Articles | Volume 11, issue 12
Clim. Past, 11, 1621–1633, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-1621-2015
Clim. Past, 11, 1621–1633, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-1621-2015

Research article 08 Dec 2015

Research article | 08 Dec 2015

Early warnings and missed alarms for abrupt monsoon transitions

Z. A. Thomas et al.

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (03 Aug 2015) by Martin Claussen
AR by Zoe Thomas on behalf of the Authors (03 Aug 2015)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (03 Aug 2015) by Martin Claussen
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (18 Aug 2015)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (02 Sep 2015)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (06 Sep 2015)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (08 Sep 2015) by Martin Claussen
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (22 Oct 2015) by Martin Claussen
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (23 Oct 2015) by Martin Claussen
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (11 Nov 2015)
AR by Anna Wenzel on behalf of the Authors (06 Nov 2015)  Author's response
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by Editor) (12 Nov 2015) by Martin Claussen
AR by Zoe Thomas on behalf of the Authors (15 Nov 2015)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (16 Nov 2015) by Martin Claussen
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Short summary
Using a combination of speleothem records and model simulations of the East Asian Monsoon over the penultimate glacial cycle, we search for early warning signals of past tipping points. We detect a characteristic slower response to perturbations prior to an abrupt monsoon shift at the glacial termination; however, we do not detect these signals in the preceding shifts. Our results have important implications for detecting tipping points in palaeoclimate records outside glacial terminations.