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<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:oasis="http://docs.oasis-open.org/ns/oasis-exchange/table" xml:lang="en" dtd-version="3.0" article-type="research-article">
  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">CP</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Climate of the Past</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">CP</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Clim. Past</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1814-9332</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/cp-18-559-2022</article-id><title-group><article-title>Biomarker proxy records of Arctic climate change during<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> the Mid-Pleistocene transition from Lake El'gygytgyn <?xmltex \hack{\break}?>(Far East Russia)</article-title><alt-title>Mid-Pleistocene Transition at Lake El'gygytgyn</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Mid-Pleistocene Transition at Lake El'gygytgyn}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{K. R. Lindberg}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1 aff2">
          <name><surname>Lindberg</surname><given-names>Kurt R.</given-names></name>
          <email>kurtlind@buffalo.edu</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0863-1598</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Daniels</surname><given-names>William C.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3424-2273</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Castañeda</surname><given-names>Isla S.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2524-9326</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Brigham-Grette</surname><given-names>Julie</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>University of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, MA, 01003, USA</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>a</label><institution>now at: University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, 14260, USA</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Kurt R. Lindberg (kurtlind@buffalo.edu)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>30</day><month>March</month><year>2022</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>18</volume>
      <issue>3</issue>
      <fpage>559</fpage><lpage>577</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>18</day><month>June</month><year>2021</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>28</day><month>June</month><year>2021</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>2</day><month>February</month><year>2022</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>9</day><month>February</month><year>2022</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Copyright: © 2022 Kurt R. Lindberg et al.</copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2022</copyright-year>
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/18/559/2022/cp-18-559-2022.html">This article is available from https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/18/559/2022/cp-18-559-2022.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/18/559/2022/cp-18-559-2022.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/18/559/2022/cp-18-559-2022.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract><title>Abstract</title>

      <p id="d1e118">The Mid-Pleistocene Transition (MPT) is a widely recognized global
climate shift occurring between approximately 1250 and 700 ka. At this time, Earth's climate underwent a major transition from dominant 40 kyr
glacial–interglacial cycles to quasi-100 kyr cycles. The cause of the MPT
remains a puzzling aspect of Pleistocene climate. Presently, there are few,
if any, continuous MPT records from the Arctic, yet understanding the role
and response of the high latitudes to the MPT is required to better evaluate
the causes of this climatic shift. Here, we present new continental
biomarker records of temperature and vegetation spanning 1142 to 752 ka
from Lake El'gygytgyn (Far East Russia). We reconstruct warm-season
temperature variations across the MPT based on branched glycerol dialkyl
glycerol tetraethers (brGDGTs). The new Arctic
temperature record does not display an overall cooling trend during the MPT
but does exhibit strong glacial–interglacial cyclicity. Spectral analysis
demonstrates persistent obliquity and precession pacing over the study
interval and reveals substantial sub-orbital temperature variations at
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">900</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ka during the first “skipped” interglacial.
Interestingly, Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 31, which is widely recognized as
a particularly warm interglacial, does not exhibit exceptional warmth in the
Lake El'gygytgyn brGDGT record. Instead, we find that MIS 29, 27, and 21 were as warm or warmer than MIS 31. In particular, MIS 21 (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">870</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to
820 ka) stands out as an especially warm and long interglacial in the
continental Arctic while MIS 25 is a notably cold interglacial. Throughout
the MPT, Lake El'gygytgyn pollen data exhibit a long-term drying trend, with
a shift to an increasingly open landscape noted after around 900 ka (Zhao
et al., 2018), which is also reflected in our higher plant leaf wax
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkane) distributions. Although the mechanisms driving the MPT remain a matter of debate, our new climate records from the continental Arctic
exhibit some similarities to changes noted around the North Pacific region.
Overall, the new organic geochemical data from Lake El'gygytgyn contribute
to expanding our knowledge of the high-latitude response to the MPT.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <label>1</label><title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d1e157">Since the start of the Industrial Revolution, high-latitude temperatures have increased at about twice the global average rate (Serreze et al., 2009; Davy et al., 2018). Likewise, during past interglacial periods, Arctic temperature reconstructions indicate significant warming events (e.g., de Wet et al., 2016). The importance of studying past Arctic
temperature variability is widely recognized (Miller et al., 2010; Melles
et al., 2012; Brigham-Grette et al., 2013), yet few long and continuous
records exist from the continental Arctic. Lake El'gygytgyn, located in Far
East Arctic Russia, is a unique site that escaped continental glaciation and preserves a 3.6 Myr long sedimentary record (Nolan and Brigham-Grette,
2007; Melles et al., 2012). Prior work on Lake El'gygytgyn has revealed
exceptional changes during the Plio-Pleistocene. During the Pliocene, cool
mixed forest and cool conifer forest dominated the landscape
(Brigham-Grette et al., 2013), whereas today the tree line lies
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">150</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km to the southwest and the lake is surrounded by tundra
vegetation (Brigham-Grette et al., 2007). In addition to notable changes
between Pliocene and Pleistocene climates (Brigham-Grette et al., 2013;
Melles et al., 2012), significant climate variability within the Pleistocene is documented at Lake El'gygytgyn (Melles et al., 2012; Wennrich et al., 2013; Francke et al., 2013), including the presence of numerous exceptionally warm “superinterglacial” periods, which pollen spectra suggest were characterized by elevated temperature (4–5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C warmer) and precipitation (up to 6 times higher) compared to the Holocene (Melles et al., 2012). Prior studies of Lake El'gygytgyn have also noted a signal of the Mid-Pleistocene Transition (MPT) (Melles et al., 2012; Francke et al., 2013; Wennrich et al., 2014), a globally recognized event that occurred from 1.2–0.6 Ma when variations in global ice volume shifted from exhibiting a dominant 41 kyr periodicity to a 100 kyr periodicity
(Past Interglacial Working Group of PAGES, 2016).</p>
      <p id="d1e179">The cause of the MPT remains a highly debated and puzzling aspect of
Pleistocene climate. Between 900 and 650 ka, glacial–interglacial cycles
grew longer, more intensified, and asymmetric in association with
increasingly large Northern Hemisphere glacial-stage ice sheets
(Maslin and Ridgewell, 2005, and references therein). The MPT cannot
be attributed to changes in Earth's orbital parameters (eccentricity,
obliquity, precession) and thus the cause is believed to be internal to the
global climate system (e.g., Berger and Loutre, 1991; Maslin and
Ridgewell, 2005). Numerous, non-exclusive hypotheses have been proposed to
explain the MPT. These include gradual removal of regolith from the northern
high latitudes allowing for greater vertical growth of the northern ice
sheets by increasing basal friction (Roy et al., 2004; Clark and Pollard,
1998; Willeit et al., 2019), an increase in Antarctic ice volume (Pollard
and DeConto, 2009; Elderfield et al., 2012; Billups et al., 2018), and
significant changes in Atlantic (Poirier and Billups, 2014), Pacific
(Martínez-Garcia et al., 2010), or Southern Ocean circulation
(Hasenfratz et al., 2019; Rodríguez-Sanz et al., 2012; Pena and
Goldstein, 2014). Gradual atmospheric carbon dioxide (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CO</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) drawdown and associated climatic cooling are also commonly cited causes of the MPT (Clark et al., 2006; Raymo, 1997; Saltzman and Verbitsky, 1993; Paillard, 1998; Hönisch et al., 2009; Willeit et al., 2019), although empirical evidence for declining <inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CO</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> levels across the early and mid-Pleistocene remain equivocal (Da et al., 2019). As a corollary to the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CO</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> explanation, it has been suggested that the North Pacific and Bering Sea region may have
played an important role. For example, the closure of the Bering Strait
combined with expanded sea ice cover at 920 ka may have suppressed CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>
ventilation from the subarctic North Pacific to the atmosphere (Kender et
al., 2018; Worne et al., 2020). Likewise, Müller et al. (2018)
propose that changes in iron fertilization to the northeast Pacific from
glaciogenic Alaskan dust and ice rafting helped to drive global climate
changes noted during the MPT.</p>
      <p id="d1e230">A complete understanding of the Arctic's role in the MPT requires continuous
paleotemperature records spanning this interval. In this study, we examine
the organic geochemistry of Lake El'gygytgyn sediments from 1142 to 752 ka
to reconstruct continental Arctic temperature and environmental variability
during the MPT. Specifically, we use branched glycerol dialkyl tetraethers
(brGDGTs; Sinninghe Damsté et al., 2000; Weijers et al., 2007),
bacterial membrane lipids, to reconstruct past temperature and the
distribution of long-chain <inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkanes, biomarkers of terrestrial higher
plants, to examine past vegetation shifts (Bush and McInerney, 2013). The
MPT has been widely documented at globally distributed marine sites (e.g., Clark et al., 2006) and in continental loess records from Asia and Europe
(Heslop et al., 2002; Han et al., 2012). However, at present, relatively
few lacustrine records spanning the MPT have been drilled. These include
Lake Malawi (Scholz et al., 2007; Cohen et al., 2007), Lake Baikal
(Prokopenko et al., 2006), and Lake Ohrid (Wagner et al., 2014; Just
et al., 2019); Lake El'gygytgyn is the only such record from the Arctic
(Melles et al., 2012; Brigham-Grette et al., 2013). Investigating the
cause(s) of the MPT is beyond the scope of this study. However, our new
records provide important information regarding high-latitude continental
temperature during this critical climate transition. This study also
provides new insights into the strength and duration of past interglacials in
the continental Arctic. Understanding past Arctic temperature variability is particularly important for placing the current warming into context and for improving models of future climate.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <label>2</label><title>Study location</title>
      <p id="d1e248">Lake El'gygytgyn (67.5<inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, 172.1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> E, 492 m a.s.l.) is
located within the Anadyr Highlands of northeast Russia, approximately 150 km south of the Arctic Ocean coast (Fig. 1). It is a crater lake, formed following a meteorite impact at 3.58 Ma (Layer, 2000), that has accumulated a continuous sedimentary record since its formation. The 318 m sedimentary sequence was collected in 2009 (Melles et al., 2012; Brigham-Grette et al., 2013), providing a uniquely long Arctic paleoclimate record including the MPT interval (Melles et al., 2012; Brigham-Grette et al., 2013; Nowaczyk et al., 2013; Zhao et al., 2018). The age model for the Lake El'gygytgyn drill core was previously published by Nowaczyk et al. (2013) and is applied here. This age model is based on iterative tie-point
identifications using (1) paleomagnetic reversals, (2) comparison of biogenic silica to the LR04 benthic oxygen isotope stack (Lisiecki and Raymo, 2005), and (3) comparison of total organic carbon (TOC) and magnetic susceptibility to summer insolation (Laskar et al., 2004) and has an age precision of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">500</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> years relative to the insolation reference curve
(Nowaczyk et al., 2013). During our study interval, paleomagnetic
reversals and excursions provide age constraints at 0.780, 0.991, 1.0142, 1.0192, and 1.075 Ma (Haltia and Nowaczyk, 2014; Nowaczyk et al., 2013).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 1</label><caption><p id="d1e281">Study location. <bold>(a)</bold> Map showing the location of Lake El'gygytgyn (star) and other key sites discussed in the text (yellow circles) including Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) Sites 882 (Martínez-Garcia et al., 2010), 607 (Sosdian and Rosenthal, 2009), 982 (Lawrence et al., 2009) as well as International Ocean Discovery Program (IODP) Site U1343 (Kender et al., 2018), MD01-2414 (Lattaud et al., 2018), and Tianjin-G3 loess profile
(Zhou et al., 2018). <bold>(b)</bold> Satellite image of Lake El'gygytgyn. The yellow
dot represents the coring location of ICDP Site 5011-1 in the central lake
basin, and the red outline designates the lake's watershed. World imagery
sources: Esri, Maxar, GeoEye, Earthstar Geographics, CNES/Airbus DS, USDA,
AeroGRID, IGN, and the GIS User Community.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/18/559/2022/cp-18-559-2022-f01.png"/>

      </fig>

      <p id="d1e296"><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>The lake basin morphology and local meteorology are well-characterized by Nolan and Brigham-Grette (2007). The lake is approximately 12 km wide and
175 m deep and resides in an impact crater 18 km in width. There is a single stream outlet, the Enmyvaam River, which drains to the south into the Bering Sea. Approximately 50 small streams, with headwaters located within the impact crater, drain into the lake. Mean annual air temperature is <inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10.3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C, and summer temperatures (JJA) average 10 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C. In
contrast, the lake water never exceeds 4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C except over shallower
regions and in the fringing lagoons, which reach 5–6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C during
summer (Nolan and Brigham-Grette, 2007). Over the past 50 years, air
temperatures have risen by over 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C, driven largely by
increasing winter temperatures (Nolan et al., 2013). While positive air
temperature anomalies are associated with a strong low-pressure system over
the Bering Sea and high pressure over the Beaufort Sea, which advects warm
air from the south and east, Nolan et al. (2013) demonstrated that over
the observational period, this temperature increase is caused by general
warming of the atmosphere, rather than changes in storm tracks. It is
somewhat unclear if mean weather patterns at Lake El'gygytgyn are subject to reorganization over longer timescales, such as might be associated with
Bering Land Bridge exposure or submergence, or changes in North Pacific
Ocean circulation.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <label>3</label><title>Methods</title>
      <p id="d1e364">In this study, we analyzed 127 samples from the Lake El'gygytgyn drill core
(ICDP Site 5011-1) spanning the interval from 1142 to 752 ka,
corresponding to depths of 46.77 to 31.06 m in the composite profile.
Additionally, we re-analyzed approximately every third sample from the study of de Wet et al. (2016) (41 samples), who also studied Site
5011-1 in the interval from Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 33 to MIS 31 (1.11 to 1.05 Ma), using a newer high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC)
method that separates the 5- and 6-methyl brGDGT isomers (Hopmans et al., 2016). We also include 85 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkane samples from another study by de Wet (2017) in our analysis. Overall, the sample spacing averages 2.3 kyr for the brGDGTs and 2.7 kyr for the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkanes, with each 1 cm interval integrating an average of 450 years, thereby allowing sufficient resolution to evaluate
orbital-scale climate variability.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <label>3.1</label><title>Biomarker analyses</title>
      <p id="d1e388">Sediment samples were freeze-dried, homogenized, and extracted using a
Dionex accelerated solvent extractor (ASE 200) with a mixture of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">9</mml:mn><mml:mo>:</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of
dichloromethane <inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:mo>:</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> methanol (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). Known quantities of a synthetic C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">46</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> GDGT were added to the total lipid extract (TLE) as an internal standard (Huguet et al., 2006). The TLE was then separated via alumina oxide
columns using <inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">9</mml:mn><mml:mo>:</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> hexane <inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:mo>:</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> dichloromethane (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) to elute the apolar fraction and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>:</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> dichloromethane <inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:mo>:</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> methanol (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) to elute the polar fraction.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1.SSS1">
  <label>3.1.1</label><?xmltex \opttitle{$n$-Alkane analysis}?><title><inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-Alkane analysis</title>
      <p id="d1e508">Apolar fractions were analyzed on an Agilent 7890A gas-chromatograph flame
ionization detector (GC-FID) to determine concentrations of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkanes. Samples were run in splitless mode with an inlet temperature of 250 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C and inlet flow rate of 26.5 mL min<inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, using hydrogen as the carrier gas. Separation was achieved using a 5 % phenyl methyl
siloxane column (HP-5; <inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">60</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">320</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.25</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), with a flow rate of 4.6 mL min<inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. The oven temperature program was as follows: 70 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C for 2 min, increasing at 17 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C min<inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> to 130 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C, then increasing at 7 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C min<inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> to 320 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C, and finally holding at 320 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C for 15 min. Compound identification was performed by comparison to a standard mixture of C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">21</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>–C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">40</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkanes injected during each run and by confirming compound identification for a subset of samples via GC mass spectrometry, following the methods detailed in Keisling et al. (2017). Concentrations of each <inline-formula><mml:math id="M49" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkane were determined using an external squalene calibration curve. Here, we examine leaf wax distributions using the average chain length (ACL; Bray and Evans, 1961; Bush and McInerney, 2013), calculated for the terrestrial (C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">27</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> to C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">33</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) <inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkanes (Eq. 1):
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E1" content-type="numbered"><label>1</label><mml:math id="M53" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>ACL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo mathsize="1.5em">/</mml:mo><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1.SSS2">
  <label>3.1.2</label><title>GDGT analysis</title>
      <p id="d1e768">The polar fractions were filtered through a 0.45 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M54" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> PTFE filter in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M55" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">99</mml:mn><mml:mo>:</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> hexane <inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:mo>:</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> isopropanol (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M57" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). Isoprenoid glycerol dialkyl glycerol tetraethers (iGDGTs) and brGDGTs were analyzed using an Agilent 1260 ultra-high-performance liquid chromatograph (UHPLC) coupled to an Agilent 6120 single quadrupole mass selective detector (MSD) and following the methods detailed by Hopmans et al. (2016), which separates the 5- and 6-methyl brGDGT isomers. Briefly, separation is achieved using a silica precolumn with two BEH HILIC columns in series (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M58" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.1</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">150</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> mm, 1.7 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M59" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>; Waters<sup>®</sup>). Samples were eluted using hexane (solvent A) and hexane <inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:mo>:</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> isopropanol (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M61" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">9</mml:mn><mml:mo>:</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M62" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>; solvent B) in the following program: 18 % solvent B for 25 min, a linear increase to 35 % solvent B over 25 min, then a linear increase to 100 % solvent B for 30 min. The column temperature was 30 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M63" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C and the flow rate was 0.2 mL min<inline-formula><mml:math id="M64" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. Compounds were ionized using atmospheric pressure chemical ionization, and the MSD was run in single ion monitoring (SIM) mode for the GDGT core lipids.</p>
      <p id="d1e891">Lake El'gygytgyn sediments are dominated by brGDGTs with only small
concentrations of iGDGTs present (Fig. S4 in the Supplement) (Holland et al., 2013; D'Anjou et al., 2013; de Wet et al., 2016; Keisling et al., 2017; Daniels et al., 2021). Thus, we use the methylation of branched tetraethers index (Eq. 2), considering only the 5-methyl isomers (MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M65" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), to reconstruct past temperature (De Jonge et al., 2014).
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E2" content-type="numbered"><label>2</label><mml:math id="M66" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>MBT</mml:mtext><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mfenced close="]" open="["><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>Ia</mml:mtext><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mtext>Ib</mml:mtext><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mtext>Ic</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mfenced close="]" open="["><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>Ia</mml:mtext><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mtext>Ib</mml:mtext><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mtext>Ic</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mfenced open="[" close="]"><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>IIa</mml:mtext><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mtext>IIb</mml:mtext><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mtext>IIc</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mfenced open="[" close="]"><mml:mtext>IIIa</mml:mtext></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            We explored the use of several lacustrine brGDGT calibrations to convert
MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M67" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values to temperature. The first is based on a suite of lakes in East Africa that span an elevation transect to capture temperature
gradients (Russell et al., 2018; Eq. 3). This calibration is to mean
annual air temperature.
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E3" content-type="numbered"><label>3</label><mml:math id="M68" display="block"><mml:mrow><?xmltex \hack{\hbox\bgroup\fontsize{9.5}{9.5}\selectfont$\displaystyle}?><mml:mtext mathvariant="normal">MAAT</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.21</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">32.42</mml:mn><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>MBT</mml:mtext><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.25em"/><mml:mspace width="0.25em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mtext>RMSE</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.44</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><?xmltex \hack{$\egroup}?></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p>
      <p id="d1e1041">More recently, Zhao et al. (2021) developed an in situ calibration to
summer (JJA) water temperature using sediment trap data from a site in
southern Greenland (Eq. 4).
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E4" content-type="numbered"><label>4</label><mml:math id="M69" display="block"><mml:mtable class="split" rowspacing="0.2ex" displaystyle="true" columnalign="right left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>JJA</mml:mtext><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.25em"/><mml:mtext>water</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="0.25em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>temp.</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.82</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">56.06</mml:mn><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>MBT</mml:mtext><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mtext>RMSE</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.58</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula></p>
      <p id="d1e1106">Raberg et al. (2021) explored relationships between compound fractional
abundances (FAs) within structural groups based on methylation number,
methylation position, cyclization number and environmental parameters
using a previously published globally distributed data and adding new sites
from the high latitudes. They recommend using their “Meth” calibration for
general use in lake sediments (Eq. 5).
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E5" content-type="numbered"><label>5</label><mml:math id="M70" display="block"><mml:mrow><?xmltex \hack{\hbox\bgroup\fontsize{9.3}{9.3}\selectfont$\displaystyle}?><mml:mtable rowspacing="0.2ex" class="split" displaystyle="true" columnalign="right left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>MAF</mml:mtext><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">92.9</mml:mn><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">15.98</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">63.84</mml:mn><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">15.58</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>Ib</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Meth</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><?xmltex \hack{\hphantom{XXXXXXx}}?><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">130.51</mml:mn><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30.73</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mtext>Ib</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Meth</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><?xmltex \hack{\hphantom{XXXXXXx}}?><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">28.77</mml:mn><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5.44</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>IIIa</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Meth</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><?xmltex \hack{\hphantom{XXXXXXx}}?><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">72.28</mml:mn><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">17.38</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>IIb</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Meth</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><?xmltex \hack{\hphantom{XXXXXXx}}?><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5.88</mml:mn><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.36</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>IIc</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Meth</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><?xmltex \hack{\hphantom{XXXXXXx}}?><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">20.89</mml:mn><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">7.69</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>IIIa</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Meth</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><?xmltex \hack{\hphantom{XXXXXXx}}?><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">40.54</mml:mn><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5.89</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mtext>IIIa</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Meth</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><?xmltex \hack{\hphantom{XXXXXXx}}?><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">80.47</mml:mn><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">19.19</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mtext>IIIb</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Meth</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mtext>RMSE</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.14</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable><?xmltex \hack{$\egroup}?></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            Raberg et al. (2021) also provide a “Full” calibration (Eq. 6) with the highest <inline-formula><mml:math id="M71" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and lowest RMSE in their data and suggest this calibration may be appropriate to apply at sites with good conductivity or pH control.
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E6" content-type="numbered"><label>6</label><mml:math id="M72" display="block"><mml:mtable rowspacing="0.2ex" class="split" displaystyle="true" columnalign="right left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>MAF</mml:mtext><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">8.06</mml:mn><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.56</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">37.52</mml:mn><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.35</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mtext>Ia</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Full</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><?xmltex \hack{\hphantom{XXXXXXx}}?><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">266.83</mml:mn><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">98.61</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>Ib</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Full</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><?xmltex \hack{\hphantom{XXXXXXx}}?><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">133.42</mml:mn><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">19.51</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mtext>Ib</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Full</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><?xmltex \hack{\hphantom{XXXXXXx}}?><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">100.85</mml:mn><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">9.27</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mtext>IIa</mml:mtext><mml:msubsup><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Full</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><?xmltex \hack{\hphantom{XXXXXXx}}?><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">58.15</mml:mn><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10.09</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mtext>IIIa</mml:mtext><mml:msubsup><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Full</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><?xmltex \hack{\hphantom{XXXXXXx}}?><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">12.79</mml:mn><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.89</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mtext>IIIa</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Full</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mtext>RMSE</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.97</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
            We also use a mean annual air temperature calibration from Feng et al. (2019) which was developed using lake sediments and several decades of
instrumental climate data from Tiancai Lake, China (Eq. 7).
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E7" content-type="numbered"><label>7</label><mml:math id="M73" display="block"><mml:mrow><?xmltex \hack{\hbox\bgroup\fontsize{9.1}{9.1}\selectfont$\displaystyle}?><mml:mtable rowspacing="0.2ex" class="split" displaystyle="true" columnalign="right left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>MAAT</mml:mtext><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14.74</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">34.46</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mtext>IIIa</mml:mtext></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">27.49</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mtext>IIa</mml:mtext></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><?xmltex \hack{\hphantom{XXXXXXx}}?><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">35.56</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mtext>IIb</mml:mtext></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">60.36</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mtext>1a</mml:mtext></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><?xmltex \hack{\hphantom{XXXXXXx}}?><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">95.91</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mtext>Ib</mml:mtext><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mtext>RMSE</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.18</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable><?xmltex \hack{$\egroup}?></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            We also apply the global Bayesian calibration for lacustrine brGDGTs, known
as BayMBT, using the baymbt_predict() MATLAB function
(Martínez-Sosa et al., 2021). Following the approach of Martínez-Sosa et al. (2021), we estimated the prior value for our
dataset by calculating a mean temperature using the Russell et al. (2018) calibration; we also used 10 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M74" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C for the standard deviation.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <label>4</label><title>Results</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <label>4.1</label><?xmltex \opttitle{$n$-alkanes}?><title><inline-formula><mml:math id="M75" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkanes</title>
      <p id="d1e1733">Plant leaf waxes (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M76" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkanes) were present in all samples. However, 58 of the 212 samples analyzed (27 %) contained an unresolved complex mixture in the apolar fractions, hampering peak identification without further sample
purification. The <inline-formula><mml:math id="M77" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkanes were not quantified for these samples, resulting in lower sample resolution record for the leaf waxes compared to the GDGTs. For the 153 samples where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M78" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkanes could be sufficiently resolved, samples contained C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M79" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">20</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> through C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M80" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">33</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M81" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkanes, with the shorter chain lengths not always present in each sample. The total concentration of odd-numbered <inline-formula><mml:math id="M82" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkanes ranges from 0.6 to 60.8 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M83" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, with a mean concentration of 4.5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M84" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Odd-numbered chain lengths dominate, particularly
the C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M85" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">23</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M86" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">27</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> homologues (Fig. S1), and the carbon preference
index (CPI; Eq. S1 in the Supplement) over the C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M87" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">25</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>–C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M88" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">33</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> compounds averages 3.6 (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M89" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> SD). When considering all <inline-formula><mml:math id="M90" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkanes from C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M91" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">17</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> to C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M92" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">33</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, the ACL averages 26.2 (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M93" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.9</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> SD). The C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M94" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">27</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>–C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M95" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">33</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> ACL (Eq. 1)
varied between 28.5 and 30.1 (Fig. 2a), with a mean of 29.4. The
C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M96" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">27</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>–C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M97" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">33</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> ACL exhibits a clear shift at around 900 ka (Figs. 2, S2); samples older than 900 ka samples are characterized by lower ACL values,
whereas samples younger than 900 ka exhibit higher ACL values (Fig. 2b).
This shift in ACL values appears to track changes in the pollen-derived
landscape openness index (Zhao et al., 2018), giving rise to a negative
correlation between these metrics (Fig. S3).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><fig id="Ch1.F2" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 2</label><caption><p id="d1e1949">Comparison of Lake El'gygytgyn <inline-formula><mml:math id="M98" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkane and pollen data. <bold>(a)</bold> The ACL of the C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M99" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">27</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>–C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M100" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">33</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M101" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkanes plotted along with the landscape openness (L.O.) index derived from pollen spectra (data from Zhao et al., 2018). <bold>(b)</bold> Boxplots of the ACL data for all samples younger than 900 ka and all samples older than 900 ka. The solid line represents the median value and the dashed line the mean. Individual outliers are plotted.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=384.112205pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/18/559/2022/cp-18-559-2022-f02.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2">
  <label>4.2</label><title>GDGTs</title>
      <p id="d1e2005">iGDGTs are present in all samples analyzed. However, total iGDGT concentrations are low and range from 0.3 to 3916 ng g<inline-formula><mml:math id="M102" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> with a mean concentration of 69 ng per gram of sediment sample  (Fig. S4). Nearly all the iGDGTs present are represented by GDGT-0 and GDGT-4 (Daniels et al., 2021), with average abundances of 75 % and 15 % of the total iGDGTs. The high GDGT-0 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M103" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> crenarchaeol ratio (average 68.8), as well as the fact that many samples did not contain all of the iGDGTs required to calculate a TEX<inline-formula><mml:math id="M104" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">86</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> value, precludes the use of the TEX<inline-formula><mml:math id="M105" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">86</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> paleothermometer (Schouten et al., 2002) at Lake El'gygytgyn. This result is consistent with prior investigations of different time intervals of the Lake El'gygytgyn record (D'Anjou et al., 2013; Holland et al., 2013; de Wet et al., 2016; Keisling et al., 2017; Daniels et al., 2021).</p>
      <p id="d1e2045">Within the entire 174 sample dataset, including the re-analyzed samples from de Wet et al. (2016), total brGDGT concentrations vary from 15 to 4561 ng per gram of sediment sample with a mean concentration of 237 ng per gram of sediment sample (Fig. S4). Like other Arctic lake sediment records (Zhao et al., 2021; Thomas et al., 2018; Raberg et al., 2021; Peterse et al., 2014) hexamethyl brGDGTs (IIIa, IIIb, IIIc) dominate the brGDGT assemblages (46 %), followed by pentamethyl brGDGTs (IIa, IIb, IIc, 30 %), and then
tetramethyl brGDGTs (Ia, Ib, Ic, 23 %) (Figs. S4, S5). We observe 6-methyl GDGT isomers in all samples, which comprise an average of 9 % of the total brGDGTs present but can be as high as 33 % and exhibit substantial variability (Fig. S6). With typically low 6-methyl isomers present, we find very strong correlations in fractional abundances, as well as between MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M106" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M107" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values when comparing between the
samples analyzed by de Wet et al. (2016) and then reanalyzed
using updated chromatographic methods (Fig. S7). MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M108" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values range from 0.12 to 0.56 with an average of 0.28. Based on triplicate analysis of 12 samples, the analytical uncertainty (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M109" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) of the MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M110" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is 0.0065. Typically, glacial–interglacial changes in MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M111" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are on the order of 0.1 to 0.15 units, equivalent to 5–8 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M112" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C on the Greenland lake calibration (Zhao et al., 2021), ca. 3–5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M113" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C on both the African lake (Russell et al., 2018) and BayMBT (Martínez-Sosa et al., 2021) calibrations, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M114" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M115" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C on the “Full” calibration of Raberg et al. (2021) (Fig. S8). The BayMBT temperature reconstruction of months above freezing is shown in Fig. 3.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><fig id="Ch1.F3" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 3</label><caption><p id="d1e2167">Lake El'gygytgyn data with Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) notated at the top and with interglacials indicated by the grey shading. <bold>(a)</bold> The global
benthic oxygen isotope stack (Lisiecki and Raymo, 2005). <bold>(b)</bold> Astronomical forcing, including obliquity and summer insolation (21 June–21 September) at 65<inline-formula><mml:math id="M116" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N latitude (Laskar et al., 2004). <bold>(c)</bold> brGDGT-inferred temperature of the months above freezing (MAF Temp). Dark shading represents the 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M117" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> analytical uncertainty based on triplicate MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M118" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> analyses converted to temperature using BayMBT (1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M119" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.35</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M120" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M121" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">12</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), while light shading represents the calibration uncertainty (Martínez-Sosa et al., 2021). <bold>(d)</bold> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M122" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkane ACL based on C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M123" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">27</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>–C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M124" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">33</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>. <bold>(e)</bold> Lake El'gygytgyn silica (Si) to titanium (Ti) ratio (Melles et al., 2012; Wennrich et al., 2013). <bold>(f)</bold> Summary of lithological
facies in core 5011-1. Facies A (blue bars) represents glacial intervals.
Facies B (brown bars) is cosmopolitan, occurring during both glacials and
interglacials. Facies C (red bars) represents superinterglacials.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=369.885827pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/18/559/2022/cp-18-559-2022-f03.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3">
  <label>4.3</label><title>Spectral signatures of temperature variability</title>
      <p id="d1e2293">To characterize the frequency of temperature variability, we analyzed
spectral signatures of the MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M125" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> temperature record using PAST3 software (Hammer et al., 2001). Frequency analysis was not performed on
the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M126" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkane data because of its lower sample resolution. As noted above, the age model for the El'gygytgyn core tunes TOC and magnetic susceptibility to summer insolation, and indeed, orbital frequencies are observed in several
El'gygytgyn proxies (Nowaczyk et al., 2013; Francke et al., 2013).
Interestingly, however, the relative strength of precession, obliquity, and
eccentricity bands appears to differ between proxies. Here, we use the REDFIT package (Schulz and Mudelsee, 2002) in PAST3 (Hammer et al., 2001), which
utilizes the Lomb–Scargle method for spectral analysis (Lomb, 1976;
Scargle, 1982; Schulz and Mudelsee, 2002), to evaluate the overall
periodogram. We use the PAST3 short-time Fourier transform package to
generate the evolutionary periodogram. Over our study interval, the REDFIT
periodogram shows a small spectral peak at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M127" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">82</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> kyr per cycle, a
peak at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M128" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">41</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> kyr per cycle, a dispersed peak in the 23–14 kyr per cycle, and a significant peak at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M129" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> kyr per cycle
possibly reflecting half-precession (Fig. 4a). The 40 kyr obliquity signal
is strongest in the earlier part of the temperature record, from MIS 32 to
MIS 26, but weakens by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M130" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">980</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ka, when the relative power of
the higher-frequency bands increases (Fig. 4b). Toward the later part of the
record, beginning at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M131" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">900</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ka, we observe increased
variability at longer wavelengths, potentially reflecting both 40 and
80 kyr cyclicity (e.g., obliquity and 2 times obliquity) in the temperature
record.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{4}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 4</label><caption><p id="d1e2371">Frequency analysis of Lake El'gygytgyn MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M132" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> data from 1142 to 752 ka. <bold>(a)</bold> Lomb–Scargle periodogram, with the 80 % and 90 % confidence levels as well as the theoretical autoregression levels. <bold>(b)</bold> Short-time Fourier transformation showing the evolutionary power spectrum, with the dominant peaks from <bold>(a)</bold> indicated with horizontal lines. Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) are indicated along the top. Both analyses were performed using PAST3 (Hammer et al., 2001).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=426.791339pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/18/559/2022/cp-18-559-2022-f04.png"/>

        </fig>

<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5">
  <label>5</label><title>Discussion</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS1">
  <label>5.1</label><?xmltex \opttitle{Interpretation of the $n$-alkane ACL record}?><title>Interpretation of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M133" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkane ACL record</title>
      <p id="d1e2431">The long-chain <inline-formula><mml:math id="M134" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkanes (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M135" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkanoic acids, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M136" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alcohols) with 27 to 35 carbon
atoms are biomarkers of terrestrial higher plants (Eglinton and Hamilton,
1967). Indeed, long-chain (C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M137" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">27</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>–C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M138" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">33</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) <inline-formula><mml:math id="M139" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkanes are predominantly
derived from higher terrestrial plants in the El'gygytgyn catchment
(Wilkie et al., 2013), similar to observations at other Arctic locations
(Daniels et al., 2017; O'Connor et al., 2020). Over the MPT study
interval, CPI values average 3.6 indicating that higher plant inputs
dominate the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M140" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkane pool (Fig. S1). Both the distributions and isotopic
composition of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M141" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkanes can provide information on past vegetation change or the response of vegetation to climate (e.g., temperature or precipitation;
Meyers, 2003; Castañeda and Schouten, 2011). We did not examine leaf
wax deuterium or carbon isotopes in this study, but we observe changes in
the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M142" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkane ACL across the MPT (Fig. 2). Prior studies with independent
temperature or aridity reconstructions (e.g., from leaf wax isotopes, lignin phenols, GDGTs and pollen) have reported that ACL increases with increasing
aridity (e.g., Liu and Huang, 2005; Schefuß et al., 2003; Peltzer,
1989; Poynter et al., 1989) or increasing temperature (e.g.,
Castañeda et al., 2009; Zhang et al., 2006; Kawamura et al., 2003;
Rommerskirchen et al., 2003; Gagosian and Peltzer, 1986). However, at some
locations there is no clear relationship between ACL and temperature or
aridity. Furthermore, global correlations are weak, hindering a quantitative
climate assessment using ACL (Bush and McInerney, 2013). Nonetheless, in
the Arctic, higher ACL values have been associated with arid conditions
(Andersson et al., 2011). At Lake El'gygytgyn, Keisling et al. (2017)
suggested that ACL during the Pliocene is correlated with independent
metrics of aridity but is secondarily affected by temperature and vegetation change. As there are available pollen assemblage data from Lake El'gygytgyn
spanning the MPT (Zhao et al., 2018), we refine our interpretation of ACL
here.</p>
      <p id="d1e2502">Zhao et al. (2018) examined pollen assemblages in the Lake El'gygytgyn
drill core spanning 1091 to 715 ka and found that shrub tundra and cold
steppe communities dominate throughout the study interval. The pollen record exhibits a clear response to glacial–interglacial climate forcing with
higher percentages of herbaceous taxa (<italic>Poaceae</italic>, <italic>Cyperaceae</italic>, and <italic>Artemisia</italic>) present during glacial
periods, reflecting an open landscape (treeless or shrubless) and cold and
arid conditions. Conversely, during interglacials increased percentages of
tree and shrub pollen are present, with dwarf birch (<italic>Betula</italic>) and shrub alder (<italic>Alnus</italic>) being the most common (Zhao et al., 2018). The authors developed a
landscape openness index, which is the relative difference between the
maximum scores of forest and open biomes, as a qualitative assessment of
forest vs. an open landscape (Zhao et al., 2018). This record shows higher
(positive) values during interglacials, with especially high values noted
during MIS 31 and MIS 25 (Fig. 2a). Throughout the MPT, a shift in the
landscape openness index is observed with an increasingly open landscape
noted after around 890 ka, reflecting a long-term cooling and drying trend
during the MPT (Zhao et al., 2018). We find that the ACL at Lake
El'gygytgyn tracks changes in the landscape openness index, with lower
values observed prior to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M143" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">900</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ka and higher values afterwards
when the landscape is more open and herbaceous taxa are more prevalent (Fig. 2b). Thus, we interpret ACL variations as representing large-scale
vegetation changes around Lake El'gygytgyn, which likely reflect a
combination of climate-driven vegetation change coupled with the direct
response of plants to moisture availability.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS2">
  <label>5.2</label><title>Interpretation of the brGDGT record</title>
      <p id="d1e2539">Prior to interpreting the brGDGT record, the source(s) of the brGDGTs (soil
or lacustrine), the seasonality of production, and the choice of temperature
calibration need to be considered. The distribution of brGDGTs in our
dataset indicates a dominant lacustrine source (Fig. S5) throughout the MPT,
in agreement with other previously studied time intervals of the Lake
El'gygytgyn record (Holland et al., 2013; D'Anjou et al., 2013; de Wet et
al., 2016; Keisling et al., 2017). Moreover, the samples are dominated by
5-methyl brGDGTs, suggesting that the MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M144" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> index is most suitable
for reconstructing temperatures at Lake El'gygytgyn (Fig. S4). There are
currently several lacustrine MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M145" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> calibrations that can be applied to reconstruct past temperature (Dang et al., 2018; Russell et al., 2018; Feng et al., 2019; Zhao et al., 2021; Martínez-Sosa et al., 2021; Raberg et al., 2021). Naturally, the reconstructions based on MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M146" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
all show the same temporal structure. The calibration of Dang et al. (2018) is based on alkaline lakes and so is inappropriate to apply at Lake
El'gygytgyn, which has a pH of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M147" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Cremer et al., 2005).
Likewise, the calibration of Feng et al. (2019) (Eq. 7) yields
unrealistically low temperatures and shows strong deviations from other
local and global climate records (Fig. S8) and is deemed not to be
applicable here. The calibration of Russell et al. (2018) reconstructs
mean annual air temperature (MAAT) and is based on a suite of tropical
African lakes. The resulting MAAT from that calibration dramatically
over-estimates current MAAT at El'gygygtyn, but results are similar to reconstructed summer (JJA) temperatures based on pollen (Melles et al., 2012).
The Zhao et al. (2021) calibration reconstructs summer water temperature
and is based on settling particulate material from a southern Greenland
lake. It should be noted that the Zhao et al. (2021) calibration is
currently the only MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M148" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> calibration to water temperature; the other
studies calibrate to MAAT or air temperature of months above freezing
because in-situ measurements of lake water temperature are often not
available. The global “Meth” calibration (Eq. 5) of Raberg et al. (2021)
yields values generally similar to those based on MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M149" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (e.g., Russell et al., 2018; Martínez-Sosa et al., 2021) but some
features of the data present in other calibrations (and other Lake
E'gygytgyn proxies), such as warmth during MIS 21, do not stand out (Fig. S8). The Raberg et al. (2021) calibrations utilize different subsets of
brGDGTs and therefore exhibit some differences compared to calibrations
based on MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M150" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. S8). The global Bayesian calibration includes globally distributed lakes and is based on the MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M151" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> index (Martínez-Sosa et al., 2021). Both Raberg et al. (2021) and Martínez-Sosa et al. (2021) found that the brGDGT temperature
calibrations are strongest when calibrated against warm-season temperatures.
As glacial–interglacial structure is apparent in the MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M152" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> record and
in the pollen spectra (for intervals where it exists), we therefore base our
interpretation on MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M153" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. We further evaluate the choice of
calibration by looking at the record across a well-constrained
glacial–interglacial cycle during the MPT.</p>
      <p id="d1e2688">MIS 31 (1.082–1.062 Ma) is widely recognized as an exceptionally warm
interglacial period (e.g., Maiorano et al., 2009; Teitler et al., 2015), and there are independent temperature estimates (mean temperature of
the warmest month) for Lake El'gygytgyn based on pollen assemblages (Fig. 5; Melles et al., 2012). Previously, de Wet et al. (2016) applied the methylation of branched tetraethers/cyclization of branched tetraethers (MBT/CBT) calibration of Sun et al. (2011) to examine MIS 31. They found a good agreement between their reconstructed temperatures and
pollen-inferred temperature of the warmest month. While the Greenland lake
brGDGT calibration (Zhao et al., 2021) yields similar temperature
estimates to the pollen-based reconstruction across MIS 31 (Melles et
al., 2012; de Wet et al., 2016), the overall amplitude through the remainder of the study interval is larger. Both the African lakes (Russell et al., 2018) and global Bayesian calibrations (Martínez-Sosa et al., 2021)
produce similar values and yield comparatively lower MIS 31 temperatures
compared to the pollen estimates, as well as an overall lower amplitude of
temperature variability (Fig. 5). Given that Lake El'gygytgyn is a deep and
cold lake, and today the shallowest parts of the lake do not exceed 5–6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M154" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C during summer (Nolan and Brigham-Grette, 2007), a calibration with an overall lower amplitude is likely more realistic. Therefore, throughout the remainder of this discussion we plot our MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M155" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> data using the BayMBT calibration (Martínez-Sosa et al., 2021). While a lacustrine-based brGDGT temperature calibration needs to be applied to Lake El'gygytgyn, it should be noted that our samples display a somewhat different brGDGT distribution compared to other lake datasets (Fig. S5), potentially reflecting a need for a pan-Arctic brGDGT calibration or a site-specific calibration. We therefore place more emphasis on relative
trends in the data (warming and cooling events), which remain robust
regardless of the calibration applied. Furthermore, given that several
studies now document that brGDGT production in high-latitude lake peaks
during summer, and that both older brGDGT calibrations that were based on
the combined methylation–cyclization of brGDGTs and the newer
MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M156" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> index show the strongest correlation with growing-season
temperatures (Pearson et al., 2011; Sun et al., 2011; Shanahan et al., 2013; Zhao et al., 2021; Miller et al., 2018; Martínez-Sosa et al., 2021), we interpret relative temperature changes at Lake El'gygytgyn as reflecting conditions during the ice-free summer growing season.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{5}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 5</label><caption><p id="d1e2732">Comparison of brGDGT calibration during MIS 31 with pollen-derived
temperature estimates (Melles et al., 2012). <bold>(a)</bold> The global benthic oxygen isotope stack (Lisiecki and Raymo, 2005) with the different Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) is indicated at the top for reference. <bold>(b)</bold> Lake El'gygytgyn brGDGT temperature estimates using the calibrations of Zhao et al. (2021) based on Greenland lakes, the African lakes MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M157" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> calibration of Russell et al. (2018), the MBT/CBT calibration of Sun et al. (2011) (this is the previously published dataset from de Wet et al., 2016), the BayMBT calibration (Martínez-Sosa et al., 2021), and pollen mean temperature of the warmest month (MTWM) from Melles et al. (2012). Additional brGDGT calibrations are shown in Fig. S8. Note how the BayMBT and African lakes calibrations yield similar results and nearly plot on top of each other.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/18/559/2022/cp-18-559-2022-f05.png"/>

        </fig>

<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS2.SSS1">
  <label>5.2.1</label><title>Climate variability during the MPT</title>
      <p id="d1e2770">Our new brGDGT data from Lake El'gygytgyn document relative temperature
changes, revealing several important aspects of orbital and long-term
climate variability throughout the MPT. The MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M158" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> record shows that
temperatures varied at Milankovitch and sub-Milankovitch timescales and
generally follows changes noted in the global benthic oxygen isotope stack
(Lisiecki and Raymo, 2005) and insolation (Fig. 3). This observation agrees
with prior studies of Lake El'gygytgyn (e.g., de Wet et al., 2016), although it is evident that the relative importance of obliquity and
precession-pacing has varied temporally (Figs. 3 and 4). Our MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M159" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> temperature record supports the observation of Melles et al. (2012)
that congruency between peak precession, obliquity, and eccentricity
together with inter-hemispheric teleconnections can generate
superinterglacial periods such as MIS 11 and 31. The brGDGT data generally
support this interpretation during MIS 31, as well as during the alignment
of Northern Hemisphere summer perihelion and obliquity during the warm MIS 21 (Huybers and Wunsch, 2005), but we note that several other intervals are as warm in the MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M160" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> record despite differences in the orbital configurations. Furthermore, we note that the inverse is also true for temperatures at Lake El'gygytgyn whereby congruent minima in summer
insolation, obliquity, and relatively low eccentricity resulted in very cold conditions during MIS 28 and MIS 22 (Fig. 3).</p>
      <p id="d1e2818">We observe no long-term trend in the MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M161" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> data (Fig. 3), which contrasts with cooling trends observed in the global benthic <inline-formula><mml:math id="M162" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">18</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">O</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> stack (Lisiecki and Raymo, 2005; Clark et al., 2006; Li et al., 2004), <inline-formula><mml:math id="M163" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Mg</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ca</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>-derived temperatures of Atlantic deep waters (Sosdian and Rosenthal, 2009), and some sea surface temperature records from the northern high latitudes (e.g., Martínez-Garcia et al., 2010; Lawrence et al., 2009; McClymont et al., 2008). At Lake El'gygytgyn, Francke et al. (2013) report changes in orbital frequencies of grain size distributions before and after the MPT, while other proxies at Lake El'gygytgyn do not exhibit any long-term trends across the MPT interval (Wennrich et al., 2016). These other proxies do not directly record temperature yet appear to agree with the brGDGT data in suggesting relatively stable long-term conditions across the MPT. The lack of MPT cooling at El'gygytgyn is difficult to explain given the expansion of Northern Hemisphere ice sheets at that time. It could imply that the climate at the study site is not representative of the pan-Arctic region, and indeed, there is considerable spatial variability in climate change across the Arctic (Daniels et al., 2021; Tulenko et al., 2020). Alternatively, it may suggest that Arctic cooling was not the critical driver of intensified ice sheet growth, implicating a strong role for the regolith removal hypothesis (Clark and Pollard, 1998; Yehudai et al., 2021) or Southern Hemisphere (i.e., Antarctic) cooling and ice sheet expansion (Ford and Raymo, 2020).</p>
      <p id="d1e2861">Although we see no
overall trend in the brGDGT data, there is a notable increase in leaf wax
ACL values reflecting a significant climate-driven ecological change across
the MPT (Fig. 2), most likely indicating aridification of the study region.
A long-term aridification trend over the past <inline-formula><mml:math id="M164" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Myr is
similarly noted from the Chinese Loess Plateau (Zhao et al., 2018; Zhou
et al., 2018; Wu et al., 2020). At El'gygytgyn, aridity is in part
controlled by the amount of moisture being sourced from the nearby
high-latitude seas. A sedimentary record from the Northwind Ridge in the
Western Arctic Ocean indicates a transition from seasonal sea ice to
perennial sea ice around 1 Ma, which could explain the observed trend toward drier conditions (Dipre et al., 2018). The contrast between enhanced sea
ice coverage and stable temperatures at El'gygytgyn points to strong
geographic variations in climatic cooling across the MPT, particularly
between the marine realm and northeast Russia.</p>
      <p id="d1e2874">A characteristic feature of the MPT is the appearance of longer glacial
cycles, expressed in the frequency domain of many paleoceanographic and
continental records as increasing power in the quasi-100 kyr band, although there is no fundamental change in orbital forcing across the MPT. In the Arctic, precession and obliquity are key drivers of warm-season temperatures because of the large changes in peak summer insolation and changes in summer duration. Indeed, spectral analysis of the Lake El'gygytgyn MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M165" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> record reveals significant obliquity and precession cycles over the MPT (Fig. 4), with the obliquity signal being the strongest prior to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M166" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Ma (Fig. 4). Increased variability at longer wavelengths is observed after <inline-formula><mml:math id="M167" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">900</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ka but at an <inline-formula><mml:math id="M168" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">82</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> kyr cyclicity, which may be twice an obliquity signal rather than eccentricity. However, we note that the interval studied here may be too short to fully evaluate changes in longer orbital frequencies occurring during the MPT. Prior studies of the Lake El'gygytgyn drill core report similar spectral
results but with some notable differences in the relative strength of
various frequencies. Grain-size data, reflecting climate-dependent
(glacial–interglacial) clastic sedimentation processes at Lake El'gygytgyn,
also display a strong obliquity cycle throughout the MPT. Yet in contrast to
the brGDGT data, the strongest obliquity signature is noted in the younger
part of the record from 950 to 670 ka (Francke et al., 2013). The
grain-size data also exhibit a strong precession cycle from 1100 to 900 ka (Francke et al., 2013), in agreement with the brGDGT data. The authors
note that changes in grain size at Lake El'gygytgyn are not directly coupled to changes in global ice volume.</p>
      <p id="d1e2923">The effect of MPT ice sheet expansion on spectral signatures would naturally be strongest in direct proximity to where the ice sheets develop, namely North America, Greenland, and Fennoscandia. In northeast Siberia, however, ice sheets have not been as prominent a feature of the Pleistocene
environment (Brigham-Grette et al., 2013), and it is not entirely clear
how the 100 kyr ice sheet influence is transferred to Lake El'gygytgyn.
Through model simulations, Melles et al. (2012) indicated that temperature variability at Lake El'gygytgyn is decoupled from Greenland Ice Sheet growth and decay. Instead, precession variations here are more likely connected with regional insolation differences or latitudinal climatic teleconnections (Francke et al., 2013), which may help explain the lack of
brGDGT-inferred cooling across the MPT.</p>
      <p id="d1e2926">Interestingly, the Lake El'gygytgyn brGDGT data exhibit the strongest
spectral power at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M169" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10.9</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> kyr cyclicity (Fig. 4), which could
reflect a half-precession signal (Verschuren et al., 2009). The signal is
strongest between 850 and 1030 ka and is apparent, for example, in the
structure of the substages of MIS 21. Sub-orbital climate variations have
been noted at Lake El'gygytgyn but not discussed in detail (e.g., Wennrich
et al., 2016), as most proxies are dominated by the Milankovitch
frequencies. Nonetheless, half-precession has been observed during the MPT
in the northern high latitudes. Haneda et al. (2020) report
half-precession variability in the Kuroshio current of the western North
Pacific during MIS 19. Likewise, Ferretti et al. (2010) report that
during MIS 21, foraminifera <inline-formula><mml:math id="M170" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">18</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">O</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> varied strongly at the 10.6 kyr wavelength at Site U1313 (Fig. 1; this Site is a revisit of DSDP 607) and a number of other sites across the North Atlantic. Their finding
supports a previous identification of Milankovitch harmonics in the North
Atlantic (Wara et al., 2002). In that region, the isotope signal was
driven by variations in temperature and the strength of Atlantic Meridional
Overturning Circulation (AMOC).</p>
      <p id="d1e2952">The presence of half-precession variability in the North Atlantic has been
attributed to non-linear feedbacks due to orbital forcing within the North
Atlantic region, related to the different timescales of ice sheet dynamics,
deep ocean convection, and moisture feedbacks (Wara et al., 2002). It has
alternatively been linked to tropical hemi-precession (e.g., Verschuren et
al., 2009) being transmitted to the high latitudes via oceanic and
atmospheric teleconnections (Ferretti et al., 2010). In the Northwest
Pacific, Haneda et al. (2020) suggest a combination of AMOC variation
and equatorial insolation forcing generated a signal of half-precession
during MIS 19. Half-precession (9.2–12.7 kyr variance) is also apparent in Late Pleistocene thermocline temperatures from the Western Equatorial
Pacific, resulting in sub-orbital variability in the east–west gradient
across the equatorial Pacific (Jian et al., 2020). The thermocline water
temperature gradient plays a controlling role in the dynamics of the El
Niño Southern Oscillation and Walker circulation in the tropical Pacific, which in turn have been linked to climate in the Bering Strait
region, mainly through their influence on the position and strength of the
Aleutian Low pressure system (Niebauer, 1988). Considering that Bering Strait climatology can exert a strong influence on temperatures at Lake
El'gygytgyn (Nolan et al., 2013), this atmospheric teleconnection may be
the most direct explanation for the occurrence of half-precession in the
El'gygytgyn MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M171" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> record.</p>
      <p id="d1e2970">In addition to potentially influencing sub-orbital climate dynamics at
El'gygytgyn, strengthening of Walker circulation between 1.17 and 0.9 Ma
has been hypothesized to be a key driver of the mid-Pleistocene transition
(McClymont and Rosell-Melé, 2005). Walker cell intensification likely
resulted in a westward shift and deepening of the Aleutian low, thereby
lowering air and sea surface temperatures over the Bering Sea and
potentially contributing to enhanced upwelling and expanded sea ice (Worne
et al., 2021). In contrast to the potential half-precession sensitivity of
Lake El'gygytgyn MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M172" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to tropical and sub-tropical Pacific dynamics, we do not see a clear effect on Walker circulation changes across the MPT in the MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M173" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> temperature record presented here, potentially because changing position of the Aleutian low can result in variable temperature responses at El'gygytgyn (Nolan et al., 2013). Furthermore, McClymont and Rosell-Melé (2005) speculate that intensification of Walker circulation
increased winter precipitation in the Arctic, contributing to ice sheet
expansion. This mechanism contrasts with the vegetation change and moisture
reduction across the MPT suggested by pollen and leaf waxes at El'gygytgyn,
potentially because of locally expanded sea-ice or lower continental
temperatures suppressing evaporation in Lake El'gygytgyn moisture source
regions. We note that the half-precession signal in the brGDGT record (Fig. 4) gets stronger between approximately 1.1 and 0.9 Ma, while Walker
circulation was intensifying prior to the first skipped interglacial.
Future climate modeling could elucidate how shifts in Walker circulation may have influenced sub-orbital variations in Pacific climate variability,
including its influence at Lake El'gygytgyn.</p>
      <p id="d1e3003">In the following discussion, we take a closer look at glacial–interglacial
variability noted in our new Lake El'gygytgyn biomarker records.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS2.SSS2">
  <label>5.2.2</label><?xmltex \opttitle{MIS 34--26 (1150--959\,ka)}?><title>MIS 34–26 (1150–959 ka)</title>
      <p id="d1e3015">In the interval spanning MIS 34 to 26, we observe a strong correspondence
between the MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M174" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> temperatures and global benthic foraminifera oxygen isotope (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M175" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">18</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">O</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) stack (Lisiecki and Raymo, 2005) (Fig. 3). The coldest periods in the MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M176" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> record align closely with glacial Facies A in the El'gygytgyn sediment profile (Fig. 3), as well as with biomarker-inferred expansions of sea ice beyond the marginal ice zone of the Bering Sea (Fig. 6; Detlef et al., 2018) indicating cooling across the Bering region during the MIS 32, 30, 28, and 26. While precession and half-precession are apparent in the evolutionary power spectrum (Fig. 4), the temperature was primarily paced at 41 kyr over this interval, as seen in alignment between the smoothed brGDGT temperature record and the obliquity history (Fig. S9). This could reflect the importance of summer duration on Arctic summer temperature or lake water temperature. Alternatively, the 41 kyr pacing may be driven by changes in glacial/interglacial <inline-formula><mml:math id="M177" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CO</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> variations, for which there is not a well-resolved record over this time span, but it likely tracked global climate conditions at 41 kyr pacing (Berends et al., 2021).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6"><?xmltex \currentcnt{6}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 6</label><caption><p id="d1e3076">Comparison of the Lake El'gygytgyn temperature reconstruction across the MPT with marine records from the sub-Arctic North Pacific (for locations of each site, refer to Fig. 1). <bold>(a)</bold> Global benthic oxygen isotope
stack (Lisiecki and Raymo, 2005). <bold>(b)</bold> Smoothed (5-point moving average) Lake El'gygytgyn MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M178" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values. <bold>(c)</bold> TEX<inline-formula><mml:math id="M179" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">86</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> SST from the Sea of Okhotsk (Site MD01-2414; Lattaud et al., 2018). <bold>(d)</bold> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M180" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">U</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">37</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> SST from the sub-Arctic North Pacific (ODP 882; Martínez-Garcia et al., 2010). <bold>(e)</bold> Upwelling index in the Bering Sea (Site U1343; Worne et al., 2020). <bold>(f)</bold> Concentration of sea ice biomarkers in the Bering Sea (Site U1343; Detlef et al., 2018). <bold>(g)</bold> Lake El'gygytgyn leaf wax ACL values.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/18/559/2022/cp-18-559-2022-f06.png"/>

          </fig>

      <p id="d1e3149">During MIS 31, the MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M181" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> record shows somewhat surprising results in
comparison to other Lake El'gygytgyn proxies (Fig. 3). In the El'gygytgyn
record, superinterglacial periods (interglacials that are exceptionally warm
and wet) were previously identified based on the presence of Facies C, a
sedimentary unit characterized by weakly laminated reddish oxidized
sediments, high <inline-formula><mml:math id="M182" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Si</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ti</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ratios, and low organic matter content (Melles et al., 2012). Facies C is interpreted as reflecting an oxygenated water
column, high aquatic productivity, seasonal lake ice, and generally warm
conditions (Melles et al., 2012). Pollen spectra from Facies C intervals
typically corroborate this interpretation, exhibiting a temporary appearance of birch, alder, or other trees (Melles et al., 2012). The MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M183" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> data show a temperature increase of ca. 5–8 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M184" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C (using the BayMBT calibration; Martínez-Sosa et al., 2021) compared to the glacial stages immediately preceding and following. However, MIS 29, 27, and 21 were as warm or warmer than MIS 31 in the MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M185" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> record, yet Facies C is
absent during these intervals. The differing redox conditions seen in Facies C may have impacted brGDGT distributions, suppressing the warming signal during MIS 31. However, previous empirical evidence suggests that oxic conditions would most likely accentuate MIS 31 warmth (Buckles et al., 2014; Martínez-Sosa and Tierney, 2019), which is not what we observe. We cannot fully exclude other microbial factors that may impact brGDGT producers, but we can infer that other meteorological variables contributed to the presence of Facies C. Based on mineral characteristics, Wei et al. (2014) demonstrated that precipitation is a key driver of Facies C formation. This may imply that MIS 29, 27, and 21 were relatively arid in comparison to MIS 31. The pollen record indicates that cool conifer forest was present around Lake El'gygytgyn during MIS 31 and that higher
precipitation characterized this superinterglacial (Zhao et al., 2018;
Lozhkin and Anderson, 2013; Melles et al., 2012). Additionally, it is
possible that MIS 31 was windier than other interglacials, thereby
decreasing water column stability and increasing ventilation and nutrient
availability in the surface waters. Indeed, high <inline-formula><mml:math id="M186" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Si</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ti</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values, a proxy for diatom productivity, are noted in the Lake El'gygytgyn record during MIS 31 (Melles et al., 2012).</p>
      <p id="d1e3232">In the interval from MIS 34 to 26, the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M187" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkane ACL record has the highest
resolution during MIS 31. At this time, a shift to lower ACL values is noted (Figs. 2 and 5), potentially driven by wetter conditions. During the other
interglacials in this interval (MIS 33, 29, and 27), lower ACL values
generally occur during peak interglacial conditions. However, low sample
resolution during MIS 27 hampers full evaluation of this relationship, and
higher variability in ACL values is noted during MIS 33, 29, and 27 compared
to MIS 31. In the pollen record, MIS 29 is characterized by <italic>Alnus</italic> and <italic>Betula</italic> pollen while MIS 27 is characterized by an increase in larch, dwarf birch, and alder pollen (Zhao et al., 2018). Our MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M188" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> record differs from the pollen record in that MIS 29 appears warmer compared to MIS 27, whereas in the pollen record, MIS 27 is interpreted as the warmer and wetter of these
interglacials (Zhao et al., 2018). The Lake El'gygytgyn pollen record
displays a sharp increase in cold steppe pollen at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M189" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">975</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ka
indicating the onset of glacial MIS 26 (Zhao et al., 2018). This dramatic
change appears to be reflected in the ACL record with the largest shift in
our record initiating at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M190" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">963</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ka, when ACL values increase
significantly (Fig. 2).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS2.SSS3">
  <label>5.2.3</label><?xmltex \opttitle{MIS 25--22 (959--866\,ka)}?><title>MIS 25–22 (959–866 ka)</title>
      <p id="d1e3293">In the Lake El'gygytgyn brGDGT record, MIS 25 is comparatively cooler than
other interglacial periods (Fig. 3). Summer insolation during MIS 25 reaches its highest value of the study interval, yet reconstructed temperatures are
similar to the preceding and following glacial stages when insolation and
obliquity were lower. MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M191" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values average <inline-formula><mml:math id="M192" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.25</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, or
6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M193" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C on the BayMBT calibration. Following a brief increase in
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M194" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkane ACL values at the termination of MIS 26, ACL again declines during the MIS 25 obliquity maximum circa 953 ka, coinciding with the expansion of trees and shrubs in the area as noted in the pollen record (Zhao et al., 2018). Whereas Zhao et al. (2018) infer warm conditions during MIS 25,
the cool brGDGT-inferred temperatures suggest that the vegetation change was rather driven by a combination of longer growing seasons and increase in the moisture balance. During MIS 25, the El'gygytgyn <inline-formula><mml:math id="M195" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Si</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ti</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ratio is slightly elevated (Fig. 3), suggesting an increase in lake productivity. In the absence of increased summer temperatures, the change in productivity was likely caused by a combination of longer growing season, increased runoff, or increased windiness promoting mixing of the water column. Regionally, the weak MIS 25 warming agrees well with alkenone-derived SSTs from ODP 882 in the North Pacific (Martínez-Garcia et al., 2010), which also exhibits a relatively cool MIS 25. At Site U1343 in the nearby Bering Sea,
paleoceanographic changes are complex. A low abundance of sea ice
biomarkers points to ice-free conditions during MIS 25 (Fig. 6g; Detlef et
al., 2018), while high opal accumulation rates (Kim et al., 2014), the
presence of ice-marginal diatom species (Worne et al., 2021), and a high
nutrient upwelling index (Worne et al., 2020) indicate a peak in marginal
sea ice conditions, increased wind strength, and a longer sea ice melt
season. If these changes in wind strength and seasonality extended over
Arctic Asia, it would help explain the limnological and vegetation changes
observed at El'gygytygyn.</p>
      <p id="d1e3349">Numerous MPT studies note a global cooling trend with increasing sea ice
extent culminating in an anonymously cool or
“skipped” MIS 23 interglacial and a strong glacial period during MIS 22
(Head and Gibbard, 2015, and references therein), in effect giving rise to
the first long glacial cycle of the Late Pleistocene. The lack of warming at El'gygytgyn during MIS 25 obscures the nature of the first long glacial
cycle from MIS 24–22 that is apparent in the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M196" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">18</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">O</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> history
(Lisiecki and Raymo, 2005; Clark et al., 2006). From MIS 24 to 22, there
is a strengthening of sub-orbital temperature variations, with two
short-lived warming excursions bracketing a brief cold period at 905 ka
despite peaks in both obliquity and Northern Hemisphere summer insolation
(Fig. 3). The evolutionary power spectrum shows that the strength of the
41 kyr climate variability weakens from MIS 25–22, whereas the
sub-Milankovitch frequencies become more prominent (Fig. 4), suggesting a
breakdown of the climate dynamics that dominated previously. The lower-resolution ACL data are in closer agreement with the benthic isotope stack,
exhibiting an increasing trend from MIS 25 to 22 and an abrupt decrease at
the beginning of MIS 21 (Fig. 3).</p>
      <p id="d1e3365">Overprinting the increase in ACL values are a series of  glacial–interglacial oscillations. For reasons that are not clear, pollen is absent in Lake El'gygytgyn sediments during MIS 23 (Zhao et al., 2018) yet <inline-formula><mml:math id="M197" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkanes are present. During the peak of MIS 23, ACL values are high and are higher than
those of the previous glacials, suggesting conditions that were either arid
or more glacial-like (Fig. 2). Temperatures during MIS 22 were particularly
cold and arid, characterized by some of the lowest MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M198" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values and the highest ACL values of the record (Fig. 3). These cool conditions were associated
with particularly low productivity, seen in the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M199" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Si</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ti</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ratio (Fig. 3). There was a two-phase termination of MIS 22, with an abrupt warming at 880 ka followed by a brief return to cold conditions just prior to the final
warming event. The two-phase deglaciation is also apparent in the doublet of
Facies A during MIS 22 (Fig. 3). The deglacial warming is approximately
synchronous with the increasing obliquity, leading the deglacial decrease in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M200" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">18</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">O</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. 3).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS2.SSS4">
  <label>5.2.4</label><?xmltex \opttitle{MIS 21--20 (866--790\,ka)}?><title>MIS 21–20 (866–790 ka)</title>
      <p id="d1e3424">While MIS 29, 27, and 21 all show MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M201" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values as high as the
superinterglacial MIS 31, the most pronounced warm period of the brGDGT
record is MIS 21 (Fig. 3). Warming in the MBT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M202" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ME</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> starts early in MIS 22 and continues to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M203" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">868</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ka when peak interglacial conditions
are noted. Temperatures increased by at least 4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M204" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C and possibly
up to 10 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M205" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C at the start of MIS 21 as seen in the BayMBT
calibration. The comparatively rapid warming recorded at Lake El'gygytgyn
from MIS 22 to MIS 21 agrees with Pacific records (Fig. 6; Martínez-Garcia et al., 2010; McClymont et al., 2013; Kender et al., 2018; Lattaud et al., 2019). From 865–845 ka shrubby vegetation
communities, including stone pine, birch, and alder, returned to the region,
while <inline-formula><mml:math id="M206" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkane ACL decreased, thereby suggesting warm and wet conditions
(Zhao et al., 2018). The reemergence of tree and shrub communities during
MIS 21 is also reflected in the loess sediments of northeast China (not
shown; Zhou et al., 2018) suggesting a widespread shift to milder
conditions. Despite the notable warmth and a slight increase in aquatic
productivity seen in the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M207" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Si</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ti</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ratios, MIS 21 is not identified as a
superinterglacial interval based on the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M208" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Si</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ti</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> or lithofacies records
(Melles et al., 2012).</p>
      <p id="d1e3517">Interglacial conditions remained relatively warm for approximately 40 kyr
during MIS 21–20. The return to glacial conditions at El'gygytgyn differs
notably from the global benthic isotope composite (Lisiecki and Raymo,
2005); whereas the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M209" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">18</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">O</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> data indicate a gradual cooling or
gradual development of ice sheets culminating in full glacial conditions
around 814 ka, the brGDGT data indicate an earlier and more rapid cooling to glacial conditions around 835 ka, which was then followed by relatively
stable or even warming climate moving into MIS 20 (Fig. 3). This early
cooling is also seen in the pollen record, which shows the appearance of
open steppe vegetation from 845–810 ka (Zhao et al., 2018). The apparently cool, open-landscape environment in the latter half of MIS 21 occurred despite increasing obliquity, reminiscent of the scenario across MIS 25.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS3">
  <label>5.3</label><title>Comparison with North Pacific marine records</title>
      <p id="d1e3542">At present, air temperature anomalies at Lake El'gygytgyn are largely
governed by variations in the air masses originating over the sub-Arctic
North Pacific, the Bering Sea, and the proximal Arctic Ocean (Nolan and
Brigham-Grette, 2007). Based on this, Melles et al. (2012) hypothesized
that temperatures during past interglacials were responsive to changes
taking place in the North Pacific Ocean. Specifically, the extremely warm
and wet superinterglacials at El'gygytgyn were linked to greater
stratification and hence higher SSTs in the North Pacific. The increased
oceanic stratification, in turn, was hypothesized to be controlled by
Southern Hemisphere processes, namely reduced Antarctic Bottom Water flow
into the Pacific basin. Since that study, several new marine SST and
upwelling records spanning the MPT have been developed from the North
Pacific allowing for a more direct assessment of this proposed mechanism.</p>
      <p id="d1e3545">The MPT temperature history at El'gygytgyn generally resembles marine
conditions at glacial–interglacial timescales (Fig. 6). Biomarker records of sea ice expansion at Site U1343 (Fig. 6f) in the Bering Sea (Detlef et
al., 2018) correspond to cool glacial stages in the brGDGT record. Likewise, the reconstructed warmth and rapid onset of MIS 21 are also seen in TEX<inline-formula><mml:math id="M210" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">86</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and alkenone-based temperature records from the Sea of Okhotsk (Lattaud et al., 2019) and ODP Site 882 (Martínez-Garcia et al., 2010), while cool conditions during MIS 25 are seen at both El'gygytgyn and at ODP Site 882 (Fig. 6b, d). However, the relationship with North Pacific upwelling appears more complex. The strength of upwelling in the Bering Sea during the MPT was reconstructed using biogenic silica accumulation rates and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M211" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">15</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">N</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> offsets between Site U1343 in the Bering Sea and Site 1012 in the tropical North Pacific (Stroynowski et al., 2017; Worne et al., 2020). During MIS 25, the cool temperatures recorded at El'gygytgyn (Fig. 6b) and Site 882 (Fig. 6d) are consistent with a temporary increase in the upwelling index at Site U1343 (Fig. 6e). In contrast, during MIS 31, strengthened upwelling in the Bering Sea corresponds with warm SST at Site 882 and superinterglacial conditions at El'gygytgyn. The rapid transition into the notably warm MIS 21 coincides with warming seen in the nearby marine records (Martínez-Garcia et al., 2010; Lattaud et al., 2019) and is likewise associated with an increase in Bering Sea upwelling (Fig. 6e; Worne et al., 2020).</p>
      <p id="d1e3570">A secular decline in upwelling at Site U1343 from MIS 30 to 22 corresponds
with declining SSTs and expanding sea ice (Fig. 6e, f). These findings
challenge the previous hypothesis of Melles et al. (2012) who suggested
that reduced upwelling should cause an increase in temperature in the North
Pacific and at El'gygytgyn. To explain this, Worne et al. (2020) suggest
that North Pacific cooling and sea ice expansion contributed to a reduction
in upwelling via enhanced brine rejection on the Bering shelf and associated expansion of North Pacific Intermediate Waters. Worne et al. (2020) further hypothesize that the reduced upwelling suppresses CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M212" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> transfer from the deep Pacific to the atmosphere, providing an essential feedback to the global climate during MPT. This process was possibly enhanced by sea level decline (Berends et al., 2021; Elderfield et al., 2012) and the initial closure of the Bering Strait during MIS 23 (Kender et al., 2018). This mechanism is supported by North Pacific upwelling and surface water pH changes during the last glacial termination (Gray et al., 2018; Basak et al., 2018). The Lake El'gygytgyn temperatures exhibit no strong trend
associated with the decline in North Pacific upwelling. Rather, temperatures
fluctuated, with minima occurring during both MIS 23 and the first “skipped
interglacial” and again during MIS 22 (Figs. 3 and 6). The high-frequency
variability during MIS 23–21 approximates the half-precession timescales,
potentially indicating a strengthening of tropical influences on the high
latitudes during this critical transition period of the MPT.</p>
      <p id="d1e3582">While reduced upwelling did not drive a persistent increase or decrease in
temperatures at Lake El'gygytgyn across MIS 30–22, increased <inline-formula><mml:math id="M213" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkane ACL
values, especially from MIS 26–22, suggest the continental climate was
responsive to changes in the North Pacific (Fig. 6g). Vegetation assemblages at Lake El'gygytgyn suggest a progression of arid, open steppe communities (Zhao et al., 2018). Increased sea ice coverage leading up to and during the 900 ka event at MIS 23 (Fig. 6f) could have suppressed moisture transport to Lake El'gygytgyn. Based on estimates of global sea levels during the MPT, Kender et al. (2018) suggest that the Bering Strait was open during both interglacial and glacial periods prior to MIS 24 and then open
only during interglacials afterwards. It remains unclear whether changes in
sea ice volume and North Pacific circulation around MIS 26 prior to the
Bering Strait closure were sufficient to suppress moisture transport at Lake
El'gygytgyn or if the Bering Strait might have closed during that glacial.
High-resolution sea ice reconstructions from the Arctic Ocean are needed to
better evaluate moisture source changes across the MPT.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S6" sec-type="conclusions">
  <label>6</label><title>Conclusions</title>
      <p id="d1e3601">The Lake El'gygytgyn brGDGT reconstruction presented here is the only
time-continuous record of Arctic continental temperatures spanning the MPT,
thereby providing novel insights into the role and the response of
high-latitude climate through the mid-Pleistocene. Our new brGDGT record of
relative temperature variability captures glacial–interglacial climate
fluctuations at Lake El'gygytgyn, although the ability of brGDGTs to
reconstruct absolute temperature is less clear and a pan-Arctic or
site-specific calibration may be needed. Spectral analysis of the brGDGT
record, in comparison with marine records, suggests that obliquity,
precession, and possibly half-precession are persistent characteristics of
high-latitude climate across the MPT. While some locations indicate an
overall cooling trend throughout the MPT, this is not observed at Lake
El'gygytgyn. We find that MIS 31, which is widely recognized as a
particularly warm interglacial, does not exhibit exceptional warmth in the
brGDGT record but instead find that MIS 21 was an especially warm
interglacial both at Lake El'gygytgyn and throughout much of the North
Pacific region. Throughout the MPT, Lake El'gygytgyn pollen and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M214" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkane data
exhibit a long-term cooling and drying trend, with a shift to an
increasingly open landscape noted after around 900 ka (Zhao et al., 2018).
The lack of overall MPT cooling in our terrestrial record contradicts
upwelling-driven climate trends observed in North Pacific marine proxies.
Having a better understanding of history of the Bering Strait's closure will
be critical for resolving the differences between terrestrial and marine
climate records in the region. Our new data from Lake El'gygytgyn provide a
number of constraints for understanding the evolution of Arctic temperature
change across the mid-Pleistocene.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><notes notes-type="dataavailability"><title>Data availability</title>

      <p id="d1e3615">The biomarker (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M215" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-alkane and GDGT) data used in this study are archived at the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information: <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.25921/z73y-mx49" ext-link-type="DOI">10.25921/z73y-mx49</ext-link> (Lindberg et al., 2021).</p>
  </notes><app-group>
        <supplementary-material position="anchor"><p id="d1e3628">The supplement related to this article is available online at: <inline-supplementary-material xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-559-2022-supplement" xlink:title="pdf">https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-559-2022-supplement</inline-supplementary-material>.</p></supplementary-material>
        </app-group><notes notes-type="authorcontribution"><title>Author contributions</title>

      <p id="d1e3637">KRL performed laboratory investigations, data curation, and writing of the original draft and reviews. WCD performed laboratory investigations, formal analyses, data curation, and writing of the original and subsequent drafts. ISC acquired funding, supervised the research, provided resources, performed formal analyses, and contributed to writing first and later drafts. JBG contributed with conceptualization, funding acquisition, and reviewing and editing of the manuscript.</p>
  </notes><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?><notes notes-type="competinginterests"><title>Competing interests</title>

      <p id="d1e3644">The contact author has declared that neither they nor their co-authors have any competing interests.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="disclaimer"><title>Disclaimer</title>

      <p id="d1e3650">Publisher’s note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p id="d1e3656">We thank
Martin Melles, Volker Wennrich, and numerous other international
collaborators of the Lake El'gygytgyn Drilling Project. We also thank Anders
Noren, Kristina Brady, and the staff at LacCore for their assistance and
support with numerous large sample requests, as well as John Sweeney and
Jeff Salacup at University of Massachusetts for technical support. This research was partially supported by a University of Massachusetts Commonwealth Honors College undergraduate research grant to Kurt R. Lindberg. We thank the editor and anonymous reviewers for insightful comments that improved the manuscript.</p></ack><notes notes-type="financialsupport"><title>Financial support</title>

      <p id="d1e3662">This research has been supported by the National Science Foundation (grant no. 1204087).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="reviewstatement"><title>Review statement</title>

      <p id="d1e3668">This paper was edited by Zhengtang Guo and reviewed by two anonymous referees.</p>
  </notes><ref-list>
    <title>References</title>

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