Articles | Volume 14, issue 2
Clim. Past, 14, 139–155, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-139-2018
Clim. Past, 14, 139–155, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-139-2018

Research article 05 Feb 2018

Research article | 05 Feb 2018

Signal detection in global mean temperatures after “Paris”: an uncertainty and sensitivity analysis

Hans Visser et al.

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (20 Sep 2017) by Stefan Bronnimann
AR by Hans Visser on behalf of the Authors (27 Oct 2017)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (07 Nov 2017) by Stefan Bronnimann
RR by Peter Thorne (14 Nov 2017)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (21 Nov 2017)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (22 Nov 2017) by Stefan Bronnimann
AR by Hans Visser on behalf of the Authors (05 Dec 2017)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (08 Dec 2017) by Stefan Bronnimann
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Short summary
In December 2015, 195 countries agreed in Paris to hold the increase in global temperature well below 2.0 °C. However, the Paris Agreement is not conclusive as regards methods to calculate it. To find answers to these questions we performed an uncertainty and sensitivity analysis where datasets, model choices, choices for pre-industrial and warming definitions have been varied. Based on these findings we propose an estimate for signal progression in global temperature since pre-industrial time.