Articles | Volume 18, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-2449-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-2449-2022
Research article
 | 
09 Nov 2022
Research article |  | 09 Nov 2022

A Bayesian approach to historical climatology for the Burgundian Low Countries in the 15th century

Chantal Camenisch, Fernando Jaume-Santero, Sam White, Qing Pei, Ralf Hand, Christian Rohr, and Stefan Brönnimann

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Latest update: 13 Dec 2024
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Short summary
We present a novel approach to assimilate climate information contained in chronicles and annals from the 15th century to generate climate reconstructions of the Burgundian Low Countries, taking into account uncertainties associated with the descriptions of narrative sources. Our study aims to be a first step towards a more quantitative use of available information contained in historical texts, showing how Bayesian inference can help the climate community with this endeavor.