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  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">CP</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Climate of the Past</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">CP</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Clim. Past</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1814-9332</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/cp-14-1315-2018</article-id><title-group><article-title>Relative timing of precipitation and ocean circulation changes<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> in the
western equatorial Atlantic over the last 45 kyr</article-title><alt-title>Relative timing of precipitation and ocean circulation changes</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Relative timing of precipitation and ocean circulation changes}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{C.~Waelbroeck et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Waelbroeck</surname><given-names>Claire</given-names></name>
          <email>claire.waelbroeck@lsce.ipsl.fr</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7256-5727</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2 aff3">
          <name><surname>Pichat</surname><given-names>Sylvain</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Böhm</surname><given-names>Evelyn</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Lougheed</surname><given-names>Bryan C.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1687-2896</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Faranda</surname><given-names>Davide</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5001-5698</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Vrac</surname><given-names>Mathieu</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6176-0439</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Missiaen</surname><given-names>Lise</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0679-1347</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1 aff4">
          <name><surname>Vazquez Riveiros</surname><given-names>Natalia</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff5">
          <name><surname>Burckel</surname><given-names>Pierre</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff6">
          <name><surname>Lippold</surname><given-names>Jörg</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff7">
          <name><surname>Arz</surname><given-names>Helge W.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff8">
          <name><surname>Dokken</surname><given-names>Trond</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Thil</surname><given-names>François</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Dapoigny</surname><given-names>Arnaud</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>LSCE/IPSL, Laboratoire CNRS-CEA-UVSQ, 91198 Gif-sur-Yvette,
France</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Laboratoire de Géologie de Lyon (LGL-TPE), Ecole Normale
Supérieure de Lyon, Université de Lyon,<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> CNRS UMR5276, 69007 Lyon,
France</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>Climate Geochemistry Department, Max Planck Institute for
Chemistry, Mainz, Germany</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff4"><label>4</label><institution>Ifremer, Unité de Geosciences Marines, 29280 Plouzané,
France</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff5"><label>5</label><institution>IPGP, Université Sorbonne, 75238 Paris, France</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff6"><label>6</label><institution>Institute of Earth Sciences, Heidelberg University, Im Neuenheimer
Feld 234, 69120 Heidelberg, Germany</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff7"><label>7</label><institution>Leibniz-Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde,
Seestrasse 15, 18119 Rostock, Germany</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff8"><label>8</label><institution>Uni Research and Bjreknes Centre for Climate Research,
Nygårdsgaten 112, 5008 Bergen, Norway</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Claire Waelbroeck (claire.waelbroeck@lsce.ipsl.fr)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>18</day><month>September</month><year>2018</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>14</volume>
      <issue>9</issue>
      <fpage>1315</fpage><lpage>1330</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>2</day><month>March</month><year>2018</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>19</day><month>March</month><year>2018</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>1</day><month>August</month><year>2018</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>27</day><month>August</month><year>2018</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        
        
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/.html">This article is available from https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract>
    <p id="d1e252">Thanks to its optimal location on the northern Brazilian margin,
core MD09-3257 records both ocean circulation and atmospheric changes. The
latter occur locally in the form of increased rainfall on the adjacent
continent during the cold intervals recorded in Greenland ice and northern
North Atlantic sediment cores (i.e., Greenland stadials). These rainfall
events are recorded in MD09-3257 as peaks in ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca). New sedimentary
Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th data indicate that mid-depth western equatorial water mass
transport decreased during all of the Greenland stadials of the last 40 kyr.
Using cross-wavelet transforms and spectrogram analysis, we assess the
relative phase between the MD09-3257 sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th and
ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) signals. We show that decreased water mass transport between
a depth of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1300</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and 2300 m in the western equatorial Atlantic preceded
increased rainfall over the adjacent continent by 120 to 400 yr at
Dansgaard–Oeschger (D–O) frequencies, and by 280 to 980 yr at Heinrich-like
frequencies.</p>
    <p id="d1e293">We suggest that the large lead of ocean circulation changes with respect to
changes in tropical South American precipitation at Heinrich-like
frequencies is related to the effect of a positive feedback involving
iceberg discharges in the North Atlantic. In contrast, the absence of
widespread ice rafted detrital layers in North Atlantic cores during D–O
stadials supports the hypothesis that a feedback such as this was not triggered in
the case of D–O stadials, with circulation slowdowns and subsequent changes
remaining more limited during D–O stadials than Heinrich stadials.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d1e303">Rapid changes in ocean circulation and climate have been observed in marine
sediments and polar ice cores over the last glacial and deglacial period
(e.g., Johnsen et al., 1992; Vidal et al., 1997). These observations
demonstrate that the ocean's current mode of circulation is not unique and
can rapidly switch between dramatically different states, in conjunction with
climate changes. Furthermore, these observations highlight the non-linear character of the climate
system.</p>
      <p id="d1e306">Documenting the precise timing and sequence of events in proxy records is a
prerequisite for understanding the processes responsible for rapid climate
changes and improving climate models' predictive skills. However, the task is
complicated by the difficulty of deriving precise age models for marine
sediment cores. When marine cores are radiocarbon<?pagebreak page1316?> dated, uncertainties can
arise from bioturbation biases (e.g., Lougheed et al., 2018) and changes in
past surface reservoir ages (Waelbroeck et al., 2001; Thornalley et al.,
2011). In the best cases, when changes in past surface reservoir ages and
bioturbation biases remain limited, dating uncertainties mainly derive from
the calibration of radiocarbon ages into calendar ages.</p>
      <p id="d1e309">In these cases, errors are less than 150 yr for the time interval spanning
0–11 calendar kyr BP (noted ka), about 400 yr for the 11–30 ka interval, and 600 to 1100 yr for the 30–40 ka interval (Reimer et al.,
2013). Thus, minimum relative dating errors between records from different marine
sediment cores, or between marine and ice cores records, reach 500 yr
at the end of the last deglaciation and increase from 500 to 1500 yr, for
increasing ages between 11 and 40 ka. Therefore, it is not possible to quantify
leads or lags of less than 500 yr between records from different marine
cores, or between marine and ice core records.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e314"><bold>(a)</bold> Map showing the position of the main Brazilian rivers
and surface currents that could influence the terrigenous input at the study
site; the study site is indicated by a white square. The orange area represents the catchment
area of the local rivers directly delivering sediments to the study site, and
the green area represents the catchment area of the Sao Franzisco River (Milliman et al.,
1975). NBC stands for North Brazil Current, SSEC stands for Southern South
Equatorial Current and BC stands for Brazil Current. <bold>(b)</bold> Salinity section
showing the core site and the main water masses in the modern Atlantic Ocean. NADW stands for North Atlantic Deep Water, AAIW stands for Antarctic Intermediate Water and AABW stands for Antarctic Bottom Water.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=483.69685pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/14/1315/2018/cp-14-1315-2018-f01.png"/>

      </fig>

      <p id="d1e329">Here we take advantage of the fact that the northern Brazilian margin core
MD09-3257 records both ocean circulation and atmospheric changes. On the one
hand, we reconstruct ocean circulation changes based on new sedimentary
Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th data and on epifaunal benthic isotopic ratios. On the other hand,
sediment Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca measured by X-ray fluorescence reflects past changes in
rainfall on the adjacent continent (Arz et al., 1998; Jaeschke et al., 2007).
Because Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th and Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca are recorded in the same core, their
relative phasing can be examined with virtually no relative dating
uncertainty.</p>
      <p id="d1e360">We first present the new sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th data and their relation to
changes in mid-depth water transport in the western equatorial Atlantic over
the last 45 kyr. We then precisely assess the relative phasing between the
changes in rainfall and ocean circulation recorded in core MD09-3257.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <title>Material and methods</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <title>Core locations</title>
      <p id="d1e381">Core MD09-3257 (04<inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>14.7<inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> S, 36<inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>21.2<inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> W, 2344 m) was
recovered in 2009 from the northern Brazilian margin during the R/V <italic>Marion Dufresne</italic> cruise MD173/RETRO3 at approximately the same position as core
GeoB3910-2 (04<inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>14.7<inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> S, 36<inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>20.7<inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> W, 2362 m) (Arz et
al., 2001; Jaeschke et al., 2007). The improved recovery of deep-sea sediments
with little or no deformation of sediment layers was achieved thanks to the
systematic use of the CINEMA software (Bourillet et al., 2007; Woerther and
Bourillet, 2005). This software computes the amplitude and duration of the
aramid cable elastic recoil, as well as the piston displacement throughout
the coring phase, accounting for the length of the cable (water depth) and
total weight of the coring system.</p>
      <p id="d1e460">At present, the northern Brazilian margin is bathed by southward flowing upper
North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) at these depths (Lux et al., 2001; Schott et
al., 2003; Rhein et al., 2015) (Fig. 1). The southward advection of dense waters
formed at higher northern latitudes is channeled through the western boundary
current (Rhein et al., 2015), meaning that our sediment cores are ideally
located to detect changes in the transport of northern-sourced waters above a
depth of 2500 m.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <title>X-ray fluorescence spectrometry</title>
      <p id="d1e469">Elemental composition was measured by employing nondestructive, profiling X-ray
fluorescence (XRF) spectrometry. The measurements were made using an AVAATECH
XRF core scanner at the Bjerkness Centre for Climate Research, Bergen
(Norway) at intervals of 0.5 mm on core MD09-3257, and using a CORTEX XRF
scanner at the Bremen Integrated Ocean Drilling Program core repository at
intervals of 0.4 cm on core GeoB3910-2 (Jaeschke et al., 2007). This
automated scanning method allows for a rapid qualitative determination of the
geochemical composition of the sediment at very high resolution (Croudace and
Rothwell, 2015).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3">
  <title>Chronology</title>
      <p id="d1e478">Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca records from core MD09-3257 and core GeoB3910-2 exhibit marked peaks
corresponding to increased terrigenous input due to enhanced precipitation
and runoff from the continent (Arz et al., 1998; Jaeschke et al., 2007)
(Fig. 2). These precipitation events are also recorded in South American
speleothems, and have been shown to correspond to North Atlantic cold stadial
periods (Cheng et al., 2013). The core GeoB3910-2 radiocarbon (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C) age
model shows that increases in sedimentary Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca are indeed synchronous
with decreases in South American speleothem <inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">18</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>O (Burckel et al.,
2015). Based on the observed synchronicity, composite age models of core
MD09-3257 and GeoB3910-2 have been developed using <inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C dating for the
past 35 kyr, combined with the alignment of sediment Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca increases
with decreases in speleothem <inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">18</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>O for the older portion of the
cores (Vazquez Riveiros et al., 2018); thus, speleothem
ages beyond 35 ka could be transferred to the marine cores.
The chronology of core GeoB3910-2 is based on 17 monospecific radiocarbon dates between 0 and 31 ka (Burckel et
al., 2015; Jaeschke et al., 2007). The Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca record of core GeoB3910-2
was aligned to that of core MD09-3257 in order to transfer the radiocarbon
dates of GeoB3910-2 over the interval from 12 to 36 ka to this nearby core. In
addition, five monospecific radiocarbon dates over 1–21 ka were directly obtained
from core MD09-3257. Speleothem tie points were used to derive the
chronology of this core over the period from 38 to 48 ka (Tables S1 and S2 in the Supplement)
(Vazquez Riveiros et al., 2018). All radiocarbon dates were converted to
calendar dates using the OxCal 4.2 software, the IntCal13 calibration curve
(Reimer et al., 2013), and a surface water reservoir age of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">550</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">50</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr
over 0–18 ka (Key et al., 2004), and of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">750</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">250</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr over 18–31 ka
(Freeman et al., 2016). The final age models of cores GeoB3910-2 and
MD09-3257 were<?pagebreak page1317?> obtained using a P_Sequence depositional model
(Bronk Ramsey, 2008), i.e., a Bayesian algorithm producing posterior
probability distributions for each core depth (Tables S1 and S2) (Vazquez
Riveiros et al., 2018).</p>
      <p id="d1e574">In the present study, the GeoB3910-2 age scale for the 32–50 ka interval
was further adjusted by precise alignment of GeoB3910-2 XRF to the MD09-3257
XRF signal (Fig. S1 in the Supplement), which produced a composite record
from these two nearby cores. Given that both XRF signals are virtually
identical and measured at very high resolution (sampling step <inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> cm),
the mean relative dating uncertainty between the two cores is extremely small
(less than 105 yr; Fig. S1).</p>
      <p id="d1e587">Here, we use XRF ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) rather than Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca because log-ratios
provide a unique measure of sediment composition, in contrast to simple
ratios, which are asymmetric (i.e., conclusions based on evaluation of A/B
cannot be directly translated into equivalent statements about B/A) and suffer
from statistical intractability (Weltje and Tjallingii, 2008). We
adopt the same terminology as Burckel et al. (2015) and define the larger
ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) peaks as precipitation events PE0 to PE5, with PE0 occurring
during the Younger Dryas, and PE1 to PE5 occurring during Heinrich stadials 1
to 5 (Fig. 2). What we refer to as Heinrich stadials are strictly those
stadials characterized by the occurrence of iceberg discharges in the mid- to
high-latitude North Atlantic. We refer to smaller ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) peaks
corresponding to D–O stadials using the Greenland stadial numbering
system, as defined by Rasmussen et al. (2014).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e620">MD09-3257 Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th, ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) and composite <italic>C. wuellerstorfi</italic> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) records versus
MD09-3257 age scale, independent from the North Greenland Ice Core Project
(NGRIP) age scale. <bold>(a)</bold> NGRIP air temperature versus the Greenland Ice Core Chronology 2005 (GICC05) age scale (Kindler et al., 2014), transposed from
kyr  b2k (before 2000) to ka. Greenland interstadials are numbered according to Rasmussen
et al. (2014). To avoid overcrowding the figure, Greenland stadials (GS)
and interstadials (GI) are only explicitly named in the case of GS-8 and
GI-8. <bold>(b)</bold> The MD09-3257 core Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th record. Empty symbols denote
data points that may be affected by terrigenous fluxes and should be
interpreted with caution; crosses denote replicate measurements; the red line
connects average values (filled symbols). Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th could not be measured
over the first half of PE2 because of the occurrence of two small sand layers
(Burckel et al., 2015). <bold>(c)</bold> The MD09-3257 core and GeoB3910-2 core composite
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> record (Vazquez Riveiros et al., 2018); crosses
denote replicate measurements. <bold>(d)</bold> MD09-3257 ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca).
Diamonds above the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> axis indicate calibrated radiocarbon dates in
MD09-3257 (filled symbols) and GeoB3910-2 (empty symbols). Triangles indicate
alignment tie points to South American speleothem <inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">18</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>O (Vazquez
Riveiros et al., 2018). Grey bands delineate precipitation events
recorded in MD09-3257 ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca).
</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/14/1315/2018/cp-14-1315-2018-f02.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS4">
  <title>Benthic isotopes</title>
      <p id="d1e764">Epifaunal benthic foraminifers of the <italic>Cibicides wuellerstorfi </italic>
species were handpicked in the &gt; 150 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>m size fraction
(Vazquez Riveiros et al., 2018). Core MD09-3257 <italic>C. wuellerstorfi</italic> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C <inline-formula><mml:math id="M49" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">12</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C, expressed in
‰ versus Vienna Pee Dee Belemnite, VPDB) was measured at the LSCE on
Finnigan DELTAplus and Elementar Isoprime mass spectrometers on samples of
one to three specimens. VPDB is defined with respect to the NBS-19 calcite standard
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">18</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>O <inline-formula><mml:math id="M53" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M54" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>2.20 and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M55" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C <inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.95</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ‰). The
mean external reproducibility (1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M57" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) of carbonate standards is <inline-formula><mml:math id="M58" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.03</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ‰ for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M59" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C; measured NBS-18 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">18</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>O is
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M61" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">23.27</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.10</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M62" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C is <inline-formula><mml:math id="M63" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5.01</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.03</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ‰ VPDB.
Core GeoB3910-2 <italic>C. wuellerstorfi</italic> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M64" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C was measured at
the University of Bremen, Germany, on a Finnigan MAT 252 mass spectrometer on
samples of one to five specimens (Heil, 2006), with a mean external
reproducibility (1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M65" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) for carbonate standards of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M66" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.05</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ‰
for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M67" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C. A composite high-resolution benthic isotopic record was
generated by combining isotopic data from the upper 294 cm of core MD09-3257
(covering the last 32 kyr) with isotopic data from the interval from 246 to 451 cm
in core GeoB3910-2 for the older part of the record (Vazquez Riveiros et al.,
2018).</p>
      <?pagebreak page1318?><p id="d1e990">The <inline-formula><mml:math id="M68" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C/<inline-formula><mml:math id="M69" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">12</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C isotopic ratio (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M70" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C, expressed in per mil –
 ‰ – versus VPDB) of the epifaunal benthic foraminifer <italic>C. wuellerstorfi </italic>has been shown to record the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M71" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C of bottom-water dissolved
inorganic carbon (DIC) with minor isotopic fractionation (Duplessy et al.,
1984; Zahn et al., 1986; Schmittner et al., 2017). A water mass' initial DIC
isotopic concentration is governed by surface productivity in its formation
region (i.e., the preferential consumption of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M72" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">12</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C by primary
productivity, which increases dissolved <inline-formula><mml:math id="M73" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C), as well as
temperature dependent air–sea exchanges (Lynch-Stieglitz et al., 1995). DIC
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M74" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C subsequently decreases as deep water ages, due to the progressive
remineralization at depth of relatively <inline-formula><mml:math id="M75" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C-depleted biogenic material.
As a result, DIC <inline-formula><mml:math id="M76" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C largely follows water mass structure and
circulation in the modern ocean, and <italic>C. wuellerstorfi</italic> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M77" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M78" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M79" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> hereafter) has been used to trace water masses
and as a proxy of bottom-water ventilation (Duplessy et al., 1988 and
numerous subsequent studies). A recent study further highlighted that DIC
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M80" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C more faithfully follows water oxygen content than phosphate
content (Eide et al., 2017), lending strong support to the use of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M81" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M82" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> as a proxy for bottom-water ventilation – the
term ventilation here refers to the transmission of oxygen-rich,
atmosphere-equilibrated water to the ocean interior.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS5">
  <?xmltex \opttitle{New sedimentary Pa\,$/$\,Th data}?><title>New sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M83" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th data</title>
      <p id="d1e1169">New sedimentary (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M84" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">231</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Pa<inline-formula><mml:math id="M85" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msup><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">230</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>Th<inline-formula><mml:math id="M86" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) measurements (excess
activity ratio at the time of deposition, Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M87" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th hereafter) were
produced in core MD09-3257 in order to extend the Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M88" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th record of
Burckel et al. (2015) and to cover the entire time interval from 10 to 43 ka
(Table S3). The excess activity corresponds to the fraction of each
radioisotope produced in the water column by uranium (U) decay and is transferred to
the sediment by adsorption onto particles sinking in the water column.
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M89" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">230</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Th and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M90" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">231</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Pa excess activities are calculated from bulk sediment
measurement by correcting for the contribution of the detrital and authigenic
fractions (François et al., 2004; Henderson and Anderson, 2003) using a
detrital (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M91" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">238</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>U <inline-formula><mml:math id="M92" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M93" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">232</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Th) value of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M94" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.5</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (2<inline-formula><mml:math id="M95" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>)
(Missiaen et al., 2018). These excess activities are then further corrected
for radioactive decay since the time of sediment deposition. Bulk sediment
measurements were performed by isotopic dilution mass spectrometry on the
LSCE MC-ICP-MS (Neptune<inline-formula><mml:math id="M96" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Plus</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, Thermo Fisher), following a<?pagebreak page1319?> method
derived from Guihou et al. (2010). Error bars (2 standard deviations) on
Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M97" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th measurements were computed by Monte Carlo runs (Missiaen et al.,
2018), accounting for the uncertainties in Pa, Th and U measurements, as well
as those of the detrital (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M98" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">238</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>U <inline-formula><mml:math id="M99" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M100" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">232</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Th) value, spike
calibrations and dating.</p>
      <p id="d1e1338">Sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M101" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th can be used to reconstruct changes in the renewal
rate of water masses overlying the core site. This tracer has been
successfully used to reconstruct past changes in deep Atlantic circulation
intensity (Burckel et al., 2015 and references therein). <inline-formula><mml:math id="M102" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">231</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Pa and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M103" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">230</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Th are produced at a constant Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M104" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th activity ratio of 0.093 by
dissolved uranium, which is homogeneously distributed in oceans. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M105" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">230</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Th
is much more particle reactive than <inline-formula><mml:math id="M106" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">231</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Pa, as reflected by their
respective residence time in the ocean (30–40 yr for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M107" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">230</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Th and
100–200 yr for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M108" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">231</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Pa, François, 2007). Therefore, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M109" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">230</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Th is
rapidly removed from the water column to the underlying sediment, while
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M110" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">231</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Pa can be advected by oceanic currents. Thus, when averaged over an entire
ocean basin, high (low) flow rates result in high (low) <inline-formula><mml:math id="M111" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">231</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Pa
export and a low (high) sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M112" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th ratio. In contrast to
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M113" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M114" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, which records the DIC <inline-formula><mml:math id="M115" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C of bottom
waters at the core site, sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M116" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th does not reflect the flow
rate at the seabed but that of a water layer of a few hundreds to more than
1000 m above the seafloor (Thomas et al., 2006).</p>
      <p id="d1e1483">Several potential caveats of the proxy were tested. In particular, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M117" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">231</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Pa
has a higher affinity for opal than for the other types of particles (Chase
et al., 2002), meaning that high opal fluxes can result in high sedimentary
Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M118" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th values even in the presence of lateral advection. Similarly,
areas of very high vertical particle flux, such as the Atlantic off western
Africa, are characterized by high Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M119" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th values (Yu et al., 1996;
François, 2007; Lippold et al., 2012). Recent studies have shown that the
caveats that may apply to this proxy in some areas do not apply to the
western tropical Atlantic region. More specifically, a study including core
top material from the western tropical Atlantic margin and using a 2-D model
(Luo et al., 2010) showed that the measured Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M120" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th vertical profile is
consistent with a dominant role of the overturning circulation, rather than
particle scavenging; this demonstrates that Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M121" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th can be used to
record changes in water mass overturning rates in that region (Lippold et
al., 2011). However, because there are large increases in terrigenous
material deposition on the northeastern Brazilian margin during the last
glacial, we carefully evaluated/assessed if increased terrigenous deposition
may have impacted Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M122" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th values.</p>
      <p id="d1e1531">The <inline-formula><mml:math id="M123" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">230</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Th-normalized <inline-formula><mml:math id="M124" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">232</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Th flux, hereafter simply referred to as
the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M125" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">232</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Th flux, is indicative of the vertical terrigenous flux to the
core site. As <inline-formula><mml:math id="M126" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">232</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Th is a trace element that is mostly contained in
the continental crust (Taylor and McLennan, 1985), it is commonly used
as a geochemical tracer for material of detrital origin (e.g., Anderson et
al., 2006). Besides the main precipitation events PE0 to PE4, there is no
significant correlation between the Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M127" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th ratio and the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M128" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">232</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Th flux
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M129" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.21</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M130" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.07</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) (Figs. S2 and S3). In contrast, because the
correlation between Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M131" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th and the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M132" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">232</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Th flux becomes significant
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M133" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.57</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M134" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>≪</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.001</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) when including
the main precipitation events (Fig. S3), the high Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M135" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th values observed
during PE0 to PE4 could be partly caused by increased terrigenous flux and
should be interpreted with caution (empty symbols in Fig. 2). Note that a
possible terrigenous influence during the main precipitation events does not
preclude that the high Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M136" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th values during these periods reflect an
almost halted oceanic circulation above the core site. Indeed, Pa scavenging
by boundary scavenging can be intensified in times of reduced overturning
circulation due to boundary scavenging becoming the main control on
sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M137" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th.</p>
      <p id="d1e1674">Another source of possible biases in Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M138" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th results from variations in
opal flux (Chase et al., 2002). However, the northern Brazilian margin is known
for its low siliceous primary production (Arz et al., 1998). This is
confirmed by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M139" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">230</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Th-normalized opal flux measurements in MD09-3257, which
are below 0.06 g cm<inline-formula><mml:math id="M140" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> kyr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M141" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. S3). Moreover, outside of
precipitation events PE0 to PE4, there is no correlation between Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M142" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th
and opal flux (Fig. S3). In conclusion, we may consider that outside of the
main precipitation events, our Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M143" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th record can be interpreted in terms
of changes in the strength of overturning circulation above the MD09-3257 coring
site.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS6">
  <title>Cross-correlation and wavelet analysis</title>
      <p id="d1e1738">Assuming that there is a constant phase shift between two time series
over their entire length, one can perform a simple cross-correlation analysis
and compute how the correlation coefficient between the two time series
varies as a function of the time lag between the two series (e.g., Davis,
1986).</p>
      <p id="d1e1741">We normalized (i.e., subtracted the mean and divided by the standard
deviation) and resampled the time series Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M144" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th,
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M145" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M146" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M147" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) to a common age scale using
scenarios with constant time steps varying between 50 and 500 yr. We then
used the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M148" display="inline"><mml:mi>R</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> function cor.test (R package stats version 3.2.2) for
correlation between paired series (R script in Supplement) to compute the
Spearman correlation coefficient between all pairs of the three time series,
after having shifted one with respect to the other by increments of the time
step.</p>
      <p id="d1e1785">Another approach consists of classical spectral analysis methods that
examine the coherence and phase between two time series in frequency space,
such as Fourier transforms. Fourier transforms involve decomposing a signal
into infinite-length oscillatory functions (such as sine waves). As such,
these methods also rely on the assumption that the decomposition of each
signal into characteristic frequencies is valid over its entire length, i.e.,
that the underlying processes are stationary in time.</p>
      <p id="d1e1788">In contrast, wavelet analysis can be used to decompose a time series into
“time–frequency” space, rather than<?pagebreak page1320?> frequency space, that is, to
determine both the dominant modes of variability and how these modes vary in
time (Torrence and Compo, 1998). To do so, the wavelet transform decomposes
the signal into a sum of small wave functions of finite length that are
highly localized in time. Thus, wavelet transform can describe changes in
frequencies along the studied time series and are particularly relevant for
dealing with climatic signals, since they are in essence not stationary in
time, but in constant evolution in response to external forcing (i.e.,
insolation changes), and as a result of internal climate variability.</p>
      <p id="d1e1792">Given two times series <inline-formula><mml:math id="M149" display="inline"><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M150" display="inline"><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, with wavelet transforms <inline-formula><mml:math id="M151" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M152" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, the cross-wavelet spectrum is defined as <inline-formula><mml:math id="M153" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:msup><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>,
where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M154" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the complex conjugate of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M155" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Torrence and Compo,
1998). Similarly to Fourier coherency, which is used to identify frequency
bands in which two time series are related, the wavelet coherency was
developed to identify both frequency bands and time intervals over which the
two time series are related. The wavelet coherence between two time series is
defined as the square of the smoothed cross-wavelet spectrum normalized by
the smoothed individual wavelet power spectra (Torrence and Webster, 1999).
This definition resembles that of a traditional correlation coefficient,
i.e., wavelet coherence ranges between 0 and 1, and may be viewed as a localized
correlation coefficient in time–frequency space (Grinsted et al., 2004).</p>
      <p id="d1e1886">Analogous to Fourier cross-spectral analysis, the phase difference between
two time series can also be computed using a cross-wavelet spectrum. The
complex argument arg(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M156" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) can be interpreted as the local relative phase
between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M157" display="inline"><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M158" display="inline"><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> in time–frequency space (Grinsted et al., 2004).</p>
      <p id="d1e1917">In the present study we use the software developed by Grinsted et al. (2004)
to compute the cross-wavelet spectrum, coherence and relative phase between
our time series that were normalized and resampled as previously described. To
test for the persistence of regions of high cross-wavelet coherence, we ran
all cross-wavelet analyses 1000 times for each dataset pair (i.e., a Monte
Carlo approach). For each of the 1000 runs, each time data point was randomly
sampled, whereby a Gaussian distribution of each data point's value (based on
the measurement uncertainty) was used to weight the random sampling. Mean and
standard deviation values for the coherence and phase direction were
calculated using the 1000 runs.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <title>Results</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <title>Ocean circulation proxy records</title>
      <p id="d1e1932">The Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M159" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th record of core MD09-3257 now covers the entire 10–43 ka
time interval, encompassing the Younger Dryas (YD) and the last four Heinrich
stadials (Fig. 2). We have increased its temporal resolution over the time
interval from 31 to 38 ka comprising Dansgaard–Oeschger (D–O) events 5 to 8, with
respect to the rest of the study period, in order to examine Atlantic
circulation dynamics during D–O events.</p>
      <p id="d1e1942">Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M160" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th data exhibit systematic increases in conjunction with stadials,
even if Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M161" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th data points that are potentially biased towards elevated
values by increased terrigenous input (empty symbols) are discarded.
Thus, Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M162" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th data indicate that the renewal rate of the water mass
overlying the site decreased during stadials. More specifically, transport of
the overlying water mass decreased not only during the YD and Heinrich
stadials, but also during practically all D–O stadials. Among D–O stadials,
the Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M163" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th increase is well marked for GS-7, GS-8 and GS-11, but the
signal is too noisy to provide a clear picture for GS-6. This noisy
Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M164" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th signal is very likely due to sediment reworking, given that the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M165" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M166" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> record is also noisy over this section of the
core. Also, it is noteworthy that no precipitation event is recorded in
MD09-3257 or GeoB3910-2 during GS-10 (Fig. 2). There is no clear decrease in
the well-dated El Condor (Cheng et al., 2013) speleothem <inline-formula><mml:math id="M167" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">18</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>O
records associated with GS-10 either, which is in contrast with the other Greenland
stadials (Burckel et al., 2015). It would seem that there was no apparent
increase in precipitation during GS-10 over tropical South America, in
contrast with all other GS of the past 40 kyr. Overall, longer stadials seem to
be associated with larger increases in Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M168" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th than shorter stadials.</p>
      <p id="d1e2019">The <inline-formula><mml:math id="M169" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M170" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> composite record varies in concert with
Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M171" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th, with high values indicating the presence of well-ventilated
waters during the Holocene and interstadials, and low values indicating a
marked reduction in water ventilation during stadials at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M172" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2350</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m in
the western equatorial Atlantic (Vazquez Riveiros et al., 2018).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <?xmltex \opttitle{Relative timing of Pa\,$/$\,Th, $\delta^{{13}}$C${}_{\mathrm{Cw}}$ and Ti\,$/$\,Ca}?><title>Relative timing of Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M173" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M174" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M175" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M176" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca</title>
      <p id="d1e2100">Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M177" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M178" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M179" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M180" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca are recorded in the
same core or in two cores from the same location, which could be precisely
aligned through high resolution XRF signals. This situation provides ideal
conditions to examine the relative phasing of one proxy with respect to
another. Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M181" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th and Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M182" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca are recorded in the same core, so their
relative phasing can consequently be examined with the smallest possible
relative dating uncertainty, whereby the only remaining source of uncertainty
is bioturbation. The situation is practically the same when examining <inline-formula><mml:math id="M183" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M184" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> versus Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M185" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca or <inline-formula><mml:math id="M186" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M187" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>
versus Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M188" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th. Apart from the unavoidable uncertainty introduced by
bioturbation, the relative dating uncertainty between the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M189" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M190" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> composite record and any MD09-3257 record is
null over 0–32 ka, and amounts to 102 yr on average over the 32–50 ka
time interval (Fig. S1).</p>
      <p id="d1e2227">In what follows, we assess the relative phasing between Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M191" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M192" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M193" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M194" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca, using all Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M195" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th data points
(including Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M196" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th values susceptible to being partially impacted by large
particle fluxes or boundary scavenging resulting from slower overturning
circulation) in order to have<?pagebreak page1321?> sufficient data to examine periodicities
ranging from 1000 to 6000 yr. In doing so, we assume that changes in
particle fluxes may affect the amplitude of the Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M197" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th changes, rather
than the timing of these changes. In the following text, we show that
excluding the Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M198" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th values susceptible to being partially impacted by
large particle fluxes does not change our conclusions concerning D–O
periodicities (i.e., 1000 to 3000 yr).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3"><caption><p id="d1e2295">Spearman correlation coefficient of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M199" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M200" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>
versus Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M201" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th (blue curves), of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M202" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M203" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> versus
ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M204" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) (red curves), and of Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M205" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th versus ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M206" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) (green
curves), as a function of the time lag. A positive time lag means that series
1 lags series 2 (e.g., <inline-formula><mml:math id="M207" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M208" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> lags Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M209" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th); a
negative time lag means that series 1 leads series 2 (e.g., Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M210" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th leads
ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M211" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca)). Bold lines correspond to the calculation over the entire
time interval from 10.6 to 42.6 ka, thin lines to the calculation over the
time interval from 10.6 to 26.6 ka, and thin dashed lines to the calculation over the time interval from 26.6 to 42.6 ka.
Vertical dashed lines indicate the time lags corresponding to the maximum
correlation coefficients for the three pairs of series over the entire time
interval.
</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/14/1315/2018/cp-14-1315-2018-f03.png"/>

        </fig>

<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2.SSS1">
  <title>Average relative phases</title>
      <p id="d1e2421">We first apply the simple stationary cross-correlation approach to examine
how the correlation coefficients of Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M212" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th versus ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M213" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca), of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M214" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M215" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> versus ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M216" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca), and of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M217" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M218" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> versus Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M219" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th, vary as a function of the
lag between the different time series (Fig. 3). Prior to computing the
correlation coefficients, the three time series were resampled with a time
step of 100 yr and normalized.</p>
      <p id="d1e2493">Taken at face value, these results indicate that Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M220" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th leads
ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M221" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) (or Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M222" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M223" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">200</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">100</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr, that there is no
significant phase shift between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M224" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M225" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M226" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca,
and that <inline-formula><mml:math id="M227" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M228" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> lags Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M229" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M230" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">200</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">100</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr
(Table S4). The uncertainty of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M231" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">100</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr directly results from the
adopted sampling step of 100 yr. In addition, in order to assess the
robustness of these results, we applied the same approach to the upper half
and lower half of the records. In all cases, we obtained
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M232" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M233" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> lags over Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M234" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th of 200 yr, and
Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M235" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th leads over ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M236" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) of 200 or 300 yr, while the phase
shift between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M237" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M238" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M239" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca remained between
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M240" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>100 and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M241" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>100 yr.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2692">Cross-wavelet transform of MD09-3257 ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M242" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) versus
Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M243" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th. <bold>(a, b)</bold> Wavelet coherence and phase direction computed
using Grinsted et al. (2004) software. The thick contour line corresponds to
the 95 % confidence level against red noise. Phase direction is only computed
for coherences higher than 0.5. <bold>(c, d)</bold> Mean coherence and phase
direction computed from 1000 Monte Carlo simulations. <bold>(e, f)</bold> Standard deviation around the mean coherence and phase direction computed from these
1000 Monte Carlo simulations.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/14/1315/2018/cp-14-1315-2018-f04.png"/>

          </fig>

      <p id="d1e2724">Although this simple method has been applied to climatic time series in
previous studies (Langehaug et al., 2016; Henry et al., 2016), such results
must be interpreted with caution, as the method has been designed for
signals that are stationary in time and is therefore not suitable for
climatic signals.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2.SSS2">
  <title>Wavelet transforms</title>
      <p id="d1e2733">The non-stationary character of climatic signals over the last 40–45 kyr is
particularly pronounced. Different typical pseudo-periodicities can be
identified for Heinrich and D–O stadials. In the case of Heinrich stadials
(corresponding to our main precipitation events), the interval from 11.7 to 49 ka
comprises five pseudo-cycles that are <inline-formula><mml:math id="M244" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to 9 kyr long (Fig. 2), such that
Heinrich stadials over the studied interval are characterized by an average
pseudo-periodicity of about 7 kyr. Concerning D–O events, the interval
located between HS3 and HS4 (32.5–38.1 ka) comprises three pseudo-cycles that
are <inline-formula><mml:math id="M245" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, 1.5 and 3 kyr long (Fig. 2), yielding an average
pseudo-periodicity of about 1.8 kyr.</p>
      <p id="d1e2756">We computed the cross-wavelet spectrum, coherence and phase between
ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M246" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) and Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M247" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th (Fig. 4), between
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M248" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M249" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M250" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th (Fig. 5), and between
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M251" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M252" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M253" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) (Fig. 6), using the software
from Grinsted et al. (2004). The 95 % confidence level against red noise is
shown as a thick contour line. Relative phases are only plotted for
coherences higher than 0.5 (&lt; 0.5 is masked as dark blue). Note that
the shaded areas in Figs. 4–6 correspond to the region of the wavelet
transform graphs where the edge effects due to the finite length of the time
series limit the ability to carry out cross-wavelet analysis. These regions
are not considered in our interpretations.</p>
      <p id="d1e2828">To assess the robustness of our results, we repeated the cross-wavelet
transform for different interpolation resolutions ranging from 50 to 500 yr;
therefore, we could verify that the features corresponding to the 95 % confidence
level against red noise for a time step of 100 yr are still present at
roughly the same time and frequency for other time steps (e.g., see Fig. S4
for results obtained for a time step of 400 yr).</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2834">Relative phases over regions of the cross-wavelet graphs corresponding to coherences
&gt; 0.5.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="9">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="9" colname="col9" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Time</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Period</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Perio-</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Phase</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M255" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">Phase</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M256" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Comment</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">interval</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">range</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">dicity</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M257" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M258" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">(yr)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">(yr)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M259" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) vs. Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M260" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th (Fig. 4)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">28–40 ka<inline-formula><mml:math id="M261" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1000–3000</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">2000</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M262" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>46.7</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">25.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M263" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>259</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">140</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M264" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th leads ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M265" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">15–40 ka<inline-formula><mml:math id="M266" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">4000–6000</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">5000</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M267" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>45.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">24.8</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M268" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>631</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">345</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M269" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th leads ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M270" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M271" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M272" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> vs. Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M273" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th  (Fig. 5)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">28–40 ka</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1000–3000</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">2000</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M274" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>50.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">39.7</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M275" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>279</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">244</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M276" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th leads <inline-formula><mml:math id="M277" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M278" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">15–40 ka</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">4000–6000</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">5000</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M279" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>14.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">37.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M280" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>196</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">525</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Not significant</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M281" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M282" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> vs. ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M283" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) (Fig. 6)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">28–40 ka</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1000–3000</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">2000</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">17</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">24.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">94</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">171</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Not significant</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">15–40 ka</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">4000–6000</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">5000</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">10.8</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">42.9</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">150</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">606</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Not significant</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table><table-wrap-foot><p id="d1e2837"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M254" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> Within these time intervals, only results from the unshaded region of the wavelet graphs are taken into account.</p></table-wrap-foot></table-wrap>

      <p id="d1e3337">Moreover, we ran a spectrogram analysis in order to confirm our wavelet
results and avoid any overinterpretation (see Fig. S5 and explicative
caption). Unlike the wavelet, the spectrogram analysis is based on a finite
time Fourier transform that spans different periods. Therefore, it provides an
alternative base to check wavelet-based results. These tests confirmed the
wavelet results for periods between 1 and 6 kyr. Beyond 6 kyr,
wavelet results could not be confirmed by spectrograms due to the short
duration of the analyzed<?pagebreak page1322?> records. Thus, we do not discuss periodicities longer
than 6 kyr in what follows.</p>
      <p id="d1e3340">With this in mind, the following regions of significant mean coherence and
well-defined mean relative phases can be identified in the cross-wavelet
graphs between Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M284" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th and ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M285" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) produced by 1000 Monte Carlo
runs (Fig. 4, middle panels): a coherence higher than 0.5 is found for
periodicities around 2000 yr (ranging from <inline-formula><mml:math id="M286" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1000</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to 3000 yr) over the
time interval from <inline-formula><mml:math id="M287" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">28</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to 40 ka, and for periodicities around 5000 yr (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M288" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4000</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to 6000 yr) over <inline-formula><mml:math id="M289" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">25</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–40 ka. Computing the average phases over
each of these two regions, we find that Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M290" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th leads ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M291" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) by
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M292" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">259</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">140</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr (1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M293" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) for periodicities of 1000 to 3000 yr over
28–40 ka, and by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M294" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">631</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">345</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr (1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M295" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) for periodicities of 4000
to 6000 yr over 15–40 ka (Table 1).</p>
      <?pagebreak page1323?><p id="d1e3451">The cross-wavelet graph between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M296" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M297" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M298" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th
displays slightly different regions of high mean coherence (Fig. 5, middle
panels). Examining the same frequency bands as for Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M299" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th versus
ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M300" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca), we find mean coherences higher than 0.5 for periodicities
around 2000 yr over <inline-formula><mml:math id="M301" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">28</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–40 ka, and for periodicities around 5000 yr
over <inline-formula><mml:math id="M302" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">15</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–40 ka. Average phases for these regions indicate that
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M303" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M304" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> lags Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M305" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M306" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">279</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">244</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr (1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M307" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) for periodicities of 1000 to 3000 yr over 28–40 ka, but that the lag of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M308" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M309" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> with respect to Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M310" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th for
periodicities of 4000 to 6000 yr over <inline-formula><mml:math id="M311" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">15</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–40 ka is not significant
(Table 1).</p>
      <p id="d1e3600">Finally, the regions characterized by mean coherences higher than 0.5 between
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M312" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M313" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M314" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) are similar to those
observed in the graph for Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M315" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th and ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M316" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) (Fig. 6, middle
panels). However, the average phases between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M317" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M318" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and
ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M319" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) over these regions are not significantly different from zero
(Fig. 6d and Table 1), indicating that decreases in
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M320" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M321" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> are in phase with increases in ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M322" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca)
within uncertainties.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e3701">Cross-wavelet transform of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M323" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M324" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> composite
record versus MD09-3257 Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M325" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M326" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M327" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> values have
been multiplied by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M328" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to allow a straightforward reading of the relative
phase between a decrease in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M329" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C and an increase in Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M330" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th.
<bold>(a)</bold>–<bold>(f)</bold> as in Fig. 4.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/14/1315/2018/cp-14-1315-2018-f05.png"/>

          </fig>

      <p id="d1e3793">The uncertainties of the leads and lags (Table 1) are computed assuming
Gaussian error propagation of the two following independent uncertainties:
(i) the standard deviation of the mean relative phases over the given
time–frequency region (Figs. 4–6d), and (ii) the median value of the
standard deviation computed by 1000 Monte Carlo runs over the same
time–frequency region (Figs. 4–6f). In the case of relative phases between
Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M331" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th or ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M332" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M333" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M334" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, we also
accounted for the additional error due to the combining of the MD09-3257 and
GeoB3910-2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M335" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M336" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> records.</p>
      <p id="d1e3851">Finally, we applied the aforementioned cross-wavelet method to the subset of
Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M337" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th data points not affected by large particle fluxes. For the
periodicities between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M338" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1000</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and 4000 yr, the results obtained using
this subset (Fig. S6) are virtually unchanged with respect to the results
obtained using the entire dataset. For longer periodicities, coherence decreases as expected because the suppressed data points
are all located in the main precipitation events (i.e., the YD and Heinrich stadials).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e3873">Cross-wavelet transform of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M339" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M340" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> composite
record versus MD09-3257 ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M341" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca). <inline-formula><mml:math id="M342" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M343" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> values
have been multiplied by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M344" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to allow a straightforward reading of the
relative phase between a decrease in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M345" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C and an increase in
ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M346" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca). <bold>(a–f)</bold> as in Figs. 4 and 5.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/14/1315/2018/cp-14-1315-2018-f06.png"/>

          </fig>

</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <title>Discussion</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <?xmltex \opttitle{Reconstructed ocean circulation changes over the last 45\,kyr}?><title>Reconstructed ocean circulation changes over the last 45 kyr</title>
      <p id="d1e3975">Oceanographic studies have shown that the southward transport of
northern-sourced waters in the equatorial Atlantic mainly takes place between
a depth of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M347" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1300</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and 4000 m in a <inline-formula><mml:math id="M348" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">100</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km wide Deep Western Boundary
Current (DWBC) (Lux et al., 2001; Rhein et al., 2015). Using hydrographic,
geochemical and direct velocity measurements acquired in 1993 to inverse an
ocean circulation model, Lux et al. (2001) estimated that the volumetric flow
of upper NADW occupying water depths between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M349" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1300</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and 2300 m at
4.5<inline-formula><mml:math id="M350" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> S within the DWBC is 11.2 Sv (1 Sv <inline-formula><mml:math id="M351" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10<inline-formula><mml:math id="M352" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M353" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M354" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>). This estimate is in good agreement
with the 10.9 Sv estimated by Schott et al. (2003) based on data from 13
shipboard current-profiling sections taken during the World Ocean Circulation
Experiment period (1990–2002).</p>
      <p id="d1e4055">Our data show that outside of the main precipitation events, the total
vertical particle flux did not vary much (remaining within <inline-formula><mml:math id="M355" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">25.1</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3.6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> g m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M356" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M357" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M358" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) (Fig. S2). The Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M359" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th values
of these interstadials are similar or slightly higher than those of the late
Holocene (Fig. 2), suggesting that the transport of the water mass overlying
the MD09-3257 core site was also <inline-formula><mml:math id="M360" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Sv during these interstadials.</p>
      <p id="d1e4119">It is more difficult to translate the observed increases in Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M361" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th
during stadials into quantified decreases in water mass transport. However,
our new data bring additional observational constraints on the Atlantic
circulation changes associated with last glacial millennial climate changes.
Two recent studies have indicated that decreases in northern-sourced deep
water flow took place during each stadial. On the one hand, increases in
Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M362" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th during each stadial of the last glacial have been observed at a
very deep western North Atlantic site located at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M363" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">42</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula><inline-formula><mml:math id="M364" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N and
a depth of 4500 m (Henry et al., 2016). On the other hand, reconstructions of
water corrosiveness in a South Atlantic core located at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M365" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">44</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula><inline-formula><mml:math id="M366" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> S
and a depth of 3800 m indicate the absence of northern-sourced deep water at that
site during stadials, whereas nearly all interstadials of the last 60 kyr are
characterized by incursions of northern-sourced deep water into the deep
South Atlantic (Gottschalk et al., 2015). Together with these independent
results, our results indicate that decreases in both the flow rate and
extension of northern-sourced deep waters during stadials were not limited to
very dense waters circulating at 3800 m or deeper, but also affected water
mass transport above 2350 m in the western equatorial Atlantic.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2">
  <?xmltex \opttitle{Relative timing of Pa\,$/$\,Th, $\delta^{{13}}$C${}_{\mathrm{Cw}}$ and Ti\,$/$\,Ca}?><title>Relative timing of Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M367" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M368" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M369" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M370" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2.SSS1">
  <title>Stationary cross-correlation versus cross-wavelet results</title>
      <p id="d1e4218">At the MD09-3257 site, cross-wavelet graphs (Figs. 4–6) show that
significant coherence and well-defined relative phases between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M371" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M372" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M373" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th and Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M374" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca can only be identified in
some regions of the time–frequency space. For instance, when examining the
relative phase between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M375" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M376" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M377" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th over the
interval from 10 to 43 ka, a meaningful relative phase can only be identified over
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M378" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">28</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–40 ka at D–O frequencies (i.e., periodicities of 1000 to 3000 yr)
(Fig. 5, Table 1). Furthermore, cross-wavelet results indicate that <inline-formula><mml:math id="M379" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M380" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> lags Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M381" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M382" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">279</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">244</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr at D–O
frequencies, and that decreases in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M383" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M384" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> are in phase
with increases in Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M385" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th for periodicities of 4000 to 6000 yr (i.e.,
closer to Heinrich periodicities). This is in contrast with the constant
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M386" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">200</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">100</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> lag of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M387" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M388" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> with respect to Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M389" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th
obtained by cross-correlation between the two same time series (Fig. 3), and
confirms that the latter method yields imprecise and unreliable results when
applied to non-stationary climatic signals.</p>
      <p id="d1e4400">Nevertheless, cross-correlation has recently been applied to climatic signals
(Langehaug et al., 2016), including Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M390" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M391" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M392" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> records from the last glacial (Henry et al.,
2016). In the latter study, cross-correlation between<?pagebreak page1324?> marine records from two
deep Bermuda Rise cores and the NGRIP ice oxygen isotopic record was used to
infer that deep Bermuda Rise <inline-formula><mml:math id="M393" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M394" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> led NGRIP by
approximately two centuries, and that Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M395" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th was approximately in phase
with NGRIP over the interval from 25 to 60 ka (Henry et al., 2016). The authors
further inferred that Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M396" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th lags <inline-formula><mml:math id="M397" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M398" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> by two
centuries at their deep Bermuda Rise site. However, as shown here,
cross-correlation is not a suitable method to analyze non-stationary climatic
signals such as those of the last glacial. Moreover, the inferred relative
phases between the marine and NGRIP records are much smaller than the dating
error for each individual time series; therefore they are also much smaller than the relative
dating error of one time series with respect to the other. In summary, the
application of stationary cross-correlation techniques and incomplete
consideration of geochronological uncertainty casts doubt on the conclusions
of the aforementioned studies.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2.SSS2">
  <?xmltex \opttitle{Lead of Pa\,$/$\,Th with respect to ln(Ti\,$/$\,Ca)}?><title>Lead of Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M399" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th with respect to ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M400" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca)</title>
      <p id="d1e4506">Our cross-wavelet results show that MD09-3257 Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M401" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th leads
ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M402" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M403" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">259</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">140</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr (1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M404" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) for periods of 1000 to
3000 yr during the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M405" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">28</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–40 ka time interval, and by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M406" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">631</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">345</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr
(1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M407" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) for periods of 4000 to 6000 yr during <inline-formula><mml:math id="M408" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">15</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–40 ka
(Table 1). Periods of 1000 to 3000 yr correspond to pseudo-periodicities
typical of D–O stadials, while periods of 4000 to 6000 yr are close to those
of Heinrich stadials. It can be noted that the cross-wavelet results for D–O
periodicities are only significant for the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M409" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">28</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–40 ka time interval,
which indeed corresponds to the interval of our records for which D–O events
are best recorded.</p>
      <p id="d1e4592">It is important to examine if the observed relative phases could be an
artifact due to bioturbation. It has been shown that smaller particles are
more likely to be transported by bioturbation than larger particles
(Wheatcroft, 1992; McCave, 1988; DeMaster and Cochran, 1982), and that this
results in fine particles having apparent younger ages than coarse particles
from the same depth in a core (Brown et al., 2001; Sepulcre et al., 2017).</p>
      <p id="d1e4595">Sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M410" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th is measured on bulk sediment samples, with dissolved
Pa and Th being more readily adsorbed on small particles because of their
higher surface to volume ratio (Chase et al., 2002). It has been shown that
50 %–90 % of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M411" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">230</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Th excess inventory is found in particles
smaller than 10 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M412" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>m (Kretschmer et al., 2010; Scholten et al., 1994;
Thomson et al., 1993). Therefore, it is reasonable to assume that the
Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M413" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th signal is mostly carried by small particles
(&lt; 100 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M414" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>m).</p>
      <p id="d1e4635">Assessing the size fraction corresponding to the Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M415" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca signal is more
complicated. XRF measurements show that the marked changes in ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M416" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca)
recorded in MD09-3257<?pagebreak page1325?> result from sharp changes in both Ca and Ti
concentration in the sediment. Ca is a component of marine calcite and
aragonite, and is thus mainly carried by large size fractions of the sediment
(&gt; 60 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M417" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>m). However, previous studies have shown that
changes in marine carbonate production and dissolution between 2000 and
3000 m in the western tropical Atlantic were relatively small over the last
glacial (Rühlemann et al., 1996; Gerhardt et al., 2000). Therefore, the
sharp decreases in Ca concentration during stadials result from the dilution of
marine carbonates by the increased input of terrigenous material. Therefore,
the ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M418" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) is driven by changes in terrigenous input, rather than changes in marine carbonate production or dissolution. It is difficult to
assess in which particle size fraction Ti is mostly concentrated. Knowing
that Rb and K are typical constituents of clays, and thus
characteristic of small grain sizes, we verified if a phase shift could be
detected between the XRF Ti signal and the XRF Rb and K
signals. We found no relative offset between Ti and Rb and
almost no relative offset between Ti and K, with the inflexion point in the K signal taking place 0.05 cm deeper than in the Ti signal. Given that core
MD09-3257 sedimentation rates range from 6 to 14 cm kyr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M419" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, 0.05 cm corresponds to 5
to 10 yr; thus, it is completely negligible with respect to the observed
phase shifts between ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M420" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) and Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M421" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th. Therefore, we may consider
that ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M422" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) and Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M423" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th are both carried by small particles and
that the observed phase shifts between these two signals are not the result
of bioturbation.</p>
      <p id="d1e4708">Finally, if, against all likelihood, bioturbation were responsible for a lead
of Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M424" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th with respect to ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M425" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca), such a lead would be
independent of the examined periodicity. Therefore, we may reasonably
assume that the observed lead of Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M426" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th with respect to ln (Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M427" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca)
is not an artifact resulting from bioturbation.</p>
      <p id="d1e4739">We compute a <inline-formula><mml:math id="M428" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">631</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">345</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr (1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M429" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) lead for Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M430" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th over
ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M431" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) by cross-wavelet analysis for frequencies close to those
characterizing Heinrich stadials. This lead is comparable to the relative
phase previously estimated between MD09-3257 Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M432" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th and Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M433" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca at
the onset of HS4 (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M434" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">690</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">180</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr) and HS2 (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M435" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1420</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">250</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr),
respectively, based on the identification of the transition in the
Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M436" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th and Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M437" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca signals at the beginning of these two stadials
(Burckel et al., 2015). The large lead of Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M438" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th with respect to
ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M439" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) is clearly visible for the YD and all Heinrich
stadials, except HS1 (Fig. 2). The apparent synchronicity of the Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M440" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th
and ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M441" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) signals at the onset of HS1 in core MD09-3257, as also
recently observed in another core from the northern Brazilian margin (Mulitza
et al., 2017), suggests that the sequence of events was different at the
beginning of HS1 from those at the beginning of the YD and other Heinrich
stadials. Such a different sequence of events seems to indicate that<?pagebreak page1326?> the increase in rainfall over tropical South America during HS1
was not a response to a decrease in Atlantic overturning circulation.
Instead, a southward shift of the low-latitude atmospheric convection zone
(Intertropical Convergence Zone, ITCZ), along with its associated maximum in
precipitation, could have occurred in response to extended Northern Hemisphere
ice sheets and sea ice cover without any change in ocean circulation (Chiang
et al., 2003). This atmospheric mechanism would have prevailed at the
beginning of HS1 because ice sheets reached their maximum extent around that
time.</p>
      <p id="d1e4857">Our results also indicate that a significant lead of Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M442" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th with respect
to ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M443" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) is present at D–O frequencies. Moreover, the lead of
Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M444" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th with respect to ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M445" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) is markedly shorter at D–O
frequencies (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M446" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">259</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">140</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr) than at Heinrich frequencies (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M447" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">631</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">345</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr).</p>
      <p id="d1e4913">Climate models simulate a southward shift of the ITCZ in response to a
slowdown of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), but after
just a few years
(Dong and Sutton, 2002). In contrast, our results indicate
that rainfall increases in the region adjacent to MD09-3257 occurred several
hundred years after the increase in sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M448" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th at our core site.
Furthermore, this lead of sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M449" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th over ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M450" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) should
be taken as a minimum lead of AMOC over ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M451" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) because a change in
AMOC does not instantaneously translate into a change in sedimentary
Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M452" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th. A delay between a change in AMOC and the resulting change in
sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M453" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th is indeed expected, which depends on the propagation
time of the circulation change to the core site and on the response time of
dissolved Th and Pa in the water column overlying the core site (i.e., 30–40
for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M454" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">230</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Th and 100–200 yr for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M455" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">231</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>Pa, François, 2007). However,
increases or decreases in sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M456" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th should be measurable before
the dissolved Th and Pa have fully adjusted to the new circulation regime,
especially at sites with high sedimentation rates such as our study site. Thus, we
expect this additional delay to be less than 100 yr and much smaller than
the computed lead of MD09-3257 sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M457" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th over ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M458" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca).</p>
      <p id="d1e4998">A mechanism has been proposed by Burckel et al. (2015) to explain the large
lead of AMOC slowdowns during Heinrich and D–O stadials with respect to
precipitation events over tropical South America. In this scenario, AMOC
slowdowns are progressively amplified through a positive feedback linking the
decrease in deep water formation to subsurface warming at high northern
latitudes (Mignot et al., 2007; Alvarez-Solas et al., 2013), leading in the
case of Heinrich stadials, to erosion of ice shelves and iceberg discharges,
which in turn reinforce the initial AMOC slowdown. In contrast, AMOC
slowdowns associated with D–O stadials would not trigger such a positive
feedback loop and would consequently remain limited.</p>
      <p id="d1e5001">Alternatively, or in addition to an actual lead of the changes in AMOC with
respect to precipitation events over tropical South America, another factor
could induce a lead of Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M459" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th with respect to ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M460" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) in core
MD09-3257. It has been shown that the North Brazil Current (NBC) is able to
transport terrigenous material laterally (Allison et al., 2000). Also,
different studies have shown that a weakening of the AMOC is associated with
a decrease of NBC transport, taking place not only on decadal timescales
(Zhang et al., 2011), but also during the YD and HS1 (Arz et al., 1999;
Wilson et al., 2011). Based on this evidence, a recent study suggested that a
reduced NBC during HS1 allowed the enhanced input of terrigenous material to
settle on the continental margin offshore of northeastern Brazil, instead of
being transported northward (Zhang et al., 2015). Thus, it seems possible that
terrestrial input would be deviated northward as long as the NBC was vigorous
and reached the core site only once the NBC and AMOC were sufficiently reduced,
thereby yielding a time-delayed peak in ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M461" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca). If this were the case,
the lag of the terrestrial input signal with respect to the Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M462" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th
signal would be partially or totally caused by the impact of the NBC on
terrigenous material deposition (Zhang et al., 2015). Therefore, the exceptional
synchronicity of the onset of terrigenous influx and AMOC slowdown at the
beginning of HS1 could be due to the exceptionally large fluxes
of large grain size material eroded from the proximal exposed shelf during
low eustatic sea level, which would have rained down through the water
column, even before full reduction of the NBC.</p>
      <p id="d1e5033">However, in the absence of direct measurements of the NBC velocity and
vertical particle flux on the northeastern Brazilian margin, the actual delay
of terrestrial input with respect to NBC slowdown remains speculative.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2.SSS3">
  <?xmltex \opttitle{Lag of $\delta^{{13}}$C${}_{\mathrm{Cw}}$ with respect to Pa\,$/$\,Th}?><title>Lag of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M463" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M464" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> with respect to Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M465" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th</title>
      <p id="d1e5070">Our cross-wavelet results show that <inline-formula><mml:math id="M466" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M467" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> lags Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M468" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M469" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">279</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">244</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr (1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M470" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) at
D–O frequencies over <inline-formula><mml:math id="M471" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">28</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–40 ka at the MD09-3257 site (Table 1).</p>
      <p id="d1e5130"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M472" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M473" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> is measured using &gt; 150 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M474" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>m
foraminifera; thus, it is carried by much larger particles than the
Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M475" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th signal. Therefore, differential bioturbation mixing processes
would lead to Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M476" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th being carried by sediment material younger than the
epibenthic foraminifera sampled within the same depth interval. Thus, bioturbation
may induce an artificial lead of Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M477" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th with respect to
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M478" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M479" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>. Knowing that the sedimentation rates of
MD09-3257 and GeoB3910-2 vary between 6 and 14 cm over the interval from
28 to 40 ka, a 280 yr lead translates to a downward shift of 2 to 4 cm in
the sediment column, which seems plausible for the effect of differential
bioturbation.</p>
      <p id="d1e5201">In conclusion, the lag of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M480" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M481" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> with respect to
Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M482" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th at D–O frequencies during <inline-formula><mml:math id="M483" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">28</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–40 ka is likely an artifact
resulting from the differential bioturbation of fine and coarse particles.
The same differential bioturbation processes likely also affect the relative
phase between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M484" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M485" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and ln (Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M486" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca). Thus, we will
not discuss the results of the cross-wavelet analyses involving
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M487" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M488" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> any further.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<?pagebreak page1327?><sec id="Ch1.S5" sec-type="conclusions">
  <title>Conclusions</title>
      <p id="d1e5298">New sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M489" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th data from core MD09-3257 located on the northern
Brazilian margin (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M490" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula><inline-formula><mml:math id="M491" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> S, 36<inline-formula><mml:math id="M492" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> W) at a depth of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M493" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2350</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m
indicate decreases in water mass transport above the core site during
all Greenland stadials of the last 45 kyr. Together with two other recent
studies (Gottschalk et al., 2015; Henry et al., 2016), these results
demonstrate that all stadials of the last 45 kyr were not only characterized
by decreases in flow rate and extension of northern-sourced waters below a
depth of 3800 m, but also by decreases in mid-depth water mass transport in the
western equatorial Atlantic.</p>
      <p id="d1e5345">Due to its exceptional location, core MD09-3257 records both ocean
circulation and atmospheric changes. Ocean circulation changes induce changes
in sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M494" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M495" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C<inline-formula><mml:math id="M496" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Cw</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, whereas changes
in precipitation over the adjacent continent induce changes in marine
sediments Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M497" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca.</p>
      <p id="d1e5382">Using cross-wavelet transforms and spectrogram analysis, we were able to
precisely and robustly assess the relative phase between MD09-3257
sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M498" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th and ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M499" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) signals over the interval from
10 to 43 ka with minimal uncertainty. This is owing to the fact that both signals are recorded in
the same sediment core. We show that Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M500" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th leads ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M501" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) by
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M502" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">259</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">140</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr (1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M503" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) at D–O frequencies over 28–40 ka, and by
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M504" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">631</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">345</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> yr (1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M505" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) for periodicities close to Heinrich
periodicities (4000 to 6000 yr) over 15–40 ka.</p>
      <p id="d1e5452">In other words, our cross-wavelet transforms and spectrogram analysis results
show that changes in water mass transport between a depth of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M506" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1300</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and 2300 m in the western equatorial Atlantic (i.e., within a <inline-formula><mml:math id="M507" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1000</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m water
layer above MD09-3257 core site) preceded changes in precipitation over the
adjacent continent by 110 to 400 yr at D–O frequencies, and by 280 to
980 yr at Heinrich-like frequencies.</p>
      <p id="d1e5476">We suggest that the large lead of ocean circulation changes with respect to
tropical South American precipitation changes at Heinrich-like and D–O
frequencies is likely related to the action of a positive feedback in the
case of Heinrich stadials, in agreement with Burckel et al. (2015). In that
case, an AMOC slowdown would lead to subsurface warming at high northern
latitudes, inducing ice-sheet calving and iceberg discharges that would in
turn reinforce the initial AMOC slowdown. In contrast, the absence of marked
ice rafted detritus layers in North Atlantic sediments during D–O stadials
suggests that in the case of D–O stadials, AMOC slowdowns did not trigger
such a positive feedback and, consequently, remained limited (Burckel et al., 2015).</p>
      <p id="d1e5479">Finally, the relative lead of Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M508" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th over ln(Ti <inline-formula><mml:math id="M509" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Ca) is visible for
the YD and for all Heinrich stadials, except HS1. In the case of HS1, the
southward shift of the ITCZ may have been an atmospheric response to the
maximum extent in northern high-latitude ice sheets and sea ice cover (Chiang
et al., 2003) around that time, rather than a progressive response to a
slowdown of the AMOC, as is the case for the other stadials. These different
atmospheric and oceanic scenarios remain to be tested by numerical
experiments performed over several thousands of years in glacial conditions,
whereby climate models compute water and calcite <inline-formula><mml:math id="M510" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">18</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>O, DIC
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M511" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>C and sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M512" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><notes notes-type="dataavailability">

      <p id="d1e5529">Data related to this article are available as a Supplement
file and on Pangaea.</p>
  </notes><app-group>
        <supplementary-material position="anchor"><p id="d1e5532">The supplement related to this article is available online at: <inline-supplementary-material xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-1315-2018-supplement" xlink:title="zip">https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-1315-2018-supplement</inline-supplementary-material>.</p></supplementary-material>
        </app-group><notes notes-type="authorcontribution">

      <p id="d1e5541">CW and SP designed the research. EB, PB, JL, FT and AD performed the
sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M513" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th measurements. BCL performed the wavelet analyses. DF and
LV contributed expert advice on statistical results and performed the
spectrogram analyses. LM produced the sedimentary Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M514" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th values and error
bars from MC-ICP-MS output. NVR improved the age models of the two cores. CW,
NVR and TD participated in the 2009 RETRO coring cruise. HWA contributed
expert knowledge on the Brazilian margin. CW and TD obtained funding. CW and
BL wrote the manuscript.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="competinginterests">

      <p id="d1e5561">The authors declare that they have no conflict of
interest.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p id="d1e5567">This is a contribution to the ACCLIMATE ERC project; the research leading to these results has received funding from the European Research Council
under the European Union's Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013)/ERC grant agreement no. 339108.
Core MD09-3257 was collected on board R/V <italic>Marion Dufresne</italic> during the 2009 RETRO coring cruise, supported by
IPEV, ANR project ANR-09-BLAN-0347 and the ESF EUROMARC project “RETRO”. We
thank the IPEV team, crew members of R/V <italic>Marion Dufresne</italic> and all
scientists who participated in the 2009 RETRO cruise. We also thank
Matthieu Roy-Barman for advice regarding Pa <inline-formula><mml:math id="M515" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Th measurements from the LSCE MC-ICP-MS. We acknowledge Vincent Scao and Jørund
Strømsøe for XRF measurements,  Christophe Moreau, Jean-Pascal Dumoulin, and the UMS ARTEMIS for AMS
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M516" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C dates, as well as Gülay Isguder, Lucile Mauclair and Fabien Dewilde for
invaluable technical assistance. We are grateful to Roger François and one
anonymous reviewer for their helpful comments on an earlier version of this
article. This paper is LSCE contribution 6408. <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?><?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
Edited by: Luc Beaufort<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> Reviewed by: Roger Francois and one
anonymous referee</p></ack><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?><ref-list>
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    <!--<article-title-html>Relative timing of precipitation and ocean circulation changes in the western equatorial Atlantic over the last 45&thinsp;kyr</article-title-html>
<abstract-html><p>Thanks to its optimal location on the northern Brazilian margin,
core MD09-3257 records both ocean circulation and atmospheric changes. The
latter occur locally in the form of increased rainfall on the adjacent
continent during the cold intervals recorded in Greenland ice and northern
North Atlantic sediment cores (i.e., Greenland stadials). These rainfall
events are recorded in MD09-3257 as peaks in ln(Ti&thinsp;∕&thinsp;Ca). New sedimentary
Pa&thinsp;∕&thinsp;Th data indicate that mid-depth western equatorial water mass
transport decreased during all of the Greenland stadials of the last 40&thinsp;kyr.
Using cross-wavelet transforms and spectrogram analysis, we assess the
relative phase between the MD09-3257 sedimentary Pa&thinsp;∕&thinsp;Th and
ln(Ti&thinsp;∕&thinsp;Ca) signals. We show that decreased water mass transport between
a depth of  ∼ 1300 and 2300&thinsp;m in the western equatorial Atlantic preceded
increased rainfall over the adjacent continent by 120 to 400&thinsp;yr at
Dansgaard–Oeschger (D–O) frequencies, and by 280 to 980&thinsp;yr at Heinrich-like
frequencies.</p><p>We suggest that the large lead of ocean circulation changes with respect to
changes in tropical South American precipitation at Heinrich-like
frequencies is related to the effect of a positive feedback involving
iceberg discharges in the North Atlantic. In contrast, the absence of
widespread ice rafted detrital layers in North Atlantic cores during D–O
stadials supports the hypothesis that a feedback such as this was not triggered in
the case of D–O stadials, with circulation slowdowns and subsequent changes
remaining more limited during D–O stadials than Heinrich stadials.</p></abstract-html>
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