Articles | Volume 15, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-15-449-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-15-449-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
19 Mar 2019
Research article |
| 19 Mar 2019
| 19 Mar 2019
The response of tropical precipitation to Earth's precession: the role of energy fluxes and vertical stability
Centre for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, India
Divecha Centre for Climate Change, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, India
Joyce Helena Catharina Bosmans
Department of Environmental Science, Radboud University, Nijmegen, the Netherlands
formerly at: Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
formerly at: Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, the Netherlands
Jayaraman Srinivasan
Divecha Centre for Climate Change, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, India
Arindam Chakraborty
Centre for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, India
Divecha Centre for Climate Change, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, India
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Cited
27 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Local Insolation Drives Afro‐Asian Monsoon at Orbital‐Scale in Holocene Q. Wen et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL097661
- The change in convection over the Indo-Pacific warm pool in the mid-Holocene and its influence on South Asian precipitation X. Zhou et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2023.108399
- How is the relationship between rainfall and water vapor in the Indian monsoon influenced by changes in lapse rate during global warming? R. Mallesh & J. Srinivasan https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad2c64
- Characteristics of Latent Heating Rate From GPM and Convective Gravity Wave Momentum Flux Calculated Using the GPM Data H. Lee et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD037003
- Can ocean heat content regulate Indian summer monsoon rainfall? Y. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0016756824000189
- Remote and local drivers of Pleistocene South Asian summer monsoon precipitation: A test for future predictions S. Clemens et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abg3848
- The remote response of the South Asian Monsoon to reduced dust emissions and Sahara greening during the middle Holocene F. Pausata et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-1243-2021
- Numerical simulation of the circulation and tropical teleconnection mechanisms of a severe drought event (2012–2016) in Northeastern Brazil F. de Medeiros et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05213-6
- Glacial‐Interglacial Shifts Dominate Tropical Indo‐Pacific Hydroclimate During the Late Pleistocene G. Windler et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL093339
- Hydroclimate Variability in the Equatorial Western Indian Ocean for the Last 250,000 Years G. Windler et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022PA004530
- Response of the Low‐Level Jet to Precession and Its Implications for Proxies of the Indian Monsoon C. Jalihal et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094760
- Perils of climate change in the Bay of Bengal: India–Bangladesh in perspective S. Mehta & V. Kumar https://doi.org/10.1080/19480881.2019.1649512
- Phase contrast in Asian summer monsoon rainfall between marine and terrestrial records on precessional timescales and their driving mechanisms Q. Wen et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-025-1860-0
- Different precipitation response over land and ocean to orbital and greenhouse gas forcing C. Jalihal et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-68346-y
- Greenhouse Gas and Ice Volume Drive Pleistocene Indian Summer Monsoon Precipitation Isotope Variability S. McGrath et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL092249
- Secular and orbital-scale variability of equatorial Indian Ocean summer monsoon winds during the late Miocene C. Bolton et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-713-2022
- Mid-Piacenzian and future changes in South Asian precipitation under global warming X. Zhou & C. Liu https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.104760
- Structure of the eastern Arabian Sea upper water column in the middle Miocene: Implications for the development of the South Asian monsoon S. Zou et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2024.112217
- Greening of India and revival of the South Asian summer monsoon in a warmer world C. Clément et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01781-1
- Precessional hydroclimatic synchronicity changes in the Indo-Pacific Warm Pool driven by the intertropical convergence zone over the past 450 kyr F. Qian et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0016756824000177
- Response of East Asian summer monsoon to precession change during the mid-Pliocene warm period X. Huang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2023.07.004
- Energetics of monsoons and deserts: role of surface albedo vs water vapor feedback C. Jalihal & U. Mikolajewicz https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-319-2026
- 岁差尺度亚洲夏季风降水海-陆记录相位差及其驱动机制研究 琴. 温 et al. https://doi.org/10.1360/SSTe-2025-0330
- Precession-driven low-latitude hydrological cycle paced by shifting perihelion H. Yang et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-21-1263-2025
- Warm pool ocean heat content regulates ocean–continent moisture transport Z. Jian et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05302-y
- Distinct response of Arabian sea upwelling and Indian summer monsoon rainfall on the millennial timescale T. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2025.109198
- Surface and thermocline ocean circulation intensity changes in the western Arabian Sea during ∼172 kyr H. Khan et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2023.108133
27 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Local Insolation Drives Afro‐Asian Monsoon at Orbital‐Scale in Holocene Q. Wen et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL097661
- The change in convection over the Indo-Pacific warm pool in the mid-Holocene and its influence on South Asian precipitation X. Zhou et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2023.108399
- How is the relationship between rainfall and water vapor in the Indian monsoon influenced by changes in lapse rate during global warming? R. Mallesh & J. Srinivasan https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad2c64
- Characteristics of Latent Heating Rate From GPM and Convective Gravity Wave Momentum Flux Calculated Using the GPM Data H. Lee et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD037003
- Can ocean heat content regulate Indian summer monsoon rainfall? Y. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0016756824000189
- Remote and local drivers of Pleistocene South Asian summer monsoon precipitation: A test for future predictions S. Clemens et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abg3848
- The remote response of the South Asian Monsoon to reduced dust emissions and Sahara greening during the middle Holocene F. Pausata et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-1243-2021
- Numerical simulation of the circulation and tropical teleconnection mechanisms of a severe drought event (2012–2016) in Northeastern Brazil F. de Medeiros et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05213-6
- Glacial‐Interglacial Shifts Dominate Tropical Indo‐Pacific Hydroclimate During the Late Pleistocene G. Windler et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL093339
- Hydroclimate Variability in the Equatorial Western Indian Ocean for the Last 250,000 Years G. Windler et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022PA004530
- Response of the Low‐Level Jet to Precession and Its Implications for Proxies of the Indian Monsoon C. Jalihal et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094760
- Perils of climate change in the Bay of Bengal: India–Bangladesh in perspective S. Mehta & V. Kumar https://doi.org/10.1080/19480881.2019.1649512
- Phase contrast in Asian summer monsoon rainfall between marine and terrestrial records on precessional timescales and their driving mechanisms Q. Wen et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-025-1860-0
- Different precipitation response over land and ocean to orbital and greenhouse gas forcing C. Jalihal et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-68346-y
- Greenhouse Gas and Ice Volume Drive Pleistocene Indian Summer Monsoon Precipitation Isotope Variability S. McGrath et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL092249
- Secular and orbital-scale variability of equatorial Indian Ocean summer monsoon winds during the late Miocene C. Bolton et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-713-2022
- Mid-Piacenzian and future changes in South Asian precipitation under global warming X. Zhou & C. Liu https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.104760
- Structure of the eastern Arabian Sea upper water column in the middle Miocene: Implications for the development of the South Asian monsoon S. Zou et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2024.112217
- Greening of India and revival of the South Asian summer monsoon in a warmer world C. Clément et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01781-1
- Precessional hydroclimatic synchronicity changes in the Indo-Pacific Warm Pool driven by the intertropical convergence zone over the past 450 kyr F. Qian et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0016756824000177
- Response of East Asian summer monsoon to precession change during the mid-Pliocene warm period X. Huang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2023.07.004
- Energetics of monsoons and deserts: role of surface albedo vs water vapor feedback C. Jalihal & U. Mikolajewicz https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-319-2026
- 岁差尺度亚洲夏季风降水海-陆记录相位差及其驱动机制研究 琴. 温 et al. https://doi.org/10.1360/SSTe-2025-0330
- Precession-driven low-latitude hydrological cycle paced by shifting perihelion H. Yang et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-21-1263-2025
- Warm pool ocean heat content regulates ocean–continent moisture transport Z. Jian et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05302-y
- Distinct response of Arabian sea upwelling and Indian summer monsoon rainfall on the millennial timescale T. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2025.109198
- Surface and thermocline ocean circulation intensity changes in the western Arabian Sea during ∼172 kyr H. Khan et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2023.108133
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 15 Jun 2026
Short summary
Insolation is thought to drive monsoons on orbital timescales. We find that insolation can be a trigger for changes in precipitation, but surface energy and vertical stability play an important role too. These feedbacks are found to be dominant over oceans and can even counter the insolation forcing, thus leading to a land–sea differential response in precipitation.
Insolation is thought to drive monsoons on orbital timescales. We find that insolation can be a...
