A Bayesian approach to historical climatology for the Burgundian Low Countries in the 15th century

Camenisch, Chantal; Jaume-Santero, Fernando; White, Sam; Pei, Qing; Hand, Ralf; Rohr, Christian; Brönnimann, Stefan

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-2449-2022

Articles | Volume 18, issue 11

https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-2449-2022

© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Special issue:

International methods and comparisons in climate reconstruction...

https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-2449-2022

© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 18, issue 11

Research article

|

09 Nov 2022

Research article |

| 09 Nov 2022

A Bayesian approach to historical climatology for the Burgundian Low Countries in the 15th century

Chantal Camenisch, Fernando Jaume-Santero, Sam White, Qing Pei, Ralf Hand, Christian Rohr, and Stefan Brönnimann

Supplement

https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-2449-2022-supplement

Data sets

A Bayesian Approach to Historical Climatology for the Burgundian Low Countries in the 15th Century Chantal Camenisch, Fernando Jaume-Santero, Sam White, Qing Pei, Ralf Hand, Christian Rohr, Stefan Bronnimann https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.17088911.v1

Short summary

We present a novel approach to assimilate climate information contained in chronicles and annals from the 15th century to generate climate reconstructions of the Burgundian Low Countries, taking into account uncertainties associated with the descriptions of narrative sources. Our study aims to be a first step towards a more quantitative use of available information contained in historical texts, showing how Bayesian inference can help the climate community with this endeavor.