Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2018-44
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2018-44
27 Apr 2018
 | 27 Apr 2018
Status: this preprint has been withdrawn by the authors.

Juniper tree-ring data from the Kuramenian Mountains (Republic of Tajikistan), reveals changing summer drought signals in western Central Asia

Feng Chen, Tongwen Zhang, Andrea Seim, Shulong Yu, Ruibo Zhang, Hans W. Linderholm, Zainalobudin V. Kobuliev, Ahsan Ahmadov, and Anvar Kodirov

Abstract. Coniferous forests cover the mountains in many parts of central Asia and provide large potentials for dendroclimatic studies of past climate variability. However, to date, only a few tree-ring based climate reconstructions exist from this region. Here we present a regional tree-ring chronology from moisture-sensitive Juniperus seravschanica from the Kuramenian Mountains (Republic of Tajikistan), which is used to reveal past summer drought variability in western Central Asia. The chronology accounts for 40.5 % of the variance of the June–July self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI) during the instrumental period (1901 to 2012). Seven dry periods including 1659–1696, 1705–1722, 1731–1741, 1758–1790, 1800–1842, 1860–1875 and 1931–1987, and five wet periods of 1742–1752, 1843–1859, 1876–1913, 1921–1930 and 1988–2015 were identified. Good agreements between drought records from western and eastern Central Asia suggest that the PDSI records retain common drought signals and captures the regional dry/wet periods of Central Asia. Moreover, the wavelet analysis indicates the existence of centennial (100–150 years), decadal (50–60, 24.4 and 11.4 years) and interannual (8.0 and 2.0-3.5 years) cycles, which may linked with climate forcings, such as solar activity and ENSO. The analysis between the scPDSI reconstruction and large-scale atmospheric circulations during the reconstructed extreme dry and wet years can provide information about the linkages of extremes in our scPDSI record with the Asian summer monsoon activity.

This preprint has been withdrawn.

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Feng Chen, Tongwen Zhang, Andrea Seim, Shulong Yu, Ruibo Zhang, Hans W. Linderholm, Zainalobudin V. Kobuliev, Ahsan Ahmadov, and Anvar Kodirov

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
Printer-friendly Version - Printer-friendly version Supplement - Supplement
Feng Chen, Tongwen Zhang, Andrea Seim, Shulong Yu, Ruibo Zhang, Hans W. Linderholm, Zainalobudin V. Kobuliev, Ahsan Ahmadov, and Anvar Kodirov
Feng Chen, Tongwen Zhang, Andrea Seim, Shulong Yu, Ruibo Zhang, Hans W. Linderholm, Zainalobudin V. Kobuliev, Ahsan Ahmadov, and Anvar Kodirov

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Short summary
Here we present a regional tree-ring chronology from the Kuramenian Mountains which accounts for 40.5 % of the variance of the June–July self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index during the instrumental period (1901 to 2012). Good agreements between drought records from western and eastern Central Asia suggest that the PDSI records retain common drought signals. This record can provide some information about the linkage of dry extremes of western Central Asia with the Asian summer monsoon.