Articles | Volume 22, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-22-1741-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Trends in south pole particle concentrations imply holocene westerly wind strengthening
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- Final revised paper (published on 28 Sep 2026)
- Supplement to the final revised paper
- Preprint (discussion started on 08 May 2025)
- Supplement to the preprint
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1897', Anonymous Referee #1, 09 Jun 2025
- AC2: 'Reply on RC1', Aaron Chesler, 31 Aug 2025
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1897', Anonymous Referee #2, 11 Jun 2025
- AC1: 'Reply on RC2', Aaron Chesler, 31 Aug 2025
- AC3: 'Reply on RC2', Aaron Chesler, 31 Aug 2025
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (12 Sep 2025) by Barbara Stenni
AR by Aaron Chesler on behalf of the Authors (23 Oct 2025)
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ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (08 Nov 2025) by Barbara Stenni
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (01 Dec 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (01 Dec 2025)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (21 Dec 2025) by Barbara Stenni
AR by Aaron Chesler on behalf of the Authors (01 Feb 2026)
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ED: Reconsider after major revisions (15 Feb 2026) by Barbara Stenni
AR by Aaron Chesler on behalf of the Authors (28 Mar 2026)
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ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (10 Apr 2026) by Barbara Stenni
AR by Aaron Chesler on behalf of the Authors (17 Apr 2026)
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ED: Publish as is (30 Apr 2026) by Barbara Stenni
AR by Aaron Chesler on behalf of the Authors (08 May 2026)
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The manuscript focuses on the Holocene section of the South Pole ice core, in particular on dust concentrations and size distributions. The time series of associated variables are presented and interpreted in combination with other proxy records, as well as based on indicators of potential transport of dust, through analyses on back-trajectories in modern times, and analysis of some variables from CMIP6 and PMIP4 simulations with global climate models.
In my opinion, the data presented here is very interesting; however, there are two main issues that need to be addressed. The first issue that warrants attention is the lack of sufficient clarity/details/justifications in some passages. The second issue is the limited comparability of some of the metrics used here with those typically presented in the literature; I think that the authors should make an effort to include more mass/volume-based metrics, at least in the supplement, to enhance comparability with previous work.
Specific comments
68. Which subset? What were the criteria for selection? Say something briefly also in the main text.
Text S1, p2. How are all the bins defined? You report “additional” bins by numbers … are they bin centers or lower/upper edges? How are those bins spaced?
Text S1, p2. “The CFA system has an effective resolution of 3 mm with a dispersion signal of 1
cm”. What are the implications?
72. “we do not use metrics …” I suppose you refer only/specifically to the calculations of CPP, since your section 3.1 is called “Holocene dust flux”. Please clarify.
74. You should probably specify “we use particle number concentration”
75. Remove “<” before “5.1”
Text S1, p2. “We use a spherical particle shape assumption to facilitate comparison to other
Antarctica ice core particle records that include a volume assumption (i.e., flux)”. You could compare your “best” fluxes, i.e. assuming spheroids, with Coulter Counter based fluxes (and for calculating CPP). Those measurements are deemed accurate with respect to the actual volume of the particles, without the need of any assumption on their shape. Using spherical equivalent diameters to identify their sizes does not conflict with this notion. In fact, I think you should add in the main text a description of how you calculate dust mass flux, and move Figure S1 to the main text. The shape is not the only possible source of uncertainty, as there might be an unconstrained bias, in terms of a systematic underestimation of dust fluxes, due to the limited size range of the laser counter; the comparisons with coulter counter measurements in Chesler et al. (2023) over the same size range do not allow a full evaluation this aspect. Also, you could compare different assumptions on particles shape (spheres and spheroids) to calculate mass-based FPP/CPP for the South Pole record and allow an easier comparison to previous published work using the same metric. At least this should be added as part of the supplement.
78-80. Please provide a little more information on how you set up HYSPLIT runs, e.g. the starting vertical level of back trajectories, etc.
83. “pre-industrial (1850 – 2014 AD)”: this not pre-industrial. The indicated period suggests that you used the output from historical CMIP6 experiments, rather than the pre-industrial equilibrium control experiments with 1850 CE boundary conditions. Please clarify, also by adding the experiments IDs, and add references for both periods referring to the CIMP6 and PMIP4 experimental setup (or synthesis of the main results) publications, e.g. for the mid-Holocene: Otto-Bliesner et al., 2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-3979-2017 (or Brierley et al., 2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1847-2020 ). In fact, you should also justify why you chose the historical rather than the (more logic option) piControl experiments.
84. Do you mean “We replace all positive values, …” with ones?
Table 1. I believe it’s NCAR - CESM2
95-98. I would still prefer to read “number concentrations” for the sake of immediate clarity to the readers
97. “the timing of relative change within each metric is relatively similar”: I do not understand this sentence, please clarify.
97-98. What I see is a generalized inverse relationship between number concentrations and CPP along the entire record, which breaks between ~2,000 and ~4,500 Years BP, when the two records run almost parallel to each other. The phrasing of the description here should be more accurate. In addition, this feature should be discussed when positing a significant relationship between d18O and dust in the following section, i.e. at lines 112-114. Perhaps, you could use a running window approach for calculating correlations.
Figure 3. “No increase” should read “All decrease”, and a symmetrically diverging red-white-blue palette might be more effective at depicting the actual situation.
156-160. Those two sentences are unclear. Please rephrase.
178-179. Not surprisingly you see a spatially consistent warming in all model simulation: you are comparing, apparently, mid-Holocene simulations with the average of historical simulations, which include the response to increased greenhouse gases emissions up to the present-day.
Data. You should acknowledge the HYSPLIT website, World Climate Research Programme’s Working Group on Coupled Modelling, which is responsible for CMIP, the Earth System Grid Federation, as well as indicate the specific ESGF node and access date of your downloads for CMIP6/PMIP4 model output data.