate proxies, in: Proxy specific White Paper produced from the
PAGES/CLIVAR workshop, Trieste, 2008, PAGES (Past Global Changes), Bern,
1–10, 2008.
Prieto, M. R.: Determinación de posibles cambios climáticos mediante
la comparación del régimen de precipitaciones de los siglos XVIII,
XIX y XX en Mendoza, Geoacta, 13, 107–118, 1985.
Prieto, M. R. and García-Herrera, R.: Documentary sources from South
America: Potential for climate reconstruction, Palaeogeogr. Palaeocl., 281, 196–209, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2008.07.026, 2009.
Prieto, M. R. and Jorba, R.: Las anomalías climáticas en la cuenca
del Plata y el NOA y sus consecuencias socioeconómicas, Siglos XVI–XVII
y XVIII, Leguas, 1, 41–103, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2008.07.026, 1991.
Prieto, M. R., Herrera, R., and Dussel, P.: Archival Evidence for some Aspects of Historical Climate Variability in Argentina and Bolivia During the 17th and 18th Centuries, in: Southern Hemisphere Paleo- and Neoclimates, edited by: Smolka, P. and Volkheimer, W., Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg, 1999.
Prieto, M. R., Herrera, R., and Dussel, P.: Archival Evidence for some Aspects of Historical Climate Variability in Argentina and Bolivia During the 17th and 18th Centuries, in: Southern Hemisphere Paleo- and Neoclimates, edited by: Smolka, P. and Volkheimer, W., Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-59694-0_8, 2000.
Prieto, M. R., Villagra, P. E., Lana, N. B., and Abraham, E. M.: Utilización de documentos históricos en la reconstrucción de la vegetación de la Llanura de la Travesía (Argentina) a principios del siglo XIX, Revista Chilena de Historia Natural, 76, 613–622, 2003.
Prieto, M. R., Gallego, D., García-Herrera, R., and Calvo, N.: Deriving wind force terms from nautical reports through content analysis. The Spanish and French cases, Climatic Change, 73, 37–55, 2005.
Prohom, M., Barriendos, M., and Sanchez-Lorenzo, A.: Reconstruction and
homogenization of the longest instrumental precipitation series in the
Iberian Peninsula (Barcelona, 1786–2014), Int. J. Climatol., 36, 3072–3087, 2016.
Renom Molina, M.: Temperaturas extremas en Uruguay. Análisis de la variabilidad temporal de baja frecuencia y su relación con la circulación de gran escala, Doctoral dissertation, Universidad de
Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, 2009.
Rodríguez, J. F.: Notas sobre la introducción y desarrollo de la renta del papel sellado en la Monarquía Española (siglos XVII y XVIII), Anuario de historia del derecho español, 66, 519–560, 1996.
Romero-Viana, L., Juliá, R., Schimmel, M., Camacho, A., Vicente, E., and
Miracle, M. R.: Reconstruction of annual winter rainfall since AD 1579 in
central-eastern Spain based on calcite laminated sediment from Lake La Cruz,
Climatic Change, 107, 343–361, 2011.
Sánchez-Rodrigo, F. and Barriendos, M.: Reconstruction of seasonal and annual
rainfall variability in the Iberian peninsula (16th–20th centuries) from
documentary data, Global Planet. Change, 63, 243–257, 2008.
Sánchez-Rodrigo, F., Esteban-Parra, M., Pozo-Vázquez, D., and Castro-Díez,
Y.: A 500-year precipitation record in Southern Spain, Int. J.
Climatol., 19, 1233–1253,
https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(199909)19:11<1233::AID-JOC413>3.0.CO;2-L, 1999.
Sánchez-Rodrigo, F., Esteban-Parra, M. J., Pozo-Vázquez, D., and
Castro-Díez, Y.: Rainfall variability in southern Spain on
decadal to centennial time scales, Int. J. Climatol., 20, 721–732, 2000.
Tejedor, E., de Luis, M., Cuadrat, J. M., Esper, J., and Saz, M. Á.:
Tree-ring-based drought reconstruction in the Iberian Range (east of Spain)
since 1694, Int. J. Biometeorol., 60, 361–372, 2016.
Tejedor, E., de Luis, M., Barriendos, M., Cuadrat, J. M., Luterbacher, J., and Saz, M. Á.: Rogation ceremonies: key to understand past drought variability in northeastern Spain since 1650, Clim. Past Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2018-67, in review, 2018.
Thompson, L. G.: Ice core evidence for climate change in the Tropics:
implications for our future, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 19, 19–35, https://doi.org/10.1016/s0277-3791(99)00052-9, 2000.
Vicente-Serrano, S. M. and Cuadrat, J. M.: North Atlantic oscillation
control of droughts in north-east Spain: evaluation since 1600 AD, Climatic Change, 85,
357–379, 2007.
Wei, Z., Fang, X., and Su, Y.: Climate change and fiscal balance in China
over the past two millennia, Holocene, 24, 1771–1784, https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683614551224, 2014.
Zamora Pastor, R.: El final de la “Pequeña Edad del Hielo” en tierras alicantinas, Universidad de Alicante, Alicante, 2002.
Short summary
The historical climatology has remarkable research potentialities. However, historical climatology has some methodological limitations. This study presents a new methodology (COST) that allows us to perform climate reconstructions with monthly resolution. The variability of the climatic series obtained are coherent with previous studies. The new proposed method is objective and is not affected by social changes, which allows us to perform studies in regions with different languages and cultures.
The historical climatology has remarkable research potentialities. However, historical...
