Articles | Volume 21, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-21-1533-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-21-1533-2025
Research article
 | 
08 Sep 2025
Research article |  | 08 Sep 2025

Speleothem evidence for Late Miocene extreme Arctic amplification – an analogue for near-future anthropogenic climate change?

Stuart Umbo, Franziska Lechleitner, Thomas Opel, Sevasti Modestou, Tobias Braun, Anton Vaks, Gideon Henderson, Pete Scott, Alexander Osintzev, Alexandr Kononov, Irina Adrian, Yuri Dublyansky, Alena Giesche, and Sebastian F. M. Breitenbach

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Cited articles

Anderson, N. T., Kelson, J. R., Kele, S., Daëron, M., Bonifacie, M., Horita, J., Mackey, T. J., John, C. M., Kluge, T., Petschnig, P., Jost, A. B., Huntington, K. W., Bernasconi, S. M., and Bergmann, K. D.: A Unified Clumped Isotope Thermometer Calibration (0.5–1,100 °C) Using Carbonate-Based Standardization, Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2020GL092069, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL092069, 2021. 
Baker, A., Hartmann, A., Duan, W., Hankin, S., Comas-Bru, L., Cuthbert, M. O., Treble, P. C., Banner, J., Genty, D., Baldini, L. M., Bartolomé, M., Moreno, A., Pérez-Mejías, C., and Werner, M.: Global analysis reveals climatic controls on the oxygen isotope composition of cave drip water, Nat. Commun., 10, 2984, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-11027-w, 2019. 
Baker, J. L., Lachniet, M. S., Chervyatsova, O., Asmerom, Y., and Polyak, V. J.: Holocene warming in western continental Eurasia driven by glacial retreat and greenhouse forcing, Nat. Geosci., 10, 430–435, https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2953, 2017. 
Bernasconi, S. M., Müller, I. A., Bergmann, K. D., and Breitenbach, S. F. M.: Reducing Uncertainties in Carbonate Clumped Isotope Analysis Through Consistent Carbonate-Based Standardization, Geochem. Geophy. Geosy., 2895–2914, https://doi.org/10.1029/2017GC007385, 2018. 
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Short summary
We use cave rocks to reconstruct northern Siberian climate in 8.68 ± 0.09 Ma. We show that when the global average temperature was about 4.5 °C warmer than today (similar to what is expected in the coming decades should carbon emissions continue unabated), the Siberian Arctic temperature increased by more than 18 °C. 
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