Articles | Volume 11, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-253-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-253-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
A comparison of model simulations of Asian mega-droughts during the past millennium with proxy reconstructions
B. Fallah
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Institut für Meteorologie, Freie Universität Berlin, Germany
U. Cubasch
Institut für Meteorologie, Freie Universität Berlin, Germany
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Cited
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Comparison of simulated and reconstructed variations in East African hydroclimate over the last millennium F. Klein et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-1499-2016
- Towards high-resolution climate reconstruction using an off-line data assimilation and COSMO-CLM 5.00 model B. Fallah et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-1345-2018
- Unprecedented recent summer warming and cross-sphere hydrological coupling in Asian Water Towers Y. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01254-y
- Bimodality and regime behavior in atmosphere–ocean interactions during the recent climate change B. Fallah & S. Sodoudi https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2015.02.002
- Opposing hydroclimate extremes in Central and mainland Southeast Asia over past millennium N. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02020-2
- Towards modeling the regional rainfall changes over Iran due to the climate forcing of the past 6000 years B. Fallah et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2015.09.061
- The Effects of Climatic Oscillations (or the Lack Thereof) on Maritime Networks Between Angkor and China in the 14th and 15th Centuries W. Perttola et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/14614103.2026.2679820
- Summer monsoon over northeastern India during the last millennium K. Ashok et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7332
- Possible Underlying Mechanisms of Severe Decadal Droughts in Arid Central Asia During the Last 530 Years: Results From the Last Millennium Climate Reanalysis Project Version 2.0 Y. Peng https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033409
- Seasonal modulation of the Asian summer monsoon between the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age: a multi model study Y. Kamae et al. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-017-0136-7
- Development of dam inflow simulation technique coupled with rainfall simulation and rainfall-runoff model T. Kim et al. https://doi.org/10.3741/JKWRA.2016.49.4.315
- Westerly jet stream and past millennium climate change in Arid Central Asia simulated by COSMO-CLM model B. Fallah et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-015-1479-x
- Comparisons on characteristics and mechanisms of the decadal megadroughts over eastern China between MCA and LIA J. Xue et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6942
- Variation of the summer Asian westerly jet over the last millennium based on the PMIP3 simulations N. Jiang et al. https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683619883011
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Comparison of simulated and reconstructed variations in East African hydroclimate over the last millennium F. Klein et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-1499-2016
- Towards high-resolution climate reconstruction using an off-line data assimilation and COSMO-CLM 5.00 model B. Fallah et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-1345-2018
- Unprecedented recent summer warming and cross-sphere hydrological coupling in Asian Water Towers Y. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01254-y
- Bimodality and regime behavior in atmosphere–ocean interactions during the recent climate change B. Fallah & S. Sodoudi https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2015.02.002
- Opposing hydroclimate extremes in Central and mainland Southeast Asia over past millennium N. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02020-2
- Towards modeling the regional rainfall changes over Iran due to the climate forcing of the past 6000 years B. Fallah et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2015.09.061
- The Effects of Climatic Oscillations (or the Lack Thereof) on Maritime Networks Between Angkor and China in the 14th and 15th Centuries W. Perttola et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/14614103.2026.2679820
- Summer monsoon over northeastern India during the last millennium K. Ashok et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7332
- Possible Underlying Mechanisms of Severe Decadal Droughts in Arid Central Asia During the Last 530 Years: Results From the Last Millennium Climate Reanalysis Project Version 2.0 Y. Peng https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033409
- Seasonal modulation of the Asian summer monsoon between the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age: a multi model study Y. Kamae et al. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-017-0136-7
- Development of dam inflow simulation technique coupled with rainfall simulation and rainfall-runoff model T. Kim et al. https://doi.org/10.3741/JKWRA.2016.49.4.315
- Westerly jet stream and past millennium climate change in Arid Central Asia simulated by COSMO-CLM model B. Fallah et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-015-1479-x
- Comparisons on characteristics and mechanisms of the decadal megadroughts over eastern China between MCA and LIA J. Xue et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6942
- Variation of the summer Asian westerly jet over the last millennium based on the PMIP3 simulations N. Jiang et al. https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683619883011
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 25 Jul 2026
Short summary
Our results show that state-of-the-art climate model simulations are able to capture historically recorded Asian monsoon failures during the past millennium at the right time and with a comparable spatial distribution. During the Little Ice Age, both model and proxy reconstructions point to fewer monsoon failures. The results suggest an influential impact of volcanic eruptions on the atmosphere-ocean interactions throughout the past millennium.
Our results show that state-of-the-art climate model simulations are able to capture...