Articles | Volume 10, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-1079-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-1079-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Modeling of severe persistent droughts over eastern China during the last millennium
Y. Peng
Department of Earth Environmental Science, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China
C. Shen
Atomspheric Sciences Research Center, State University of New York at Albany, Albany, USA
Key Laboratory of Plateau Lake Ecology and Global Change, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming, China
H. Cheng
Department of Geology and Geophysics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, USA
Institute of Global Environmental Change, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China
Laboratory for Climate Studies, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China
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Zhenyu Han, Botao Zhou, Ying Xu, Jia Wu, and Ying Shi
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 10109–10123, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-10109-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-10109-2017, 2017
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Based on the future projection of high-resolution regional climate simulations under the medium-low radiative forcing scenario, the haze pollution potential tends to increase almost over the whole of China except central China, and this increase would be generally aggravated over time. There would be a higher probability of pollution risk over Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei and Yangtze River Delta in winter, over Pearl River Delta in spring and summer, and over Northeast China throughout the whole year.
J. Ruan, F. Kherbouche, D. Genty, D. Blamart, H. Cheng, F. Dewilde, S. Hachi, R. L. Edwards, E. Régnier, and J.-L. Michelot
Clim. Past, 12, 1–14, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-1-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-1-2016, 2016
S. J. Burns, L. C. Kanner, H. Cheng, and R. Lawrence Edwards
Clim. Past, 11, 931–938, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-931-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-931-2015, 2015
M. Van Rampelbergh, S. Verheyden, M. Allan, Y. Quinif, H. Cheng, L. R. Edwards, E. Keppens, and P. Claeys
Clim. Past, 11, 789–802, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-789-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-789-2015, 2015
C. Buizert, K. M. Cuffey, J. P. Severinghaus, D. Baggenstos, T. J. Fudge, E. J. Steig, B. R. Markle, M. Winstrup, R. H. Rhodes, E. J. Brook, T. A. Sowers, G. D. Clow, H. Cheng, R. L. Edwards, M. Sigl, J. R. McConnell, and K. C. Taylor
Clim. Past, 11, 153–173, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-153-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-153-2015, 2015
P. X. Wang, B. Wang, H. Cheng, J. Fasullo, Z. T. Guo, T. Kiefer, and Z. Y. Liu
Clim. Past, 10, 2007–2052, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-2007-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-2007-2014, 2014
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All regional monsoons belong to a cohesive global monsoon circulation system, albeit thateach regional subsystem has its own indigenous features. A comprehensive review of global monsoon variability reveals that regional monsoons can vary coherently across a range of timescales, from interannual up to orbital and tectonic. Study of monsoon variability from both global and regional perspectives is imperative and advantageous for integrated understanding of the modern and paleo-monsoon dynamics.
J. Apaéstegui, F. W. Cruz, A. Sifeddine, M. Vuille, J. C. Espinoza, J. L. Guyot, M. Khodri, N. Strikis, R. V. Santos, H. Cheng, L. Edwards, E. Carvalho, and W. Santini
Clim. Past, 10, 1967–1981, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-1967-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-1967-2014, 2014
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In this paper we explore a speleothem δ18O record from Palestina cave, northwestern Peru, on the eastern side of the Andes cordillera, in the upper Amazon Basin. The δ18O record is interpreted as a proxy for South American Summer Monsoon (SASM) intensity and allows the reconstruction of its variability during the last 1600 years. Replicating regional climate signals from different sites and using different proxies is essential for a comprehensive understanding of past changes in SASM activity.
J.-J. Yin, D.-X. Yuan, H.-C. Li, H. Cheng, T.-Y. Li, R. L. Edwards, Y.-S. Lin, J.-M. Qin, W. Tang, Z.-Y. Zhao, and H.-S. Mii
Clim. Past, 10, 1803–1816, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-1803-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-1803-2014, 2014
C. Spötl and H. Cheng
Clim. Past, 10, 1349–1362, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-1349-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-1349-2014, 2014
M. Berkelhammer, A. Sinha, M. Mudelsee, H. Cheng, K. Yoshimura, and J. Biswas
Clim. Past, 10, 733–744, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-733-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-733-2014, 2014
Related subject area
Subject: Climate Modelling | Archive: Historical Records | Timescale: Centennial-Decadal
Documentary evidence of urban droughts and their impact in the eastern Netherlands: the cases of Deventer and Zutphen, 1500–1795
The climate in Poland (central Europe) in the first half of the last millennium, revisited
Climatic and societal impacts in Scandinavia following the 536 and 540 CE volcanic double event
A Bayesian approach to historical climatology for the Burgundian Low Countries in the 15th century
Was there a volcanic-induced long-lasting cooling over the Northern Hemisphere in the mid-6th–7th century?
A pseudoproxy assessment of why climate field reconstruction methods perform the way they do in time and space
China's historical record when searching for tropical cyclones corresponding to Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) shifts over the past 2 kyr
On-line and off-line data assimilation in palaeoclimatology: a case study
Dániel Johannes Moerman
Clim. Past, 20, 1721–1734, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1721-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1721-2024, 2024
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This article provides a first look into the impact of drought in two cities in the eastern Netherlands from 1500 to 1795 on the basis of municipal records. It concludes that the impact of drought was sometimes similar but also different for both cities when focusing on specific aspects, such as water shortage and navigation. This strengthens the view that the impact of droughts could differ highly on a local level, which necessitates more emphasis on regional and local drought reconstructions.
Rajmund Przybylak, Piotr Oliński, Marcin Koprowski, Elżbieta Szychowska-Krąpiec, Marek Krąpiec, Aleksandra Pospieszyńska, and Radosław Puchałka
Clim. Past, 19, 2389–2408, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-2389-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-2389-2023, 2023
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The present paper upgrades our knowledge of Poland’s climate in the period 1001–1500 using multiproxy data. Four new climate reconstructions have been constructed – three based on dendrochronological data (since the 12th century) and one on documentary evidence (since the 15th century). The results should help improve the knowledge of climate change in Europe, particularly in central Europe.
Evelien van Dijk, Ingar Mørkestøl Gundersen, Anna de Bode, Helge Høeg, Kjetil Loftsgarden, Frode Iversen, Claudia Timmreck, Johann Jungclaus, and Kirstin Krüger
Clim. Past, 19, 357–398, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-357-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-357-2023, 2023
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The mid-6th century was one of the coldest periods of the last 2000 years as characterized by great societal changes. Here, we study the effect of the volcanic double event in 536 CE and 540 CE on climate and society in southern Norway. The combined climate and growing degree day models and high-resolution pollen and archaeological records reveal that the northern and western sites are vulnerable to crop failure with possible abandonment of farms, whereas the southeastern site is more resilient.
Chantal Camenisch, Fernando Jaume-Santero, Sam White, Qing Pei, Ralf Hand, Christian Rohr, and Stefan Brönnimann
Clim. Past, 18, 2449–2462, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-2449-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-2449-2022, 2022
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We present a novel approach to assimilate climate information contained in chronicles and annals from the 15th century to generate climate reconstructions of the Burgundian Low Countries, taking into account uncertainties associated with the descriptions of narrative sources. Our study aims to be a first step towards a more quantitative use of available information contained in historical texts, showing how Bayesian inference can help the climate community with this endeavor.
Evelien van Dijk, Johann Jungclaus, Stephan Lorenz, Claudia Timmreck, and Kirstin Krüger
Clim. Past, 18, 1601–1623, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-1601-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-1601-2022, 2022
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A double volcanic eruption in 536 and 540 CE caused one of the coldest decades during the last 2000 years. We analyzed new climate model simulations from that period and found a cooling of up to 2°C and a sea-ice extent up to 200 km further south. Complex interactions between sea ice and ocean circulation lead to a reduction in the northward ocean heat transport, which makes the sea ice extend further south; this in turn leads to a surface cooling up to 20 years after the eruptions.
Sooin Yun, Jason E. Smerdon, Bo Li, and Xianyang Zhang
Clim. Past, 17, 2583–2605, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-2583-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-2583-2021, 2021
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Climate field reconstructions (CFRs) estimate spatiotemporal climate conditions hundreds to thousands of years into the past. Assessing CFR skills is critical for improving their interpretation and ultimately for deriving better CFR estimates. We apply new methods for assessing spatiotemporal skill using formalized null hypotheses to derive a detailed assessment of why CFR skill varies across multiple methods, with implications for improving future CFR estimates.
Huei-Fen Chen, Yen-Chu Liu, Chih-Wen Chiang, Xingqi Liu, Yu-Min Chou, and Hui-Juan Pan
Clim. Past, 15, 279–289, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-15-279-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-15-279-2019, 2019
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China’s historical typhoon data show that (1) the tracks of typhoons correspond to the north–southward migration of the Intertropical Convergence Zone and phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation, which show a nearly 30-year and a 60-year cycle during the Little Ice Age (LIA) and (2) paleotyphoons made landfall in mainland China 1 month earlier during the Medieval Warm Period than during the LIA.
A. Matsikaris, M. Widmann, and J. Jungclaus
Clim. Past, 11, 81–93, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-81-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-81-2015, 2015
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We compare an off-line and an on-line ensemble-based data assimilation method, for the climate of the 17th century. Both schemes perform better than the simulations without DA, and similar skill on the continental and hemispheric scales is found. This indicates either a lack of control of the slow components in our setup or a lack of skill in the information propagation on decadal timescales. The temporal consistency of the analysis in the on-line method makes it generally more preferable.
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