Climate of the Past
Climate of the Past
CP
Articles | Volume 21, issue 2
Articles | Volume 21, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-21-357-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-21-357-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 21, issue 2
Research article
 | 
04 Feb 2025
Research article |  | 04 Feb 2025

New probabilistic methods for quantitative climate reconstructions applied to palynological data from Lake Kinneret

Timon Netzel, Andrea Miebach, Thomas Litt, and Andreas Hense

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Cited articles

Bar-Matthews, M., Ayalon, A., Gilmour, M., Matthews, A., and Hawkesworth, C.: Sea-land isotopic relationships from planktonic foraminifera and speleothems in the Eastern Mediterranean region and their implication for paleorainfall during interglacial intervals, Geochim. Cosmochim. Ac., 67, 3181–3199, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0016-7037(02)01031-1, 2003. a
Ben-Avraham, Z., Rosenthal, M., Tibor, G., Navon, H., Wust-Bloch, H., Hofstetter, R., and Rybakov, M.: Structure and Tectonic Development of the Kinneret Basin, in: Lake Kinneret: Ecology and Management, edited by: Zohary, T., Sukenik, A., Berman, T., and Nishri, A., Springer Netherlands, Dordrecht, 19–38, ISBN 978-94-017-8944-8, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-8944-8_2, 2014. a
Berger, J. O.: Statistical decision theory and Bayesian analysis, Springer Verlag, New York, Berlin, Heidelberg, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-4286-2, 2013. a
Berman, T., Zohary, T., Nishri, A., and Sukenik, A.: General Background, in: Lake Kinneret: Ecology and Management, edited by Zohary, T., Sukenik, A., Berman, T., and Nishri, A. Springer Netherlands, Dordrecht, 1–15, ISBN 978-94-017-8944-8, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-8944-8_1, 2014. a
Beug, H.: Leitfaden der Pollenbestimmung für Mitteleuropa und angrenzende Gebiete, Verlag Dr. Friedrich Pfeil, ISBN 9783899370430, 2004. a
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New probabilistic methods for local quantitative paleoclimate reconstructions are introduced within a Bayesian framework and applied to plant proxy data from Lake Kinneret (Israel). Recent climate data and arboreal pollen from the lake's sediment are added as predefined boundary conditions. The results provide a reconstruction of the mean December–February temperature and annual precipitation, along with their associated uncertainty ranges, in this region during the Holocene.
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