the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Juniper tree-ring data from the Kuramenian Mountains (Republic of Tajikistan), reveals changing summer drought signals in western Central Asia
Abstract. Coniferous forests cover the mountains in many parts of central Asia and provide large potentials for dendroclimatic studies of past climate variability. However, to date, only a few tree-ring based climate reconstructions exist from this region. Here we present a regional tree-ring chronology from moisture-sensitive Juniperus seravschanica from the Kuramenian Mountains (Republic of Tajikistan), which is used to reveal past summer drought variability in western Central Asia. The chronology accounts for 40.5 % of the variance of the June–July self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI) during the instrumental period (1901 to 2012). Seven dry periods including 1659–1696, 1705–1722, 1731–1741, 1758–1790, 1800–1842, 1860–1875 and 1931–1987, and five wet periods of 1742–1752, 1843–1859, 1876–1913, 1921–1930 and 1988–2015 were identified. Good agreements between drought records from western and eastern Central Asia suggest that the PDSI records retain common drought signals and captures the regional dry/wet periods of Central Asia. Moreover, the wavelet analysis indicates the existence of centennial (100–150 years), decadal (50–60, 24.4 and 11.4 years) and interannual (8.0 and 2.0-3.5 years) cycles, which may linked with climate forcings, such as solar activity and ENSO. The analysis between the scPDSI reconstruction and large-scale atmospheric circulations during the reconstructed extreme dry and wet years can provide information about the linkages of extremes in our scPDSI record with the Asian summer monsoon activity.
This preprint has been withdrawn.
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This preprint has been withdrawn.
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Preprint
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Supplement
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This preprint has been withdrawn.
- Preprint
(607 KB) - Metadata XML
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Interactive discussion
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RC1: 'Review', Anonymous Referee #1, 08 May 2018
- AC1: 'response letter to reviewer1', Feng Chen, 20 Jul 2018
- AC3: 'new response to reviewer1', Feng Chen, 28 Aug 2018
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RC2: 'Review of the MS', Anonymous Referee #2, 31 May 2018
- AC2: 'response letter to reviewer12', Feng Chen, 20 Jul 2018
- AC4: 'new response to reviewer2', Feng Chen, 28 Aug 2018
Interactive discussion
-
RC1: 'Review', Anonymous Referee #1, 08 May 2018
- AC1: 'response letter to reviewer1', Feng Chen, 20 Jul 2018
- AC3: 'new response to reviewer1', Feng Chen, 28 Aug 2018
-
RC2: 'Review of the MS', Anonymous Referee #2, 31 May 2018
- AC2: 'response letter to reviewer12', Feng Chen, 20 Jul 2018
- AC4: 'new response to reviewer2', Feng Chen, 28 Aug 2018
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Feng Chen
Tongwen Zhang
Andrea Seim
Shulong Yu
Ruibo Zhang
Hans W. Linderholm
Zainalobudin V. Kobuliev
Ahsan Ahmadov
Anvar Kodirov
This preprint has been withdrawn.
- Preprint
(607 KB) - Metadata XML
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Supplement
(37 KB) - BibTeX
- EndNote