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https://doi.org/10.5194/cpd-6-2055-2010
© Author(s) 2010. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/cpd-6-2055-2010
© Author(s) 2010. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Status: this preprint was under review for the journal CP but the revision was not accepted.
Technical Note: Multi-centennial scale analysis and synthesis of an ensemble mean response of ENSO to solar and volcanic forcings
J. Sánchez-Sesma
Instituto Mexicano de Tecnología del Agua, México
Abstract. The response of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) to solar and volcanic radiative forcings over the past millennium is reanalyzed and extrapolated based on historical data and numerical experiments employing the Zebiak–Cane (ZC) model of the tropical Pacific coupled ocean–atmosphere system. The results suggest a self-similarity of the centennial scale component of the reconstructed ENSO record with a shift in frequencies around 1700 AD when the frequencies almost double. This shift of regime puts forward the non-linearity of ENSO climate with a possible centennial scale forecast, suggesting an ENSO trend toward La Niña conditions for the next three decades.
How to cite. Sánchez-Sesma, J.: Technical Note: Multi-centennial scale analysis and synthesis of an ensemble mean response of ENSO to solar and volcanic forcings, Clim. Past Discuss., 6, 2055–2069, https://doi.org/10.5194/cpd-6-2055-2010, 2010.
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J. Sánchez-Sesma
Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment


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RC C1015: 'Comments on “Technical Note: Multi-centennial scale analysis and synthesis of an ensemble mean response of ENSO to solar and volcanic forcings” by J. Sánchez-Sesma', Anonymous Referee #1, 19 Nov 2010
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RC C1192: 'Review of “Multi-centennial scale analysis and synthesis of an ensemble mean response of ENSO to solar and volcanic forcings by J. Sanchez-Sesma.', Anonymous Referee #2, 17 Dec 2010
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AC C1294: 'Final Comments', Jorge Sánchez-Sesma, 15 Jan 2011
Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment


-
RC C1015: 'Comments on “Technical Note: Multi-centennial scale analysis and synthesis of an ensemble mean response of ENSO to solar and volcanic forcings” by J. Sánchez-Sesma', Anonymous Referee #1, 19 Nov 2010
-
RC C1192: 'Review of “Multi-centennial scale analysis and synthesis of an ensemble mean response of ENSO to solar and volcanic forcings by J. Sanchez-Sesma.', Anonymous Referee #2, 17 Dec 2010
-
AC C1294: 'Final Comments', Jorge Sánchez-Sesma, 15 Jan 2011
J. Sánchez-Sesma
J. Sánchez-Sesma
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