Articles | Volume 18, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-1083-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-1083-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
20 May 2022
Research article |
| 20 May 2022
| 20 May 2022
Climatic, weather, and socio-economic conditions corresponding to the mid-17th-century eruption cluster
Change Impacts and Risks in the Anthropocene (C-CIA), Institute for
Environmental Sciences, University of Geneva, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland
Department of Earth Sciences, University of Geneva, 1205 Geneva,
Switzerland
Department F.-A. Forel for Environmental and Aquatic Sciences,
University of Geneva, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland
Christophe Corona
Change Impacts and Risks in the Anthropocene (C-CIA), Institute for
Environmental Sciences, University of Geneva, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland
Geolab, Université Clermont Auvergne, CNRS, 63000,
Clermont-Ferrand, France
Francis Ludlow
Trinity Centre for Environmental Humanities, School of Histories and Humanities, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin 2, Ireland
Michael Sigl
Climate and Environmental Physics and Oeschger Centre for Climate
Change Research, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland
Heli Huhtamaa
Institute of History and Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland
Emmanuel Garnier
UMR 6249 CNRS Chrono-Environnement, University of Bourgogne
Franche-Comté, 25000, Besançon, France
Samuli Helama
Natural Resources Institute Finland, Ounasjoentie 6, 96200 Rovaniemi, Finland
Sébastien Guillet
Change Impacts and Risks in the Anthropocene (C-CIA), Institute for
Environmental Sciences, University of Geneva, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland
Arlene Crampsie
School of Geography, University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland
Katrin Kleemann
Department of History, University of Freiburg, 79085 Freiburg im
Breisgau, Germany
German Maritime Museum – Leibniz Institute for Maritime History,
27568 Bremerhaven, Germany
Chantal Camenisch
Institute of History and Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland
Joseph McConnell
Division of Hydrologic Sciences, Desert Research Institute, 89512,
Reno, USA
Chaochao Gao
School of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310058, China
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- Famines in medieval and early modern Europe—Connecting climate and society F. Ljungqvist et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.859
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- Anarchy, Nature, and Innovation J. Colgan https://doi.org/10.1093/isr/viaf021
- Challenges in detecting volcanic forcing in climate and societal proxies: insights from the 1170/1171 CE eruption S. Guillet et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-025-03867-x
- The first 20 years at the Cape of Good Hope (1652–1671): weather, climate and society S. Grab & R. Naidoo https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03853-9
- Recession or resilience? Long-range socioeconomic consequences of the 17th century volcanic eruptions in northern Fennoscandia H. Huhtamaa et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-2077-2022
- New perspectives on historical climatology S. White et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.808
- Assessing agricultural adaptation to changing climatic conditions during the English agricultural revolution (1645–1740) J. Martínez-González https://doi.org/10.1007/s11698-024-00285-4
- Climatic extremes and their social implications in 17th century Transylvania: An historical climate reconstruction O. Gaceu et al. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000961
- Coupled insights from the palaeoenvironmental, historical and archaeological archives to support social-ecological resilience and the sustainable development goals K. Allen et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6967
- MEMOIRS OF ALBRECHT STANISLAW RADZIWILL AS A SOURCE ON THE CLIMATE HISTORY OF EASTERN EUROPE IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE XVII CENTURY А. SUBOTSIN https://doi.org/10.52928/2070-1608-2026-77-1-23-26
- Strong volcanic-induced climatic shocks on historical Moselle wine production F. Ljungqvist et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-21-327-2025
- The significance of volcanic ash in Greenland ice cores during the Common Era G. Plunkett et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2022.107936
- Volcanoes, Climate, and Society U. Büntgen et al. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-earth-032524-013254
- Climatic signatures in early modern European grain harvest yields F. Ljungqvist et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-2463-2023
- Constraining the timing and climate forcing of the Long Island (Papua New Guinea) and Tarumae (Japan) eruptions and other 17th century volcanic eruptions I. Gabriel et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2025.108346
- Maximum Northern Hemisphere warming rates before and after 1880 during the Common Era K. Seip & H. Wang https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-023-04398-0
- A novel approach of mapping snow disaster-prone areas based on areal disaster density optimization: a case study of South Korea S. Kim et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-07761-8
- Volcanic impacts on East Asian climate since 1400: insights from climate reconstructions and paleoclimate reanalysis C. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/04353676.2026.2754572
- Investigating hydroclimatic impacts of the 168–158 BCE volcanic quartet and their relevance to the Nile River basin and Egyptian history R. Singh et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-249-2023
- Abnormally low precipitation-induced ecological imbalance contributed to the fall of the Ming Dynasty: new evidence from tree rings F. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-022-03406-y
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 08 Nov 2026
Short summary
The mid-17th century saw several volcanic eruptions, deteriorating climate, political instability, and famine in Europe, China, and Japan. We analyze impacts of the eruptions on climate but also study their socio-political context. We show that an unambiguous distinction of volcanic cooling or wetting from natural climate variability is not straightforward. It also shows that political instability, poor harvest, and famine cannot only be attributed to volcanic climatic impacts.
The mid-17th century saw several volcanic eruptions, deteriorating climate, political...
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