Articles | Volume 22, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-22-1203-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-22-1203-2026
Research article
 | 
17 Jun 2026
Research article |  | 17 Jun 2026

Shaping the mid-Miocene warmth: a sensitivity study on paleogeography, CO2 and model physics

Martin Renoult, Agatha de Boer, Ellen Berntell, and Trusha Jagdish Naik

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Cited articles

Acosta, R. P., Burls, N., Pound, M. J., Bradshaw, C., De Boer, A. M., Herold, N., Huber, M., Liu, X., Donnadieu, Y., Farnsworth, A., Frigola, D., Lunt, D., von der Heydt, A., Hutchinson, D., Knorr, G., Lohmann, G., Marzocchi, A., Prange, M., Sarr, A., Li, X., and Zhang, Z.: A model-data comparison of the hydrological response to Miocene warmth: Leveraging the MioMIP1 opportunistic multi-model ensemble, Paleoceanogr. Paleocl., 39, e2023PA004726, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023PA004726, 2024. a, b, c, d, e
Anagnostou, E., John, E. H., Babila, T., Sexton, P., Ridgwell, A., Lunt, D. J., Pearson, P. N., Chalk, T. B., Pancost, R. D., and Foster, G.: Proxy evidence for state-dependence of climate sensitivity in the Eocene greenhouse, Nat. Commun., 11, 4436, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-17887-x, 2020. a, b
Baatsen, M., von der Heydt, A. S., Huber, M., Kliphuis, M. A., Bijl, P. K., Sluijs, A., and Dijkstra, H. A.: The middle to late Eocene greenhouse climate modelled using the CESM 1.0.5, Clim. Past, 16, 2573–2597, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-2573-2020, 2020. a
Block, K., Schneider, F. A., Mülmenstädt, J., Salzmann, M., and Quaas, J.: Climate models disagree on the sign of total radiative feedback in the Arctic, Tellus A, 72, 1–14, https://doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2019.1696139, 2020. a
Bradshaw, C. D., Lunt, D. J., Flecker, R., and Davies-Barnard, T.: Disentangling the roles of late Miocene palaeogeography and vegetation–Implications for climate sensitivity, Palaeogeogr. Palaeocl. 417, 17–34, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2014.10.003, 2015. a, b
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Short summary
During the mid-Miocene (~16 to 14 million years ago), Earth was much warmer with CO2 levels similar to what is expected for our future. Here, we perform simulations with a new geography of the mid-Miocene, which include changes in ice coverage, land and sea distribution, solar energy and CO2 concentrations. Despite high CO2 concentrations, our mid-Miocene is too cold compared to geological reconstructions, but shows great potential to understand future climate change and its sensitivity to CO2.
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