Articles | Volume 20, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1989-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1989-2024
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12 Sep 2024
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 12 Sep 2024

Can we reliably reconstruct the mid-Pliocene Warm Period with sparse data and uncertain models?

James D. Annan, Julia C. Hargreaves, Thorsten Mauritsen, Erin McClymont, and Sze Ling Ho

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Latest update: 20 Nov 2024
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Co-editor-in-chief
This study presents an interesting attempt to reconstruct global surface temperature by combining sparse SST proxy data and PlioMIP2 simulations using a state-of-the-art data assimilation framework. The work highlights the potential of this method for providing key insights into past warming patterns, and will serve as a good starting point for future investigations.
Short summary
We have created a new global surface temperature reconstruction of the climate of the mid-Pliocene Warm Period, representing the period roughly 3.2 million years before the present day. We estimate that the globally averaged mean temperature was around 3.9 °C warmer than it was in pre-industrial times, but there is significant uncertainty in this value.