Non-linear regime shifts in Holocene Asian monsoon variability: potential impacts on cultural change and migratory patterns

Donges, J. F.; Donner, R. V.; Marwan, N.; Breitenbach, S. F. M.; Rehfeld, K.; Kurths, J.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-709-2015

Articles | Volume 11, issue 5

https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-709-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue:

Past environmental and climatic stress during modern human's...

https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-709-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 11, issue 5

Research article

|

07 May 2015

Research article |

| 07 May 2015

Non-linear regime shifts in Holocene Asian monsoon variability: potential impacts on cultural change and migratory patterns

J. F. Donges, R. V. Donner, N. Marwan, S. F. M. Breitenbach, K. Rehfeld, and J. Kurths

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Final revised paper (published on 07 May 2015)
Preprint (discussion started on 06 Mar 2014)
Supplement to the preprint

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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RC C232: 'Comments to the Authors', Anonymous Referee #1, 21 Apr 2014
RC C328: 'Comments on Donges et al manuscript', Anonymous Referee #2, 29 Apr 2014
AC C943: 'Final author response to the referees', Jonathan Donges, 30 Jun 2014

Short summary

Paleoclimate records from cave deposits allow the reconstruction of Holocene dynamics of the Asian monsoon system, an important tipping element in Earth's climate. Employing recently developed techniques of nonlinear time series analysis reveals several robust and continental-scale regime shifts in the complexity of monsoonal variability. These regime shifts might have played an important role as drivers of migration, cultural change, and societal collapse during the past 10,000 years.