Articles | Volume 19, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-1793-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-1793-2023
Research article
 | 
13 Sep 2023
Research article |  | 13 Sep 2023

Do phenomenological dynamical paleoclimate models have physical similarity with Nature? Seemingly, not all of them do

Mikhail Y. Verbitsky and Michel Crucifix

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Cited articles

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Crucifix, M.: Why could ice ages be unpredictable?, Clim. Past, 9, 2253–2267, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-2253-2013, 2013. 
De Saedeleer B., Crucifix, M. and Wieczorek, S.: Is the astronomical forcing a reliable and unique pacemaker for climate? A conceptual model study, Clim. Dynam., 40, 273–294, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1316-1, 2013. 
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Short summary
Are phenomenological dynamical paleoclimate models physically similar to Nature? We demonstrated that though they may be very accurate in reproducing empirical time series, this is not sufficient to claim physical similarity with Nature until similarity parameters are considered. We suggest that the diagnostics of physical similarity should become a standard procedure before a phenomenological model can be utilized for interpretations of historical records or future predictions.
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