Articles | Volume 17, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-1777-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-1777-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
27 Aug 2021
Research article |
| 27 Aug 2021
| 27 Aug 2021
Mid-Pliocene West African Monsoon rainfall as simulated in the PlioMIP2 ensemble
Ellen Berntell
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Physical Geography and Bolin Centre for Climate
Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Qiong Zhang
Department of Physical Geography and Bolin Centre for Climate
Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Department of Physical Geography and Bolin Centre for Climate
Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Alan M. Haywood
School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Woodhouse Lane, Leeds, West Yorkshire, UK
Julia C. Tindall
School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Woodhouse Lane, Leeds, West Yorkshire, UK
Stephen J. Hunter
School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Woodhouse Lane, Leeds, West Yorkshire, UK
Zhongshi Zhang
Department of Atmospheric Science, School of Environmental Studies,
China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China
NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
Xiangyu Li
Department of Atmospheric Science, School of Environmental Studies,
China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China
Chuncheng Guo
NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
Kerim H. Nisancioglu
Department of Earth Science, University of Bergen and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
Centre for Earth Evolution and Dynamics, University of Oslo, Oslo,
Norway
Christian Stepanek
Alfred Wegener Institute – Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar und
Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany
Gerrit Lohmann
Alfred Wegener Institute – Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar und
Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany
Institute for Environmental Physics, University of Bremen, Bremen,
Germany
Linda E. Sohl
Centre for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University, New York,
USA
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, USA
Mark A. Chandler
Centre for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University, New York,
USA
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, USA
Ning Tan
Key Laboratory of Cenozoic Geology and Environment, Institute of
Geology and Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Camille Contoux
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Gilles Ramstein
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Michiel L. J. Baatsen
Centre for Complex Systems Science, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
Anna S. von der Heydt
Centre for Complex Systems Science, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht (IMAU),
Department of Physics, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
Deepak Chandan
Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario,
Canada
William Richard Peltier
Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario,
Canada
Ayako Abe-Ouchi
Centre for Earth Surface System Dynamics (CESD), Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute (AORI), University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
Wing-Le Chan
Centre for Earth Surface System Dynamics (CESD), Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute (AORI), University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
Youichi Kamae
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba,
Tsukuba, Japan
Charles J. R. Williams
School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
NCAS, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
Daniel J. Lunt
School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
Ran Feng
Department of Geosciences, University of Connecticut, Storrs, USA
Bette L. Otto-Bliesner
Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for
Atmospheric Research, Boulder, USA
Esther C. Brady
Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for
Atmospheric Research, Boulder, USA
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Cited
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Similar North Pacific variability despite suppressed El Niño variability in the warm mid-Pliocene climate A. Oldeman et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1037-2024
- Less Dryland Aridity During Pliocene Warmth R. Zhang et al. 10.1029/2023JD039371
- Revisiting the physical processes controlling the tropical atmospheric circulation changes during the Mid-Piacenzian Warm Period K. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.quaint.2024.01.001
- Mid-Pliocene not analogous to high-CO2 climate when considering Northern Hemisphere winter variability A. Oldeman et al. 10.5194/wcd-5-395-2024
- Enhanced summer extreme precipitation over the Asian-African land monsoon regions during past warm periods: A modelling perspective from CESM2 X. Kong et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2023.108291
- Southern African precipitation changes in a warmer world: insights from the PlioMIP2 mid-Pliocene Warm Period (∼3.3–3.0 Ma) ensemble S. Roffe et al. 10.1080/0035919X.2024.2410945
- The Yorktown Formation: Improved Stratigraphy, Chronology, and Paleoclimate Interpretations from the U.S. Mid-Atlantic Coastal Plain H. Dowsett et al. 10.3390/geosciences11120486
- The changes in south Asian summer monsoon circulation during the mid-Piacenzian warm period Z. Han & G. Li 10.1007/s00382-024-07179-1
- Modeling the mid-piacenzian warm climate using the water isotope-enabled Community Earth System Model (iCESM1.2-ITPCAS) Y. Sun et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07304-0
- Aerosol uncertainties in tropical precipitation changes for the mid-Pliocene warm period A. Zhao et al. 10.5194/cp-20-1195-2024
- Simulation of the mid-Pliocene Warm Period using HadGEM3: experimental design and results from model–model and model–data comparison C. Williams et al. 10.5194/cp-17-2139-2021
- Changes in Sahel summer rainfall in a global warming climate: contrasting the mid-Pliocene and future regional hydrological cycles Z. Han et al. 10.1007/s00382-022-06630-5
- Past terrestrial hydroclimate sensitivity controlled by Earth system feedbacks R. Feng et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-28814-7
- Mid-Holocene West African monsoon rainfall enhanced in EC-Earth simulation with dynamic vegetation feedback E. Berntell & Q. Zhang 10.1007/s00382-024-07262-7
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Similar North Pacific variability despite suppressed El Niño variability in the warm mid-Pliocene climate A. Oldeman et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1037-2024
- Less Dryland Aridity During Pliocene Warmth R. Zhang et al. 10.1029/2023JD039371
- Revisiting the physical processes controlling the tropical atmospheric circulation changes during the Mid-Piacenzian Warm Period K. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.quaint.2024.01.001
- Mid-Pliocene not analogous to high-CO2 climate when considering Northern Hemisphere winter variability A. Oldeman et al. 10.5194/wcd-5-395-2024
- Enhanced summer extreme precipitation over the Asian-African land monsoon regions during past warm periods: A modelling perspective from CESM2 X. Kong et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2023.108291
- Southern African precipitation changes in a warmer world: insights from the PlioMIP2 mid-Pliocene Warm Period (∼3.3–3.0 Ma) ensemble S. Roffe et al. 10.1080/0035919X.2024.2410945
- The Yorktown Formation: Improved Stratigraphy, Chronology, and Paleoclimate Interpretations from the U.S. Mid-Atlantic Coastal Plain H. Dowsett et al. 10.3390/geosciences11120486
- The changes in south Asian summer monsoon circulation during the mid-Piacenzian warm period Z. Han & G. Li 10.1007/s00382-024-07179-1
- Modeling the mid-piacenzian warm climate using the water isotope-enabled Community Earth System Model (iCESM1.2-ITPCAS) Y. Sun et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07304-0
- Aerosol uncertainties in tropical precipitation changes for the mid-Pliocene warm period A. Zhao et al. 10.5194/cp-20-1195-2024
- Simulation of the mid-Pliocene Warm Period using HadGEM3: experimental design and results from model–model and model–data comparison C. Williams et al. 10.5194/cp-17-2139-2021
- Changes in Sahel summer rainfall in a global warming climate: contrasting the mid-Pliocene and future regional hydrological cycles Z. Han et al. 10.1007/s00382-022-06630-5
- Past terrestrial hydroclimate sensitivity controlled by Earth system feedbacks R. Feng et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-28814-7
- Mid-Holocene West African monsoon rainfall enhanced in EC-Earth simulation with dynamic vegetation feedback E. Berntell & Q. Zhang 10.1007/s00382-024-07262-7
Latest update: 13 Dec 2024
Short summary
The mid-Pliocene Warm Period (~ 3.2 Ma) is often considered an analogue for near-future climate projections, and model results from the PlioMIP2 ensemble show an increase of rainfall over West Africa and the Sahara region compared to pre-industrial conditions. Though previous studies of future projections show a west–east drying–wetting contrast over the Sahel, these results indicate a uniform rainfall increase over the Sahel in warm climates characterized by increased greenhouse gas forcing.
The mid-Pliocene Warm Period (~ 3.2 Ma) is often considered an analogue for near-future climate...
