Articles | Volume 19, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-943-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-943-2023
Research article
 | 
09 May 2023
Research article |  | 09 May 2023

Quantifying the contribution of forcing and three prominent modes of variability to historical climate

Andrew P. Schurer, Gabriele C. Hegerl, Hugues Goosse, Massimo A. Bollasina, Matthew H. England, Michael J. Mineter, Doug M. Smith, and Simon F. B. Tett

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on cp-2022-55', Anonymous Referee #1, 01 Nov 2022
  • RC2: 'Comment on cp-2022-55', Anonymous Referee #2, 07 Nov 2022

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (15 Dec 2022) by Nerilie Abram
AR by Andrew Schurer on behalf of the Authors (23 Dec 2022)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (09 Feb 2023) by Nerilie Abram
AR by Andrew Schurer on behalf of the Authors (17 Feb 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (03 Mar 2023) by Nerilie Abram
AR by Andrew Schurer on behalf of the Authors (12 Apr 2023)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
We adopt an existing data assimilation technique to constrain a model simulation to follow three important modes of variability, the North Atlantic Oscillation, El Niño–Southern Oscillation and the Southern Annular Mode. How it compares to the observed climate is evaluated, with improvements over simulations without data assimilation found over many regions, particularly the tropics, the North Atlantic and Europe, and discrepancies with global cooling following volcanic eruptions are reconciled.