Climate of the Past
Climate of the Past
CP
Articles | Volume 18, issue 6
Articles | Volume 18, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-1275-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-1275-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 18, issue 6
Research article
 | 
20 Jun 2022
Research article |  | 20 Jun 2022

Comprehensive uncertainty estimation of the timing of Greenland warmings in the Greenland ice core records

Eirik Myrvoll-Nilsen, Keno Riechers, Martin Wibe Rypdal, and Niklas Boers

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Latest update: 28 Oct 2025
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Short summary
In layer counted proxy records each measurement is accompanied by a timestamp typically measured by counting periodic layers. Knowledge of the uncertainty of this timestamp is important for a rigorous propagation to further analyses. By assuming a Bayesian regression model to the layer increments we express the dating uncertainty by the posterior distribution, from which chronologies can be sampled efficiently. We apply our framework to dating abrupt warming transitions during the last glacial.
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