the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
The 1816 ‘year without a summer’ in an atmospheric reanalysis
Abstract. Two hundred years ago a very cold and wet summer devastated agriculture in Europe and North America, causing widespread food shortages, unrest and suffering – the "year without a summer". This is usually blamed on the eruption of Mount Tambora, in Indonesia, the previous April, but making a link between these two events has proven difficult, as the major impacts were at smaller space and time-scales than we can reconstruct with tree-ring observations and climate model simulations. Here we show that the very limited network of station barometer observations for the period is nevertheless enough to enable a dynamical atmospheric reanalysis to reconstruct the daily weather of summer 1816, over much of Europe. Adding stratospheric aerosol from the Tambora eruption to the reanalysis improves its reconstruction, explicitly linking the volcano to the weather impacts.
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This preprint has been withdrawn.
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Preprint
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Interactive discussion
- RC1: 'Review requested by journal editor', Anonymous Referee #1, 21 Jul 2016
- SC1: 'Historical Records', Willis Eschenbach, 24 Jul 2016
- RC2: 'Review Brohan et al.', Anonymous Referee #2, 03 Aug 2016
- RC3: 'review of 'The year without a summer' in an atmospheric reanalysis' by Brohan et al.', Anonymous Referee #3, 11 Aug 2016
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RC4: 'Review of the manuscript "The 1816 'year without a summer' in an atmospheric reanalysis"', Anonymous Referee #4, 02 Sep 2016
-
SC2: 'Uncertainty', Willis Eschenbach, 02 Sep 2016
- SC3: 'Statistical significance is complicated', Philip Brohan, 06 Sep 2016
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SC2: 'Uncertainty', Willis Eschenbach, 02 Sep 2016
- AC1: 'Paper unsuccessful - we won't publish in CP', Philip Brohan, 27 Sep 2016
Interactive discussion
- RC1: 'Review requested by journal editor', Anonymous Referee #1, 21 Jul 2016
- SC1: 'Historical Records', Willis Eschenbach, 24 Jul 2016
- RC2: 'Review Brohan et al.', Anonymous Referee #2, 03 Aug 2016
- RC3: 'review of 'The year without a summer' in an atmospheric reanalysis' by Brohan et al.', Anonymous Referee #3, 11 Aug 2016
-
RC4: 'Review of the manuscript "The 1816 'year without a summer' in an atmospheric reanalysis"', Anonymous Referee #4, 02 Sep 2016
-
SC2: 'Uncertainty', Willis Eschenbach, 02 Sep 2016
- SC3: 'Statistical significance is complicated', Philip Brohan, 06 Sep 2016
-
SC2: 'Uncertainty', Willis Eschenbach, 02 Sep 2016
- AC1: 'Paper unsuccessful - we won't publish in CP', Philip Brohan, 27 Sep 2016
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Cited
6 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Towards a more reliable historical reanalysis: Improvements for version 3 of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis system L. Slivinski et al. 10.1002/qj.3598
- Early instrumental meteorological measurements in Switzerland L. Pfister et al. 10.5194/cp-15-1345-2019
- Dynamical downscaling and data assimilation for a cold-air outbreak in the European Alps during the Year Without a Summer of 1816 P. Stucki et al. 10.5194/cp-20-2327-2024
- Disentangling the causes of the 1816 European year without a summer A. Schurer et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab3a10
- Cross-disciplinary working in the sciences and humanities: historical data rescue activities in Southeast Asia and beyond F. Williamson 10.1186/s40562-016-0062-3
- Causes of climate change over the historical record G. Hegerl et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4557