Articles | Volume 22, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-22-377-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
How temperature seasonality drives interglacial permafrost dynamics: implications for paleo reconstructions and future thaw trajectories
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- Final revised paper (published on 19 Feb 2026)
- Preprint (discussion started on 20 Jan 2025)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-4011', Anonymous Referee #1, 11 Mar 2025
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Jan Nitzbon, 23 May 2025
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-4011', Anonymous Referee #2, 25 Apr 2025
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Jan Nitzbon, 23 May 2025
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (09 Jun 2025) by Alberto Reyes
AR by Jan Nitzbon on behalf of the Authors (08 Jul 2025)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (10 Dec 2025) by Irina Rogozhina
AR by Jan Nitzbon on behalf of the Authors (16 Dec 2025)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (16 Dec 2025) by Irina Rogozhina
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (27 Jan 2026)
ED: Publish as is (28 Jan 2026) by Irina Rogozhina
AR by Jan Nitzbon on behalf of the Authors (29 Jan 2026)
Post-review adjustments
AA – Author's adjustment | EA – Editor approval
AA by Jan Nitzbon on behalf of the Authors (04 Feb 2026)
Author's adjustment
Manuscript
EA: Adjustments approved (13 Feb 2026) by Irina Rogozhina
This study highlights the importance of seasonality in permafrost dynamics. I think that this is a good paper, including clear logic and professional writing. The results will be important for permafrost research. My comments are the following.
L12, some readers may be interested in how annual mean and seasonal amplitudes changes, here.
L104, what is the deepest soil column of simulation for CryoGridLite permafrost model?
L37, “Brierley et al. (2020); Otto-Bliesner et al. (2021)” should be (Brierley et al., 2020; Otto-Bliesner et al., 2021).
L170, the authors say that speleothem growth suggests absence of permafrost here, but in L180 the authors say that locations with speleothem growth is agreement with the model if permafrost probability <90%. The former and the latter appear to be contradictory.
Figure 4, remove a “on the”, it is repeated.
Figure 5, I suggest to add the significance of these correlations.
Lines 240-245, the phenomenon is clear, i.e., mean temperature control the permafrost area rather than seasonal temperature amplitude. However, what are the physical explanations?
L320 and L324, what is the difference between “a mean global surface warming above recent conditions” and “MH-PI global temperature anomaly”?
L467-471, here, I suggest to state that whilst the most recent interglacial climates providing less analogues for the future with respective to permafrost dynamics, this do not exclude that the past older warming period may be appropriate. For instance, the most simulation study (https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2301954120) on the mid- Pliocene warm period (mPWP, ~3.264 to 3.025 Ma) permafrost. During the mPWP, the temperature increase significantly in both winter and summer. The period also evolves regional differences in warming, in particular in the high latitudes. These are similar to the future warming. So, mPWP permafrost remains one of the analogs for the future permafrost dynamics, and likely the results (highly restricted extent) has implications for the future.