Articles | Volume 11, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-709-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-709-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
07 May 2015
Research article |
| 07 May 2015
Non-linear regime shifts in Holocene Asian monsoon variability: potential impacts on cultural change and migratory patterns
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A31, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kräftriket 2B, 114 19 Stockholm, Sweden
R. V. Donner
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A31, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
Department of Biogeochemical Integration, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Hans-Knöll-Str. 10, 07745 Jena, Germany
N. Marwan
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A31, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
S. F. M. Breitenbach
Institute for Geology, Mineralogy and Geophysics, Ruhr University Bochum, Universitätsstr. 150, 44801 Bochum, Germany
formerly at: Geological Institute, Department of Earth Sciences, ETH Zurich, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
K. Rehfeld
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A31, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, Telegrafenberg A43, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
J. Kurths
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A31, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
Department of Physics, Humboldt University, Newtonstr. 15, 12489 Berlin, Germany
Institute for Complex Systems and Mathematical Biology, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, AB24 3FX, UK
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- Holocene variability of East Asian summer monsoon as viewed from the speleothem δ18O records in central China Y. Cai et al. 10.1016/j.epsl.2021.116758
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- Volcanic stratospheric sulfur injections and aerosol optical depth during the Holocene (past 11 500 years) from a bipolar ice-core array M. Sigl et al. 10.5194/essd-14-3167-2022
- Temporal organization of magnetospheric fluctuations unveiled by recurrence patterns in the Dst index R. Donner et al. 10.1063/1.5024792
- Complex network approaches to nonlinear time series analysis Y. Zou et al. 10.1016/j.physrep.2018.10.005
- Neoglacial climate anomalies and the Harappan metamorphosis L. Giosan et al. 10.5194/cp-14-1669-2018
- Early warnings and missed alarms for abrupt monsoon transitions Z. Thomas et al. 10.5194/cp-11-1621-2015
- History of Mid- and Late Holocene Palaeofloods in the Yangtze Coastal Lowlands, East China: Evaluation of Non-Pollen Palynomorph Evidence, Review and Synthesis J. Innes & Y. Zong 10.3390/quat4030021
- Unified functional network and nonlinear time series analysis for complex systems science: Thepyunicornpackage J. Donges et al. 10.1063/1.4934554
- Catastrophic flashflood and mudflow events in the pre-historical Lajia Ruins at the northeast margin of the Chinese Tibetan Plateau H. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2020.106737
- Dynamics of ostracod communities throughout the Mulde/ lundgreni event: contrasting patterns of species richness and palaeocommunity compositional change S. Rinkevičiūtė et al. 10.1144/jgs2021-039
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- Nonlinear time series analysis of palaeoclimate proxy records N. Marwan et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107245
- High-frequency climate forcing causes prolonged cold periods in the Holocene E. van Dijk et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01380-0
- Beyond bifurcation: using complex models to understand and predict abrupt climate change S. Bathiany et al. 10.1093/climsys/dzw004
- Phase space reconstruction for non-uniformly sampled noisy time series J. Lekscha & R. Donner 10.1063/1.5023860
- The 5400 a BP extreme weakening event of the Asian summer monsoon and cultural evolution Y. Bai et al. 10.1007/s11430-016-9017-3
- Dynamical anomalies in terrestrial proxies of North Atlantic climate variability during the last 2 ka J. Franke & R. Donner 10.1007/s10584-017-1979-z
- Detection of dynamical regime transitions with lacunarity as a multiscale recurrence quantification measure T. Braun et al. 10.1007/s11071-021-06457-5
- Holocene climate variability and Indian Summer Monsoon: An overview U. Banerji et al. 10.1177/0959683619895577
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- 2023 Jishishan Earthquake-triggered river terrace landslide enabled by tectonic and human activities Z. Zhang et al. 10.1038/s44304-024-00029-4
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- Early warning signals for critical transitions in complex systems S. George et al. 10.1088/1402-4896/acde20
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3 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Influence of climate change on the evolution of ancient culture from 4500 to 3700 cal. yr BP in the Chengdu Plain, upper reaches of the Yangtze River, China M. Zeng et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2016.08.028
- Landscape dynamics and human-environment interactions in the northern foothills of Cho Oyu and Mount Everest (southern Tibet) during the Late Pleistocene and Holocene M. Meyer et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2019.106127
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Short summary
Paleoclimate records from cave deposits allow the reconstruction of Holocene dynamics of the Asian monsoon system, an important tipping element in Earth's climate. Employing recently developed techniques of nonlinear time series analysis reveals several robust and continental-scale regime shifts in the complexity of monsoonal variability. These regime shifts might have played an important role as drivers of migration, cultural change, and societal collapse during the past 10,000 years.
Paleoclimate records from cave deposits allow the reconstruction of Holocene dynamics of the...
