Comparison of observed borehole temperatures in Antarctica with simulations using a forward model driven by climate model outputs covering the past millennium
Georges Lemaître Centre for Earth and Climate Research
(TECLIM), Earth and Life Institute (ELI), Université catholique de Louvain (UCLouvain), Place Louis Pasteur, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium
Georges Lemaître Centre for Earth and Climate Research
(TECLIM), Earth and Life Institute (ELI), Université catholique de Louvain (UCLouvain), Place Louis Pasteur, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium
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This paper uses two different ways to perform model–data comparisons for the borehole temperature in Antarctica. The results suggest most models generally reproduce the long-term cooling in West Antarctica from 1000 to 1600 CE and the recent 50 years of warming in West Antarctica and Antarctic Peninsula. However, The 19th-century cooling in the Antarctic Peninsula (−0.94 °C) is not reproduced by any of the models, which tend to show warming instead.
This paper uses two different ways to perform model–data comparisons for the borehole...