Statistical framework for evaluation of climate model simulations by use of climate proxy data from the last millennium &ndash; Part 3: Practical considerations, relaxed assumptions, and using tree-ring data to address the amplitude of solar forcing

Moberg, A.; Sundberg, R.; Grudd, H.; Hind, A.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-425-2015

Articles | Volume 11, issue 3

https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-425-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-425-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 11, issue 3

Research article

|

12 Mar 2015

Research article |

| 12 Mar 2015

Statistical framework for evaluation of climate model simulations by use of climate proxy data from the last millennium – Part 3: Practical considerations, relaxed assumptions, and using tree-ring data to address the amplitude of solar forcing

A. Moberg, R. Sundberg, H. Grudd, and A. Hind

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Final revised paper (published on 12 Mar 2015)
Preprint (discussion started on 26 Jun 2014)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC C1086: 'Review comments on „Statistical framework for evaluation of climate model simulations by use of proxy data from the last millennium – part 3: practical considerations…“', Anonymous Referee #1, 18 Jul 2014
- AC C1813: 'Answer to Anonymous Referee #1', Anders Moberg, 02 Nov 2014
RC C1140: 'Review comment on "Statistical framework for evaluation of climate model simulations by use of climate proxy data from the last millennium – Part 3"', Anonymous Referee #2, 28 Jul 2014
- AC C1815: 'Answer to Anonymous Referee #2', Anders Moberg, 02 Nov 2014
RC C1267: 'Review comments on 'Statistical framework for evaluation of climate model simulations by use of climate proxy data from the last millennium – Part 3'', Anonymous Referee #3, 04 Aug 2014
- AC C1817: 'Answer to Anonymous Referee #3', Anders Moberg, 02 Nov 2014
RC C1544: 'Referee Comment', Anonymous Referee #4, 22 Sep 2014
- AC C1819: 'Answer to Anonymous Referee #4', Anders Moberg, 02 Nov 2014
AC C1821: 'Collective answer to all four referees and additional information from the authors', Anders Moberg, 02 Nov 2014

Short summary

Experiments with climate models can help to understand causes of past climate changes. We develop a statistical framework for comparing data from simulation experiments with temperature reconstructions for the last millennium. A combination of several external factors is found to explain a significant part of the observed variations, but our selection of data cannot tell which of two alternative choices of past solar forcing gives the best fit between simulations and reconstructions.