Articles | Volume 11, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-709-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-709-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Non-linear regime shifts in Holocene Asian monsoon variability: potential impacts on cultural change and migratory patterns
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A31, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kräftriket 2B, 114 19 Stockholm, Sweden
R. V. Donner
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A31, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
Department of Biogeochemical Integration, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Hans-Knöll-Str. 10, 07745 Jena, Germany
N. Marwan
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A31, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
S. F. M. Breitenbach
Institute for Geology, Mineralogy and Geophysics, Ruhr University Bochum, Universitätsstr. 150, 44801 Bochum, Germany
formerly at: Geological Institute, Department of Earth Sciences, ETH Zurich, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
K. Rehfeld
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A31, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, Telegrafenberg A43, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
J. Kurths
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A31, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
Department of Physics, Humboldt University, Newtonstr. 15, 12489 Berlin, Germany
Institute for Complex Systems and Mathematical Biology, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, AB24 3FX, UK
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Short summary
Paleoclimate records from cave deposits allow the reconstruction of Holocene dynamics of the Asian monsoon system, an important tipping element in Earth's climate. Employing recently developed techniques of nonlinear time series analysis reveals several robust and continental-scale regime shifts in the complexity of monsoonal variability. These regime shifts might have played an important role as drivers of migration, cultural change, and societal collapse during the past 10,000 years.
Paleoclimate records from cave deposits allow the reconstruction of Holocene dynamics of the...