Articles | Volume 20, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-2487-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-2487-2024
Research article
 | 
12 Nov 2024
Research article |  | 12 Nov 2024

Predicting trends in atmospheric CO2 across the Mid-Pleistocene Transition using existing climate archives

Jordan R. W. Martin, Joel B. Pedro, and Tessa R. Vance

Data sets

Predicting trends in atmospheric CO2 across the Mid-Pleistocene Transition using existing climate archives, AAS_4632_Martin_etal_CP_2024 J. Martin et al. https://doi.org/10.26179/7hkr-mz03

Model code and software

Code for predicting trends in atmospheric CO2 across the Mid-Pleistocene Transition using existing climate archives, AAS_4632_Martin_etal_CP_2024 J. Martin et al. https://doi.org/10.26179/7hkr-mz03

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Short summary
We use existing palaeoclimate data and a statistical model to predict atmospheric CO2 concentrations across the Mid-Pleistocene Transition. Our prediction assumes that the relationship between CO2 and benthic ẟ18Ocalcite over the past 800 000 years can be extended over the last 1.8 million years. We find no clear evidence from existing blue ice or proxy-based CO2 data to reject the predicted record. A definitive test awaits analysis of continuous oldest ice core records from Antarctica.