Articles | Volume 14, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-825-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-825-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
18 Jun 2018
Research article |
| 18 Jun 2018
| 18 Jun 2018
On the mechanisms of warming the mid-Pliocene and the inference of a hierarchy of climate sensitivities with relevance to the understanding of climate futures
Deepak Chandan
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Physics, University of Toronto, 60 St. George Street, Toronto, Ontario M5S1A7, Canada
W. Richard Peltier
Department of Physics, University of Toronto, 60 St. George Street, Toronto, Ontario M5S1A7, Canada
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Cited
31 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Multi-variate factorisation of numerical simulations D. Lunt et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-4307-2021
- Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (PlioMIP3) – Science plan and experimental design A. Haywood et al. 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2023.104316
- The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: large-scale climate features and climate sensitivity A. Haywood et al. 10.5194/cp-16-2095-2020
- Terrestrial amplification of past, present, and future climate change A. Seltzer et al. 10.1126/sciadv.adf8119
- An energy balance model for paleoclimate transitions B. Dortmans et al. 10.5194/cp-15-493-2019
- Reduced El Niño variability in the mid-Pliocene according to the PlioMIP2 ensemble A. Oldeman et al. 10.5194/cp-17-2427-2021
- Mid-Holocene monsoons in South and Southeast Asia: dynamically downscaled simulations and the influence of the Green Sahara Y. Huo et al. 10.5194/cp-17-1645-2021
- Mid-Pliocene not analogous to high-CO2 climate when considering Northern Hemisphere winter variability A. Oldeman et al. 10.5194/wcd-5-395-2024
- The Yorktown Formation: Improved Stratigraphy, Chronology, and Paleoclimate Interpretations from the U.S. Mid-Atlantic Coastal Plain H. Dowsett et al. 10.3390/geosciences11120486
- Multiproxy Reconstruction of Pliocene North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Implications for Rainfall in North Africa J. Wycech et al. 10.1029/2022PA004424
- Survival of the Qaidam mega-lake system under mid-Pliocene climates and its restoration under future climates D. Scherer 10.5194/hess-24-3835-2020
- Modeling the mid-piacenzian warm climate using the water isotope-enabled Community Earth System Model (iCESM1.2-ITPCAS) Y. Sun et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07304-0
- On the climatic influence of CO2forcing in the Pliocene L. Burton et al. 10.5194/cp-19-747-2023
- Into the Holocene, anatomy of the Younger Dryas cold reversal and preboreal oscillation J. Velay-Vitow et al. 10.1038/s41598-024-53591-2
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- Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP2) simulations using the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate (MIROC4m) W. Chan & A. Abe-Ouchi 10.5194/cp-16-1523-2020
- Topological Climate Change K. Kypke & W. Langford 10.1142/S0218127420300050
- Including the efficacy of land ice changes in deriving climate sensitivity from paleodata L. Stap et al. 10.5194/esd-10-333-2019
- Less Dryland Aridity During Pliocene Warmth R. Zhang et al. 10.1029/2023JD039371
- Mid-Pliocene West African Monsoon rainfall as simulated in the PlioMIP2 ensemble E. Berntell et al. 10.5194/cp-17-1777-2021
- Mid-Holocene climate of the Tibetan Plateau and hydroclimate in three major river basins based on high-resolution regional climate simulations Y. Huo et al. 10.5194/cp-18-2401-2022
- Using paleoecological data to inform decision making: A deep-time perspective H. Dowsett et al. 10.3389/fevo.2022.972179
- Modeling the late Pliocene global monsoon response to individual boundary conditions R. Zhang et al. 10.1007/s00382-019-04834-w
- Mid-Pliocene Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation simulated in PlioMIP2 Z. Zhang et al. 10.5194/cp-17-529-2021
- The PMIP4 Last Glacial Maximum experiments: preliminary results and comparison with the PMIP3 simulations M. Kageyama et al. 10.5194/cp-17-1065-2021
- Modeling a modern-like <i>p</i>CO<sub>2</sub> warm period (Marine Isotope Stage KM5c) with two versions of an Institut Pierre Simon Laplace atmosphere–ocean coupled general circulation model N. Tan et al. 10.5194/cp-16-1-2020
- Influence of stationary waves on mid-Pliocene atmospheric rivers and hydroclimate S. Menemenlis et al. 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2021.103557
- Revisiting the physical processes controlling the tropical atmospheric circulation changes during the Mid-Piacenzian Warm Period K. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.quaint.2024.01.001
- Multiproxy Reduced‐Dimension Reconstruction of Pliocene Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures J. Wycech et al. 10.1029/2019PA003685
- Simulating Miocene Warmth: Insights From an Opportunistic Multi‐Model Ensemble (MioMIP1) N. Burls et al. 10.1029/2020PA004054
- An online ensemble coupled data assimilation capability for the Community Earth System Model: system design and evaluation J. Sun et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-4805-2022
31 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Multi-variate factorisation of numerical simulations D. Lunt et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-4307-2021
- Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (PlioMIP3) – Science plan and experimental design A. Haywood et al. 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2023.104316
- The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: large-scale climate features and climate sensitivity A. Haywood et al. 10.5194/cp-16-2095-2020
- Terrestrial amplification of past, present, and future climate change A. Seltzer et al. 10.1126/sciadv.adf8119
- An energy balance model for paleoclimate transitions B. Dortmans et al. 10.5194/cp-15-493-2019
- Reduced El Niño variability in the mid-Pliocene according to the PlioMIP2 ensemble A. Oldeman et al. 10.5194/cp-17-2427-2021
- Mid-Holocene monsoons in South and Southeast Asia: dynamically downscaled simulations and the influence of the Green Sahara Y. Huo et al. 10.5194/cp-17-1645-2021
- Mid-Pliocene not analogous to high-CO2 climate when considering Northern Hemisphere winter variability A. Oldeman et al. 10.5194/wcd-5-395-2024
- The Yorktown Formation: Improved Stratigraphy, Chronology, and Paleoclimate Interpretations from the U.S. Mid-Atlantic Coastal Plain H. Dowsett et al. 10.3390/geosciences11120486
- Multiproxy Reconstruction of Pliocene North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Implications for Rainfall in North Africa J. Wycech et al. 10.1029/2022PA004424
- Survival of the Qaidam mega-lake system under mid-Pliocene climates and its restoration under future climates D. Scherer 10.5194/hess-24-3835-2020
- Modeling the mid-piacenzian warm climate using the water isotope-enabled Community Earth System Model (iCESM1.2-ITPCAS) Y. Sun et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07304-0
- On the climatic influence of CO2forcing in the Pliocene L. Burton et al. 10.5194/cp-19-747-2023
- Into the Holocene, anatomy of the Younger Dryas cold reversal and preboreal oscillation J. Velay-Vitow et al. 10.1038/s41598-024-53591-2
- Evaluating seasonal sea-ice cover over the Southern Ocean at the Last Glacial Maximum R. Green et al. 10.5194/cp-18-845-2022
- Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP2) simulations using the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate (MIROC4m) W. Chan & A. Abe-Ouchi 10.5194/cp-16-1523-2020
- Topological Climate Change K. Kypke & W. Langford 10.1142/S0218127420300050
- Including the efficacy of land ice changes in deriving climate sensitivity from paleodata L. Stap et al. 10.5194/esd-10-333-2019
- Less Dryland Aridity During Pliocene Warmth R. Zhang et al. 10.1029/2023JD039371
- Mid-Pliocene West African Monsoon rainfall as simulated in the PlioMIP2 ensemble E. Berntell et al. 10.5194/cp-17-1777-2021
- Mid-Holocene climate of the Tibetan Plateau and hydroclimate in three major river basins based on high-resolution regional climate simulations Y. Huo et al. 10.5194/cp-18-2401-2022
- Using paleoecological data to inform decision making: A deep-time perspective H. Dowsett et al. 10.3389/fevo.2022.972179
- Modeling the late Pliocene global monsoon response to individual boundary conditions R. Zhang et al. 10.1007/s00382-019-04834-w
- Mid-Pliocene Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation simulated in PlioMIP2 Z. Zhang et al. 10.5194/cp-17-529-2021
- The PMIP4 Last Glacial Maximum experiments: preliminary results and comparison with the PMIP3 simulations M. Kageyama et al. 10.5194/cp-17-1065-2021
- Modeling a modern-like <i>p</i>CO<sub>2</sub> warm period (Marine Isotope Stage KM5c) with two versions of an Institut Pierre Simon Laplace atmosphere–ocean coupled general circulation model N. Tan et al. 10.5194/cp-16-1-2020
- Influence of stationary waves on mid-Pliocene atmospheric rivers and hydroclimate S. Menemenlis et al. 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2021.103557
- Revisiting the physical processes controlling the tropical atmospheric circulation changes during the Mid-Piacenzian Warm Period K. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.quaint.2024.01.001
- Multiproxy Reduced‐Dimension Reconstruction of Pliocene Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures J. Wycech et al. 10.1029/2019PA003685
- Simulating Miocene Warmth: Insights From an Opportunistic Multi‐Model Ensemble (MioMIP1) N. Burls et al. 10.1029/2020PA004054
- An online ensemble coupled data assimilation capability for the Community Earth System Model: system design and evaluation J. Sun et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-4805-2022
Discussed (final revised paper)
Latest update: 29 Jun 2024
Short summary
We infer the physical mechanisms by which the mid-Pliocene could have sustained a warm climate. We also provide a mid-Pliocene perspective on a range of climate sensitivities applicable on several timescales. Warming inferred on the basis of these sensitivity parameters is compared to forecasted levels of warming. This leads us to conclude that projections for 300–500 years into the future underestimate the potential for warming because they do not account for long-timescale feedback processes.
We infer the physical mechanisms by which the mid-Pliocene could have sustained a warm climate....
