Articles | Volume 18, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-911-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-911-2022
Technical note
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26 Apr 2022
Technical note | Highlight paper |  | 26 Apr 2022

Technical Note: Past and future warming – direct comparison on multi-century timescales

Darrell S. Kaufman and Nicholas P. McKay

Data sets

NOAA/WDS Paleoclimatology - Holocene global surface temperature: A multi-method reconstruction approach D. Kaufman, N. McKay, C. Routson, M. Erb, C. Dätwyler, P. Sommer, O. Heiri, and B. Davis https://doi.org/10.25921/vzys-1280

NOAA/WDS Paleoclimatology - Globally resolved surface temperatures since the Last Glacial Maximum M. B. Osman, J. E. Tierney, J. Zhu, R. Tardif, G. J. Halkim, J. King, and C. J. Poulsen https://doi.org/10.25921/njxd-hg08

Global temperature time series from IPCC AR6 B. Trewin https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6321535

AR6 WG1 plots and processing (v1.0.0) Z. Nicholls, M. Meinshausen, and J. Lewis https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6386979

Summary for Policymakers of the Working Group I contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Figure SPM.1 (v20210809) N. P. Gillett, E. Malinina, D. Kaufman, and R. Neukom https://doi.org/10.5285/76cad0b4f6f141ada1c44a4ce9e7d4bd

Model code and software

nickmckay/past-and-future-warming-comparison-figure code repository (page proofs) N. McKay and D. Kaufman https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6399351

nickmckay/Temperature12k: Analysis and plotting code for Temp12k Analysis Paper (1.2.0) C. Routson, N. McKay, P. S. Sommer, C. Dätwyler, and M. Erb https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3888590

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Short summary
Global mean surface temperatures are rising to levels unprecedented in over 100 000 years. This conclusion takes into account both recent global warming and likely future warming, which thereby enables a direct comparison with paleotemperature reconstructions on multi-century timescales.