Articles | Volume 14, issue 2
Clim. Past, 14, 139–155, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-139-2018
Clim. Past, 14, 139–155, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-139-2018
Research article
05 Feb 2018
Research article | 05 Feb 2018

Signal detection in global mean temperatures after “Paris”: an uncertainty and sensitivity analysis

Hans Visser et al.

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Short summary
In December 2015, 195 countries agreed in Paris to hold the increase in global temperature well below 2.0 °C. However, the Paris Agreement is not conclusive as regards methods to calculate it. To find answers to these questions we performed an uncertainty and sensitivity analysis where datasets, model choices, choices for pre-industrial and warming definitions have been varied. Based on these findings we propose an estimate for signal progression in global temperature since pre-industrial time.