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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">CPD</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Climate of the Past Discussions</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">CPD</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Clim. Past Discuss.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1814-9359</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name></publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/cp-2022-49</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Abrupt climate change and millennial-scale cycles: an astronomical mechanism</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kelsey</surname>
<given-names>Alison</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4813-780X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, The University of Queensland</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>16</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2022</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>19</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2022 Alison Kelsey</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2022</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/preprints/cp-2022-49/">This article is available from https://cp.copernicus.org/preprints/cp-2022-49/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/preprints/cp-2022-49/cp-2022-49.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://cp.copernicus.org/preprints/cp-2022-49/cp-2022-49.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>&lt;p&gt;Contributing to the poor understanding of abrupt climate change is the lack of a known mechanism for a ~1470-yr quasi-periodicity, leading to debates as to its existence. This oscillation is associated with the controversial Bond cycle, which has been by some as stochastic resonance, and is a harmonic resonating with Heinrich, Dansgaard-Oeschger ice-rafting debris events, as well as millennial-scale ENSO events in the Pacific. Suggestions of a solar link to the Bond cycle were made but there is no known solar periodicity of this length. Here, statistically-significant results of a comparison between TSI reconstructions based on Antarctic &lt;sup&gt;10&lt;/sup&gt;Be data and the modelled interaction of the solar and lunar cycles that produce a 1470-yr cycle are presented. These results confirm the cycle&amp;rsquo;s existence, its astronomical mechanism, and the major lunar role in the timing of all these ice-rafting debris events. The associated data show that the occurrence of Bond events coincides with maximum gravitational forcing and peak TSI, both associated with minimum Sun-Earth distance that are influenced by both the perihelion and the Moon. These findings are consistent with previous suggestions by Bond and other researchers that amplified gravitational and solar forcing may be involved. The results also indicate that the Moon&amp;rsquo;s gravitation influences patterns of cosmogenic isotopes at millennial time-scales.&lt;/p&gt;</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="19"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
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