Articles | Volume 16, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-2095-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-2095-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: large-scale climate features and climate sensitivity
Alan M. Haywood
School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Woodhouse Lane, Leeds, West Yorkshire, LS29JT, UK
School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Woodhouse Lane, Leeds, West Yorkshire, LS29JT, UK
Harry J. Dowsett
Florence Bascom Geoscience Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA 20192, USA
Aisling M. Dolan
School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Woodhouse Lane, Leeds, West Yorkshire, LS29JT, UK
Kevin M. Foley
Florence Bascom Geoscience Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA 20192, USA
Stephen J. Hunter
School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Woodhouse Lane, Leeds, West Yorkshire, LS29JT, UK
Daniel J. Hill
School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Woodhouse Lane, Leeds, West Yorkshire, LS29JT, UK
Wing-Le Chan
Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, 277-8564, Japan
Ayako Abe-Ouchi
Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, 277-8564, Japan
Christian Stepanek
Alfred-Wegener-Institut – Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar and Meeresforschung (AWI), Bremerhaven, 27570, Germany
Gerrit Lohmann
Alfred-Wegener-Institut – Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar and Meeresforschung (AWI), Bremerhaven, 27570, Germany
Deepak Chandan
Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, M5S 1A7, Canada
W. Richard Peltier
Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, M5S 1A7, Canada
Ning Tan
Key Laboratory of Cenozoic Geology and Environment, Institute of
Geology and Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Camille Contoux
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Gilles Ramstein
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Xiangyu Li
Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences,
Beijing 100029, China
NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, 5007 Bergen, Norway
Zhongshi Zhang
Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences,
Beijing 100029, China
NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, 5007 Bergen, Norway
Department of Atmospheric Science, School of Environmental Studies, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China
Chuncheng Guo
NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, 5007 Bergen, Norway
Kerim H. Nisancioglu
NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, 5007 Bergen, Norway
Qiong Zhang
Department of Physical Geography and Bolin Centre for Climate
Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, 10691, Sweden
Department of Physical Geography and Bolin Centre for Climate
Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, 10691, Sweden
Youichi Kamae
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, 305-8572, Japan
Mark A. Chandler
CCSR/GISS, Columbia University, New York, NY 10025, USA
Linda E. Sohl
CCSR/GISS, Columbia University, New York, NY 10025, USA
Bette L. Otto-Bliesner
National Center for Atmospheric Research, (NCAR), Boulder, CO 80305, USA
Ran Feng
Department of Geosciences, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences,
University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT 06033, USA
Esther C. Brady
National Center for Atmospheric Research, (NCAR), Boulder, CO 80305, USA
Anna S. von der Heydt
Centre for Complex Systems Science, Utrecht University, Utrecht, 3584 CS, the Netherlands
Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht (IMAU),
Department of Physics, Utrecht University, Utrecht, 3584 CS, the Netherlands
Michiel L. J. Baatsen
Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht (IMAU),
Department of Physics, Utrecht University, Utrecht, 3584 CS, the Netherlands
Daniel J. Lunt
School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1QU, UK
Data sets
WCRP Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (Phase 6) ESGF https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/search/cmip6/
Short summary
The large-scale features of middle Pliocene climate from the 16 models of PlioMIP Phase 2 are presented. The PlioMIP2 ensemble average was ~ 3.2 °C warmer and experienced ~ 7 % more precipitation than the pre-industrial era, although there are large regional variations. PlioMIP2 broadly agrees with a new proxy dataset of Pliocene sea surface temperatures. Combining PlioMIP2 and proxy data suggests that a doubling of atmospheric CO2 would increase globally averaged temperature by 2.6–4.8 °C.
The large-scale features of middle Pliocene climate from the 16 models of PlioMIP Phase 2 are...
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