Articles | Volume 13, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-13-629-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-13-629-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
08 Jun 2017
Research article |
| 08 Jun 2017
Pseudo-proxy tests of the analogue method to reconstruct spatially resolved global temperature during the Common Era
Juan José Gómez-Navarro
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Department of Physics, University of Murcia, Murcia, Spain
Eduardo Zorita
Institute of Coastal Research, Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Geesthacht, Germany
Christoph C. Raible
Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Raphael Neukom
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
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Cited
21 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Pseudo-proxy evaluation of climate field reconstruction methods of North Atlantic climate based on an annually resolved marine proxy network M. Pyrina et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-13-1339-2017
- Monthly North Atlantic Sea Level Pressure Reconstruction Back to 1750 CE Using Artificial Intelligence Optimization F. Jaume-Santero et al. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0155.1
- Technical note: Considerations on using uncertain proxies in the analogue method for spatiotemporal reconstructions of millennial-scale climate O. Bothe & E. Zorita https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-721-2021
- The colors of proxy noise M. McPartland et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-21-1917-2025
- Climate field reconstructions for the North Atlantic region of annual and seasonal resolution spanning CE 1241–1970 J. Sjolte & Q. Tao https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-22-915-2026
- Proxy surrogate reconstructions for Europe and the estimation of their uncertainties O. Bothe & E. Zorita https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-341-2020
- Statistical-dynamical analog ensemble system for real time quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPFs) at local scale in the north-west Himalaya (NWH), India D. Singh et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-024-01048-6
- Selection of optimal proxy locations for temperature field reconstructions using evolutionary algorithms F. Jaume-Santero et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-64459-6
- Progress and uncertainties in global and hemispheric temperature reconstructions of the Common Era K. Anchukaitis & J. Smerdon https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2022.107537
- Evaluation of statistical climate reconstruction methods based on pseudoproxy experiments using linear and machine-learning methods Z. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-2643-2022
- Seasonal reconstructions coupling ice core data and an isotope-enabled climate model – methodological implications of seasonality, climate modes and selection of proxy data J. Sjolte et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1737-2020
- An ensemble reconstruction of global monthly sea surface temperature and sea ice concentration 1000–1849 E. Samakinwa et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-021-01043-1
- North Atlantic Integrated Water Vapor Transport—From 850 to 2100 CE: Impacts on Western European Rainfall P. Sousa et al. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0348.1
- The Historical Development of Large‐Scale Paleoclimate Field Reconstructions Over the Common Era J. Smerdon et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022RG000782
- ModE-Sim – a medium-sized atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) ensemble to study climate variability during the modern era (1420 to 2009) R. Hand et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-4853-2023
- A spatiotemporal reconstruction of sea-surface temperatures in the North Atlantic during Dansgaard–Oeschger events 5–8 M. Jensen et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-901-2018
- Constraining two climate field reconstruction methodologies over the North Atlantic realm using pseudo-proxy experiments T. Nilsen et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107009
- A pseudoproxy emulation of the PAGES 2k database using a hierarchy of proxy system models F. Zhu et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02489-1
- Euro-Atlantic Atmospheric Circulation during the Late Maunder Minimum J. Mellado-Cano et al. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0261.1
- A 258-year-long data set of temperature and precipitation fields for Switzerland since 1763 N. Imfeld et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-703-2023
- No evidence for globally coherent warm and cold periods over the preindustrial Common Era R. Neukom et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1401-2
21 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Pseudo-proxy evaluation of climate field reconstruction methods of North Atlantic climate based on an annually resolved marine proxy network M. Pyrina et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-13-1339-2017
- Monthly North Atlantic Sea Level Pressure Reconstruction Back to 1750 CE Using Artificial Intelligence Optimization F. Jaume-Santero et al. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0155.1
- Technical note: Considerations on using uncertain proxies in the analogue method for spatiotemporal reconstructions of millennial-scale climate O. Bothe & E. Zorita https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-721-2021
- The colors of proxy noise M. McPartland et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-21-1917-2025
- Climate field reconstructions for the North Atlantic region of annual and seasonal resolution spanning CE 1241–1970 J. Sjolte & Q. Tao https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-22-915-2026
- Proxy surrogate reconstructions for Europe and the estimation of their uncertainties O. Bothe & E. Zorita https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-341-2020
- Statistical-dynamical analog ensemble system for real time quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPFs) at local scale in the north-west Himalaya (NWH), India D. Singh et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-024-01048-6
- Selection of optimal proxy locations for temperature field reconstructions using evolutionary algorithms F. Jaume-Santero et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-64459-6
- Progress and uncertainties in global and hemispheric temperature reconstructions of the Common Era K. Anchukaitis & J. Smerdon https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2022.107537
- Evaluation of statistical climate reconstruction methods based on pseudoproxy experiments using linear and machine-learning methods Z. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-2643-2022
- Seasonal reconstructions coupling ice core data and an isotope-enabled climate model – methodological implications of seasonality, climate modes and selection of proxy data J. Sjolte et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1737-2020
- An ensemble reconstruction of global monthly sea surface temperature and sea ice concentration 1000–1849 E. Samakinwa et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-021-01043-1
- North Atlantic Integrated Water Vapor Transport—From 850 to 2100 CE: Impacts on Western European Rainfall P. Sousa et al. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0348.1
- The Historical Development of Large‐Scale Paleoclimate Field Reconstructions Over the Common Era J. Smerdon et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022RG000782
- ModE-Sim – a medium-sized atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) ensemble to study climate variability during the modern era (1420 to 2009) R. Hand et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-4853-2023
- A spatiotemporal reconstruction of sea-surface temperatures in the North Atlantic during Dansgaard–Oeschger events 5–8 M. Jensen et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-901-2018
- Constraining two climate field reconstruction methodologies over the North Atlantic realm using pseudo-proxy experiments T. Nilsen et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107009
- A pseudoproxy emulation of the PAGES 2k database using a hierarchy of proxy system models F. Zhu et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02489-1
- Euro-Atlantic Atmospheric Circulation during the Late Maunder Minimum J. Mellado-Cano et al. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0261.1
- A 258-year-long data set of temperature and precipitation fields for Switzerland since 1763 N. Imfeld et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-703-2023
- No evidence for globally coherent warm and cold periods over the preindustrial Common Era R. Neukom et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1401-2
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 15 Jun 2026
Short summary
This contribution aims at assessing to what extent the analogue method, a classic technique used in other branches of meteorology and climatology, can be used to perform gridded reconstructions of annual temperature based on the limited information from available but un-calibrated proxies spread across different locations of the world. We conclude that it is indeed possible, albeit with certain limitations that render the method comparable to more classic techniques.
This contribution aims at assessing to what extent the analogue method, a classic technique used...
