Articles | Volume 16, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-2325-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-2325-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
23 Nov 2020
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 23 Nov 2020
| 23 Nov 2020
Evaluation of Arctic warming in mid-Pliocene climate simulations
Wesley de Nooijer
Department of Physical Geography and Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Department of Physical Geography and Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Department of Physical Geography and Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Qiang Zhang
Department of Physical Geography and Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Xiangyu Li
Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
Zhongshi Zhang
Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
Department of Atmospheric Science, School of Environmental Studies, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China
Chuncheng Guo
NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
Kerim H. Nisancioglu
NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
Alan M. Haywood
School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Woodhouse Lane, Leeds, West Yorkshire, UK
Julia C. Tindall
School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Woodhouse Lane, Leeds, West Yorkshire, UK
Stephen J. Hunter
School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Woodhouse Lane, Leeds, West Yorkshire, UK
Harry J. Dowsett
Florence Bascom Geoscience Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA 20192, USA
Christian Stepanek
Alfred Wegener Institute – Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar und
Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany
Gerrit Lohmann
Alfred Wegener Institute – Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar und
Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany
Bette L. Otto-Bliesner
Palaeo and Polar Climate Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO 80305, USA
Ran Feng
Department of Geosciences, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, University of Connecticut, CT 06269, USA
Linda E. Sohl
Center for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027, USA
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY 10025, USA
Mark A. Chandler
Center for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027, USA
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY 10025, USA
Ning Tan
Key Laboratory of Cenozoic Geology and Environment, Institute of Geology and Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Universiteì Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Camille Contoux
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Universiteì Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Gilles Ramstein
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Universiteì Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Michiel L. J. Baatsen
Centre for Complex Systems Science, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands
Anna S. von der Heydt
Centre for Complex Systems Science, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands
Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht (IMAU), Department of Physics, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands
Deepak Chandan
Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
W. Richard Peltier
Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Ayako Abe-Ouchi
Centre for Earth Surface System Dynamics (CESD), Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute (AORI), University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
Wing-Le Chan
Centre for Earth Surface System Dynamics (CESD), Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute (AORI), University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
Youichi Kamae
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan
Chris M. Brierley
Department of Geography, University College London, London, UK
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- The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: large-scale climate features and climate sensitivity A. Haywood et al. 10.5194/cp-16-2095-2020
- Modeling the mid-piacenzian warm climate using the water isotope-enabled Community Earth System Model (iCESM1.2-ITPCAS) Y. Sun et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07304-0
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- Limited exchange between the deep Pacific and Atlantic oceans during the warm mid-Pliocene and Marine Isotope Stage M2 “glaciation” A. Braaten et al. 10.5194/cp-19-2109-2023
- Uneven future greening across the northern high latitudes: Regional responses to rising CO2 K. Power 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2025.111193
- Using paleoecological data to inform decision making: A deep-time perspective H. Dowsett et al. 10.3389/fevo.2022.972179
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- Asymmetric Pacific variability in the Pliocene: An unchanged PDO relative to a suppressed ENSO K. Canal-Solis et al. 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.104932
- Mid-Pliocene Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation simulated in PlioMIP2 Z. Zhang et al. 10.5194/cp-17-529-2021
- Similar North Pacific variability despite suppressed El Niño variability in the warm mid-Pliocene climate A. Oldeman et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1037-2024
- Arctic Amplification in the Past, Present, and Future: A Review for the Challenge to the Integrative Understanding of its Mechanism M. YOSHIMORI et al. 10.2151/jmsj.2025-027
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- Arctic Sea Ice in the Light of Current and Past Climate Changes I. Borzenkova et al. 10.1134/S0001433823130042
- An assessment of the Pliocene as an analogue for our warmer future L. Burton et al. 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.104860
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Latest update: 22 Jul 2025
Short summary
The simulations for the past climate can inform us about the performance of climate models in different climate scenarios. Here, we analyse Arctic warming in an ensemble of 16 simulations of the mid-Pliocene Warm Period (mPWP), when the CO2 level was comparable to today. The results highlight the importance of slow feedbacks in the model simulations and imply that we must be careful when using simulations of the mPWP as an analogue for future climate change.
The simulations for the past climate can inform us about the performance of climate models in...
