Status: this discussion paper is a preprint. It has been under review for the journal Climate of the Past (CP). The manuscript was not accepted for further review after discussion.
Mid-Holocene regional reorganization of climate variability
K. W. Wirtz,K. Bernhardt,G. Lohmann,and C. Lemmen
Abstract. We integrate 130 globally distributed proxy time series to refine the understanding of climate variability during the Holocene. Cyclic anomalies and temporal trends in periodicity from the Lower to the Upper Holocene are extracted by combining Lomb-Scargle Fourier-transformed spectra with bootstrapping. Results were cross-checked by counting events in the time series. Main outcomes are: First, the propensity of the climate system to fluctuations is a region specific property. Many records of adjacent sites reveal a similar change in variability although they belong to different proxy types (e.g., δ18O, lithic composition). Secondly, at most sites, irreversible change occured in the Mid-Holocene. We suggest that altered ocean circulation together with slightly modified coupling intensity between regional climate subsystems around the 5.5 kyr BP event (termination of the African Humid Period) were responsible for the shift. Fluctuations especially intensified along a pan-American corridor. This may have led to an unequal crisis probability for early human civilizations in the Old and New World. Our study did not produce evidence for millennial scale cyclicity in some solar activity proxies for the Upper Holocene, nor for a privileged role of the prominent 250, 550, 900 and 1450 yr cycles. This lack of global periodicities corroborates the regional character of climate variability.
Received: 12 Dec 2008 – Discussion started: 28 Jan 2009
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GKSS Research Center Geesthacht, Institute for Coastal Research, Max-Planck Straße 1, 21501 Geesthacht, Germany
K. Bernhardt
GKSS Research Center Geesthacht, Institute for Coastal Research, Max-Planck Straße 1, 21501 Geesthacht, Germany
Carl-von-Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg, Institute for Chemistry and Biology of the Marine Environment (ICBM), Carl-von-Ossietzky Straße, 26111 Oldenburg, Germany
G. Lohmann
Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, P.O. Box 180, 27483 Bremerhaven, Germany
C. Lemmen
GKSS Research Center Geesthacht, Institute for Coastal Research, Max-Planck Straße 1, 21501 Geesthacht, Germany