Articles | Volume 11, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-533-2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-533-2015
Technical note
 | 
24 Mar 2015
Technical note |  | 24 Mar 2015

Technical Note: Probabilistically constraining proxy age–depth models within a Bayesian hierarchical reconstruction model

J. P. Werner and M. P. Tingley

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Short summary
We present a Bayesian approach to simultaneously constrain the age models associated with time-uncertain proxies and inferring past climate in space and time. For the sake of exposition, the discussion focuses on annually resolved climate archives, such as varved lakes, corals, and tree rings, with dating by layer counting. Numerical experiments show that updating the probabilities associated with an ensemble of possible age models reduces uncertainty in the inferred climate.