<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing with OASIS Tables v3.0 20080202//EN" "journalpub-oasis3.dtd">
<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:oasis="http://docs.oasis-open.org/ns/oasis-exchange/table" dtd-version="3.0">
  <front>
    <journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">CP</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Climate of the Past</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">CP</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Clim. Past</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1814-9332</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>

    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/cp-12-1879-2016</article-id><title-group><article-title>A 414-year tree-ring-based April–July minimum temperature reconstruction and
its implications for the extreme <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>climate events, northeast China</article-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{A 414-year tree ring}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{S. Lyu et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Lyu</surname><given-names>Shanna</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Li</surname><given-names>Zongshan</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff3">
          <name><surname>Zhang</surname><given-names>Yuandong</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Wang</surname><given-names>Xiaochun</given-names></name>
          <email>wangxc-cf@nefu.edu.cn</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8897-5077</ext-link></contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>Center for Ecological Research, Northeast Forestry University,
Harbin 150040, China</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Center
for Eco-Environmental Science, <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100085,
China</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>Key Lab of Forest Ecology and Environment, State Forestry
Administration, Institute of Forest Ecology, <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>Environment and Protection,
Chinese Academy of Forestry, Beijing 100091, China</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Xiaochun Wang (wangxc-cf@nefu.edu.cn)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>20</day><month>September</month><year>2016</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>12</volume>
      <issue>9</issue>
      <fpage>1879</fpage><lpage>1888</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>15</day><month>March</month><year>2016</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>22</day><month>April</month><year>2016</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>21</day><month>August</month><year>2016</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>30</day><month>August</month><year>2016</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/12/1879/2016/cp-12-1879-2016.html">This article is available from https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/12/1879/2016/cp-12-1879-2016.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/12/1879/2016/cp-12-1879-2016.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/12/1879/2016/cp-12-1879-2016.pdf</self-uri>


      <abstract>
    <p>A ring-width series was used as a proxy to reconstruct
the past 414-year record of April–July minimum temperature at Laobai
Mountain, northeast China. The chronology was built using standard tree-ring
procedures for providing comparable information in this area while
preserving low-frequency signals. By analyzing the relationship between the
tree-ring chronology of Korean pine (<italic>Pinus koraiensis</italic>)  and  meteorological data, we found that
the standard chronology was significantly correlated with the April–July
minimum temperature (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.757, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> &lt; 0.01). Therefore, the April–July
minimum temperature since 1600 (more than six trees, but the expressed population signal (EPS) is greater than
0.85 since 1660) was reconstructed by this tree-ring series. The
reconstruction equation accounted for 57.3 % of temperature variation, and
it was proved reliable by testing with several methods (e.g., sign test,
product mean test, reduction of the error, and coefficient of efficiency).
Reconstructed April–July minimum temperature on Laobai Mountain showed six
major cold periods (1605–1616, 1645–1677, 1684–1691, 1911–1924,
1930–1942, and 1951–1969) and seven major warm periods (1767–1785,
1787–1793, 1795–1807, 1819–1826, 1838–1848, 1856–1873, and 1991–2008)
during the past 414 years. The reconstructed low-temperature periods in the
17th and early 18th century were consistent with the Little Ice
Age (LIA) in the Northern Hemisphere, and the rate of warming in the
19th century was significantly slower than that in the late 20th
century. In addition, the reconstructed series was fairly consistent with
the historical and natural disaster records of extreme climate events (e.g.,
cold damage and frost disaster) in this area. This temperature record
provides new evidence of past climate variability, and can be used to
predict the climate trend in the future in northeast China.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <title>Introduction</title>
      <p>Global climate change presents major challenges for humans and the natural
systems that provide ecosystem services. Consequently, it is urgent to
better understand climate change and its forcing mechanisms.
Instrumental records are typically less than 100 years and often less than
50 years in most areas of the world. It is necessary to put the present
climate regime in the context of long-term perspectives, which forces a
reliance on natural proxy records to reconstruct the past climate. Tree
rings have been widely applied in global climate change studies and
paleoclimate reconstructions on both regional and global scales because they
offer accurate and continuous temporal record as well as being are widespread
and easily replicated (Corona et al., 2010; Popa and  Bouriaud, 2014; Kress et
al., 2014).</p>
      <p>Northeast China, an area sensitive to global climate change, is located in
the ecotone from a temperate to cold temperate zone, belonging to a monsoon
fringe area. Due to the interannual instability of monsoon, frequent climate
extremes (especially cold damage or frost disaster) seriously affect
agriculture and forest ecosystems. In addition, previous studies suggest
that climate change in northeast China was also linked to the solar
activities and global land–sea atmospheric circulation during certain
pre-instrumental periods (Chen et al., 2006; Wang et al., 2011; Liu et al.,
2013). It is generally accepted that the climate warms during periods of
strong solar activity (e.g., the Medieval Warm Period) and cools during periods
of low solar activity (e.g., the Little Ice Age; Lean and Rind, 1999; Bond et
al., 2001). Recently, the warming in northeast China has been significantly
affected by the global warming since the 20th century (Ding and Dai,
1994; Wang et al., 2004; Zhao et al., 2009), which is often caused by a
faster rise in night or minimum temperature (Karl et al., 1993; Ren and Zhai,
1998; Tang et al., 2005). To explore whether climate warming is abnormal
and predict the future trend of temperature change in this area, we must
fully understand the history of climate changes over a long period. However,
tree-ring series were rarely used to reconstruct past climate (especially
temperature) in this area because of the exceptional hydrothermal
conditions. Several temperature-sensitive tree-ring chronologies were
developed on Changbai Mountain (e.g., Shao and Wu, 1997; Zhu et al., 2009;
Wang et al., 2012; Li and Wang, 2013) and Xiaoxing'an Mountain (Yin et al.,
2009; Zhu et al., 2015), but almost no records were obtained for a period
of over 250 years, which can reflect the low-frequency climate variations.
This limits our understanding of a longer timescale of climate regime in
northeast China. Temperature reconstructions are also far from adequate and
do not satisfy the demands of scientific research. Therefore, there is a
requirement for higher-quality climate reconstructions in a greater number
of areas over longer periods and a larger group of climatic indicators for
verification in this region. For this reason, more information on regional
past climate variations registered in a long-term tree-ring series is
needed, and it is important to understand the impacts of climate change on
forest ecosystems and the ecosystem services provided to humans in
northeast China.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1"><caption><p>Map of the sampling site, the compared temperature series,
nearby temperature series, and the meteorological station in northeast China. The
photo shows the sampled site on Laobai Mountain and the remarkable vertical
vegetation distribution along altitude changes.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/12/1879/2016/cp-12-1879-2016-f01.jpg"/>

      </fig>

      <p>Currently, a significant climate warming (especially the minimum
temperature increase) is occurring in northeast China since the 1980s. However,
there still remains a lack of long-term climatic records (at least more than
250 years) in this area to explore what is the temperature regime in the
past one thousand or half a thousand years and whether the current warming is
unprecedented. Therefore, the main objectives of this study are (1) to
develop for the first time a more than 400-year ring-width chronology in
northeast China; (2) to analyze the regime of temperature variation during
the past 4 centuries in northeast China; (3) to identify the recent
warming amplitude in a long-term context; and (4) to analyze the extreme low-temperature events. Our new minimum temperature record supplements existing
data in northeast China and provides new evidence of past climate
variability. There is the potential to better understand future climatic
trajectories from these data in northeast China.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <title>Materials and methods</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <title>Study area</title>
      <p>The study area is located at Laobai Mountain (128<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>03<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> E,
44<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>06<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N), the boundary zone between Jilin and Heilongjiang
provinces, and is also an ecotone between Changbai and Xiaoxing'an Mountain.
Laobai Mountain is the third highest peak in northeast China and rises to
1650 m above sea level (a.s.l.). Almost no inhabitants live on or near the
mountain, so the forest ecosystem is very well preserved and the native
vegetation remains predominantly intact (Fig. 1). Five forest vegetation
types from temperate to frigid change with the altitude increase, which is
the broad-leaved <italic>Quercus mongolica</italic> forest below 800 m a.s.l., the mixed broadleaved Korean
pine forest from 800 to 1050 m, dark conifer forest with <italic>Picea jezoensis</italic> from 1050 to 1350 m,
<italic>Betula ermanii</italic> forest between 1350 and 1640 m, and <italic>Pinus pumila</italic> forest and subalpine meadow above
1640 m. Plant flora transitions from Changbai Mountain to Xiaoxing'an
Mountain. Five tree species were cored in this area, but only Korean pine
(<italic>Pinus koraiensis</italic>) cores were used in this study. Korean pine is a sun-loving plant
(shade-tolerant when it is young) and has shallow roots, widely distributed on
well-drained wet mountain slopes close to the subalpine timberline where the
brown forest soil is covered. The forest vegetation in sampling area is the
mixed broadleaved Korean pine forest dominated by <italic>Pinus koraiensis</italic>, <italic>Picea jezoensis</italic>, and <italic>Abies nephrolepis</italic> as well as
broadleaf tree species, such as <italic>Juglans mandshurica</italic>, <italic>Fraxinus mandshurica</italic>, and <italic>Acer mono</italic> (Bu et al., 2003).</p>
      <p>This region belongs to a temperate continental monsoon climate. Climate data
are collected from the nearest meteorological station in Dunhua. The mean
annual temperature from 1956 to 2013 is 3.3 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C, with July (20.1 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C) and January (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>16.8 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C) being the warmest and the
coldest month, respectively. The mean monthly minimum and maximum
temperatures are <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>2.5 and 9.8 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C, respectively. The mean annual
total precipitation is 627 mm, the majority (63.1 %) of which falls during
June–August. The annual frost-free period is approximately 90–110 days
(Fig. 2).</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1"><caption><p>Major statistical characteristics for the chronology of <italic>Pinus koraiensis</italic> on Laobai
Mountain.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="3">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Std</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">RES</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Number of cores</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">71</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">71</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Time span</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1600–2015</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1600–2015</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Mean sensitivity</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.12</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.14</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Standard deviation</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.12</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Correlations between trees</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.22</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.28</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Correlations within trees</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.68</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.51</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Signal-to-noise ratio</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">8.72</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">11.81</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Autocorrelation order1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.72</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.03</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Agreement with</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.90</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.92</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">population chronology</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Variance in first eigenvector</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">28.51 %</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">30.03 %</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">First year in which</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1660 (11)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1685 (15)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">EPS &gt; 0.85 (No. of trees)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2"><caption><p>Mean monthly temperature (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C) and total
precipitation (mm) at Dunhua meteorological station for the period from 1956
to 2013.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=227.622047pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/12/1879/2016/cp-12-1879-2016-f02.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <title>Tree-ring chronology development</title>
      <p>Korean pine tree-ring samples were obtained from the south slope of Laobai
Mountain along an elevational gradient from 950 to 1050 m from an almost
pristine area containing well-preserved old forests largely uninfluenced by
human activity. One or two cores per undamaged tree (71 cores from 41 trees)
were extracted from cross-slope sides of the trunks at breast height using
an increment borer. Cores were air dried, glued firmly to grooved wooden
mounts and sanded with progressively finer grade abrasive paper up to 800
grit. Then the samples were cross-dated using a skeleton plot method
(Stokes and Smiley, 1968); each tree-ring width was measured with a
precision of 0.001 mm using the Velmex tree-ring width measurement system
(Velmex, Inc., Bloomfield, NY, USA). Data were checked for missing or false
rings and dating errors using the quality control program COFECHA (Holmes,
1983).</p>
      <p>The ARSTAN program was used to detrend and standardize cross-dated tree-ring
width series into a tree-ring chronology (Cook, 1985). During this
detrending process, to remove biological factors (such as age-related
trends) and non-climatic variations and preserve as much low-frequency
signal as possible, each ring-width series was fitted with a straight line
or negative exponential function. A 67 % cubic smoothing spline with a
50 % cutoff frequency was further used in a few cases when anomalous
growth trends occurred. The detrended data from individual tree cores were
then averaged using a bi-weight robust mean to develop the standard (std)
and residual (RES) chronologies (Cook and Kairiukstis, 1990).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3"><caption><p>Variations of the std
<bold>(a)</bold> and RES <bold>(c)</bold> chronology and sample depth and the
expressed population signal (EPS) and average correlation between all series
(Rbar) of the std <bold>(b)</bold> and RES <bold>(d)</bold> chronology from AD 1600
to 2015.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/12/1879/2016/cp-12-1879-2016-f03.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p>Statistical characteristics for the std and RES chronologies of <italic>Pinus koraiensis</italic> on Laobai
Mountain are shown in Table 1. These statistic characteristics of tree-ring
chronologies contained strong climate signals, common growth-limiting
signals, and the amount of different frequency information. As shown
in Fig. 3, the amplitude of std chronology (Fig. 3a) in low-frequency
variability was larger than that in RES chronology (Fig. 3c). This indicated
that std chronology preserved more low-frequency signals, while RES
chronology reflected high-frequency signals. The mean sensitivity of RES
chronology was larger than std chronology, which quantitatively illustrated
that RES chronology exhibited more high-frequency climate information than
std chronology did (Table 1). The full length of tree-ring series spanned
from 1600 to 2015. The expressed population signal (EPS) was used to assess
the quality of std chronology (Wigley et al., 1984). A generally acceptable
threshold of the EPS was consistently greater than 0.85 from AD 1660 to 2015
(11 trees; Fig. 3b), which affirmed that this is a reliable period.
However, although the EPS value from AD 1600 to 1659 was less than 0.85, it
matches a minimum sample depth of six trees in this segment. It is very
important to extend the reconstruction tree-ring chronology as possible as
we could because of a few long climate reconstructions in this area.
Therefore, we kept this part from 1600 to 1659 to be used in the
reconstruction. In addition, the std chronology was used in the subsequent
analyses to obtain more low-frequency signals.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3">
  <title>Climate data and statistical methods</title>
      <p>Meteorological data were obtained from the National Meteorological
Information Center (<uri>http://data.cma.cn/</uri>). Considering the
proximity to sampling sites and climate record length, climate data from
Dunhua meteorological station (43<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>22<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, 128<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>12<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> E; elevation 524.9 m a.s.l.; 1956–2013) were selected to
identify climate signals in the tree-ring series. The climate variable
included monthly total precipitation, mean maximum temperature
(<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mtext>max</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, mean temperature (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mtext>mean</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and mean minimum
temperature (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mtext>min</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Months from the previous July to current August were
selected for the analysis of the relationship between climate variables and
Korean pine growth.</p>
      <p>To identify climate–growth relationships of Korean pine on Laobai Mountain,
a Pearson's correlation was performed between climate variables and tree
growth. The stability and reliability of the reconstruction equation was
assessed by the split-period calibration and verification analyses (Fritts,
1976; Cook and Kairiukstis, 1990) for the two periods 1956–1984 and
1985–2013. The Pearson's correlation coefficient (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>R</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> square (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, sign
test (ST), the reduction of the error (RE), the coefficient of efficiency (CE), and the product
means test (PMT) are the tools used to verify the results. All statistical
analyses presented in this paper were performed using a commercial software, SPSS12.0 (SPSS, Inc., Chicago, IL, USA).</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T2"><caption><p>Correlation coefficients between the std chronology and the climate
data of different month combinations during the common period of 1956–2013.
Months are given as follows: c4–c7 – current April to July; c4–c8 – current April to August;
c4–c9 – current April to September; c5–c7 – current May to July; c5–c8 – current May to
August; c5–c9 – current May to September; c6–c8 – current June to August;
c6–c9 – current June to September; p7–c8 – previous July to current August.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="4">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Months</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mtext>mean</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mtext>min</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mtext>max</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">c4–c7</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.577<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.757<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.177</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">c4–c8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.557<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.717<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.183</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">c4–c9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.599<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.726<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.217</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">c5–c7</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.556<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.749<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.198</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">c5–c8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.522<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.691<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.198</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">c5–c9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.587<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.709<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.236</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">c6–c8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.447<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.634<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.199</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">c6–c9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.535<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.671<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.241</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">p7–c8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.586<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.682<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.230</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table><table-wrap-foot><p><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>*</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> Significant at the 0.01 level (two-tailed).</p></table-wrap-foot></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4"><caption><p>Correlations between the monthly mean meteorological data
(including mean temperature, mean maximum temperature, mean minimum
temperature, and total precipitation) from Dunhua meteorological station
(1956–2013) and <bold>(a)</bold> the std chronology and <bold>(b)</bold> RES chronology.
The dashed horizontal line represents the 95 % confidence limit.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/12/1879/2016/cp-12-1879-2016-f04.png"/>

        </fig>

<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <title>Results and discussion</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <title>Climate–radial growth relationship</title>
      <p>Relationships between the std and RES chronologies and monthly climate data
in Dunhua were shown in Fig. 4. Temperatures were more crucial to Korean
pine growth compared with precipitation. In contrast, the correlation
coefficients between Korean pine chronologies and mean minimum temperature
were positive and higher than those for maximum and mean temperature. The significant correlation months between std chronology
(Fig. 4a) and mean minimum temperature were not found in the RES chronology
(Fig. 4b). This indicated that the std chronology recorded the minimum
temperature signals in low frequency but not at high frequencies. Different
combinations of months were also considered (Table 2). The best-correlated
3-month season, April–July (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.757, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> &lt; 0.0001), was then
selected for temperature reconstruction of the mean minimum temperature
(MMT; Table 2).</p>
      <p>It was generally accepted that extreme temperatures limited tree growth at
the tree line or at high-latitude forests, especially spring or early summer
minimum temperature (Wilson and Luckman, 2002; Körner and Paulsen, 2004;
Porter et al., 2013; Yin et at., 2015). Moreover, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mtext>max</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mtext>mean</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mtext>min</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> during the observed period of 1956–2013 illustrated similar
interannual variations (Fig. 5), while the increasing trend in <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mtext>min</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> was
much higher than <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mtext>mean</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mtext>max</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, especially since 1976. This
phenomenon was consistent with the results in Karl et al. (1993), Ren et al. (1998), and Tang et al. (2005). They indicated that climate warming over past
decades was mostly owing to the faster rise of night or minimum
temperatures. This seemed to be the case in northeast China as well. Based
on the relationship between std chronology and climate data, we found that
the minimum April–July temperature played more important roles in limiting
Korean pine radial growth on Laobai Mountain compared with the maximum and mean temperatures. This also meant that less warm and wet
conditions in this area were suitable for Korean pine growth.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5"><caption><p>Interannual variation of the mean maximum <bold>(a)</bold>,
mean <bold>(b)</bold>, and mean minimum temperatures <bold>(c)</bold> from 1956 to 2013. The straight
line represents the fitted trend line.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/12/1879/2016/cp-12-1879-2016-f05.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p>This may have two reasons. One, the sampling site was located at high
elevations close to the upper limit of the Korean pine distribution, which may
cause tree growth to be more sensitive to minimum temperature (Szeicz and
MacDonald, 1995; D'Arrigo et al., 2009; Li et al., 2011; Yu et al., 2011;
Flower and Smith, 2012). High minimum temperatures in the early growing season
can inhibit frost damage and thus allow the formation of a wider ring (Wu,
1990; Akkemik, 2000; Mäkinen et al., 2003). High nighttime temperatures
can also promote tree respiration and enhance physiological activities,
thereby producing more auxin, promoting cell enlargement and forming a
wider ring in growing season (Fritts et al., 1976). Increasing temperature
may allow trees to conduct photosynthesis at the early stage of the growing
season, which might produce more auxin. A crucial growth
period of Korean pine in every year was from April to July. During this
period, temperature could have direct effects on the photosynthesis rate,
cambium activity, and respiration efficiency, etc., which affect the
formation of ring width (Li  et al., 2000; Yu et al., 2011). Therefore, Korean
pine radial growth was positively correlated with the average minimum
temperature from April to July.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T3" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Calibration and verification statistics of the reconstruction
equation for the common period of 1956–2013.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="9">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="9" colname="col9" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Calibration</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>R</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Verification</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>R</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Reduction</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">Coefficient</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Sign test</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Product</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">of error</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">of efficiency</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">means test</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Whole section</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.757<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>b</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.573<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>b</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">–</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">–</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">–</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">–</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">–</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">–</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">1956–2013</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Front section</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.414<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>a</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.171<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>a</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Back section</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.632<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>b</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.738<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>b</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.446<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>b</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">(20, 9)<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>a</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">4.586<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>b</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">(1956–1984)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">(1985–2013)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Back section</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.632<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>b</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.400<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>b</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Front section</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.414<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>a</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.738<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>b</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.634<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>b</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">(22, 7)<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>b</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">6.099<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>b</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">(1985–2013)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">(1956–1984)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table><table-wrap-foot><p><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>a</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> Significant at the 0.05 level (two-tailed). <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>b</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> Significant at the 0.01 level
(two-tailed).</p></table-wrap-foot></table-wrap>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <title>Minimum temperature reconstruction</title>
      <p>Based on the above analysis, a linear regression equation was established to
reconstruct the April–July MMT. The transfer function was as follows:

                <disp-formula specific-use="align"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>2.987</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>4.829</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>58</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.757</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.573</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mtext>adj</mml:mtext><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.565</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi>F</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>75.161</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">&lt;</mml:mi><mml:mn> 0.0001</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>

            where <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the April–July MMT and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the tree-ring index of the Korean
pine std chronology at year <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. As shown in Fig. 6a, the reconstructed values
closely tracked the observed temperature. The calibration and verification
statistics were shown in Table 3. Parameters of the split-sample validation
periods indicated that the reconstruction equation was stable over the whole
period. Positive RE and CE values revealed a useful paleoclimatic information
(Cook et al., 1999). Significant results of std and PMT indicated a good agreement
between the actual and reconstructed data. However, the first difference
correlation (not shown) between the std chronology and temperature did not
exceed the 95 % confidence level. This confirmed that the std chronology
might capture the low-frequency variability better than
high-frequency variability. In addition, the correlation coefficient between
the first-order difference series of the actual and reconstructed values was not significant at the 0.05 level (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.12, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> &gt; 0.05); hence, this
reconstructed minimum temperature series was more consistent with the
observed series at low-frequency variability. The final calibration equation
accounted for 57.3 % of the total variance (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> &lt; 0.0001) and passed
all calibration and verification statistical requirements. Hence, this
equation was reliable and allowed for the accurate reconstruction of the
April–July MMT on Laobai Mountain.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6"><caption><p><bold>(a)</bold> Actual (black line) and reconstructed (blue line)
April–July minimum temperature for the common period of 1956–2013;
<bold>(b)</bold> reconstruction of April–July minimum temperature on Laobai Mountain for the
last 414 years. The smoothed line indicates the 11-year moving average, and
blue dots represent minimum freezing events.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/12/1879/2016/cp-12-1879-2016-f06.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS3">
  <title>Temperature variations from AD 1600 to 2013</title>
      <p>The reconstructed average April–July MMT variations since AD 1600 and its
11-year moving average were shown in Fig. 6b. The 11-year moving average of
the reconstructed series was used to obtain low-frequency information and
analyze temperature variability in this region. The mean value of the 414-year
reconstructed temperature was 7.66 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C, with a standard deviation
of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.53 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C. The warm and cold periods were defined when
temperatures exceeded the mean value plus and minus 0.5 times standard
deviation, respectively (Fig. 6b). The reconstructed April–July MMT series
exhibited six cold and seven warm periods. The longest cold period lasted
from AD 1645 to 1677 (33 years), with an average temperature of 0.5 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C below the mean value. The longest warm period, however, lasted
from AD 1767 to 1785 (19 years), and the average temperature was 0.69 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C above the mean value (Table 4). Four cold (1605–1616,
1645–1677, 1911–1924, and 1951–1969) and warm (1795–1807, 1838–1848,
1856–1873, and 1991–2008) periods were consistent with other results of
tree-ring reconstructions in northeast China (Shao and Wu, 1997; Yin et al.,
2009; Wang et al., 2012; Zhu et al., 2015). In addition, two cold periods
(1645–1677 and 1684–1691) were consistent with the Maunder Minimum
(1645–1715), an interval of decreased solar irradiance (Bard et al., 2000).
The cold period 1645–1677 also appeared in other proxy records of
reconstructed temperatures, which coincided with the Little Ice Age (LIA) in
the Northern Hemisphere (Lin et al., 2004; Wang et al., 2006; Hong et al.,
2009). Cold conditions during the 17th century and the rapid warming
during the mid-19th and late 20th century in northeast China was
present in this series, suggesting it could be a good proxy for regional
temperature variations in northeast China.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T4" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Cold and warm periods based on the 11-year moving average
April–July mean minimum temperature on Laobai Mountain during AD 1600–2013.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="8">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col2" nameend="col4" align="center">Cold period </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col6" nameend="col8" align="center">Warm period </oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Rank</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Period</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Year</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Mean (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Period</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">Year</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Mean (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1605–1616</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">12</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">7.41</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1767–1785</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">19</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">8.35</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1645–1677</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">33</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">7.19</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1787–1793</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">7</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">8.01</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1684–1691</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">7.19</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1795–1807</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">13</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">8.00</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">4</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1911–1924</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">14</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">7.09</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1819–1826</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">8.07</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1930–1942</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">13</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">7.27</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1838–1848</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">11</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">8.13</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">6</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1951–1969</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">19</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">7.08</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1856–1873</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">18</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">8.13</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">7</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1991–2008</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">18</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">8.38</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F7"><caption><p><bold>(a)</bold> April–September mean minimum temperature reconstructed
by Li and Wang (2013) in Dunhua, <bold>(b)</bold> February–April temperature established
by Zhu et al. (2009) on Changbai Mountain, <bold>(c)</bold> April–July minimum
temperature on Laobai Mountain, and <bold>(d)</bold> Northern Hemisphere extratropical
temperature (D'Arrigo et al., 2006). Black lines denote temperature
reconstruction values, and red color lines indicate the 11-year moving
average.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/12/1879/2016/cp-12-1879-2016-f07.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p>To further evaluate the reliability of this reconstruction, we compared our
reconstruction series with two nearby tree-ring-based reconstruction
temperature series from Dunhua (Li and Wang, 2013; Fig. 7a) and Changbai
Mountain (Zhu et al., 2009; Fig. 7b) and the Northern Hemisphere temperature
reconstruction (D'Arrigo et al., 2006; Fig. 7d). Interestingly, a
significant negative correlation (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.18, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> &lt; 0.01) between our
reconstruction (Fig. 7c) and the Northern Hemisphere temperature
reconstruction (D'Arrigo et al., 2006) was found (Fig. 7d), while our
reconstruction of April–July MMT had similar variations in the
April–September temperature reconstruction in Dunhua (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.50, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> &lt; 0.01; Fig. 7a) and the February–April temperature reconstruction on Changbai
Mountain (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.45, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> &lt; 0.01; Fig. 7b). The three temperature series
exhibited significantly low-temperature periods during the 1950s–1970s,
which coincided with a slight decrease in solar activity from AD 1940 to 1970
(Beer et al., 2000; Fig. 7).</p>
      <p>It was widely believed that the LIA in China exhibited three cold periods in
the 15th, 17th, and 19th centuries (Wang et al., 2003), and
this was confirmed by our reconstruction series (Fig. 7c and Table 4). The
first cold period in our series was less obvious, while the second one was
the most obvious of all. A different beginning and ending year of the second
cold period in our reconstruction was found (Fig. 7c and Table 4). In
addition, there existed a regional difference for the third cold period,
that is, it was obvious in south China, while had the opposite phase in
northeast China (Wang et al., 1998; Wang et al., 2003). The third cold
period in 19th century was not obvious in our reconstruction, which was
consistent with Wu (2013) and Wang et al. (1998). This also led to a bad
match with the Northern Hemisphere temperature (D'Arrigo et al., 2006).
Another notable feature in Fig. 7 was a sharp temperature increase since the
1980s, and temperature rose to a peak in the early 2000s. The temperature increase in this
area was consistent with the report from the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC, 2007). This series displayed similar patterns of
low-frequency variations suggesting that the reconstructed temperature in
northeast China was significantly correlated with large-scale variations
(Fig. 7).</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T5"><caption><p>Cold damage or frost disaster events recorded in historical
archives in Heilongjiang Province since 1675 (Sun  et al., 2007).</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="4">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">17th century</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">18th century</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">19th century</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">20th century</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">1675</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1730</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1800–1801</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1901–1903</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">1682</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1746</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1812–1813</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1909–1915</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">1689</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1749</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1830–1832</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1917</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">1699</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1748</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1878–1879</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1920</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1755</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1885</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1925–1926</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1757</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1931–1932</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1934–1936</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1939–1943</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1947</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1950–1969</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1998-1999</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1971–1981</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <p>Unfortunately, three compared temperature series also showed dissimilar
variations in some cold and warm years (Fig. 7). This might be due to
differences in reconstructed temperature months, parameters (such as mean,
minimum, and maximum temperature), and habitat conditions in different
sampling areas. Recent studies suggested that the mean, minimum, and maximum
temperature variations were often asymmetric (Karl et al., 1993; Xie and
Cao, 1996; Wilson and Luckman, 2002, 2003; Gou et al.,
2008). Global warming over the past decades was mostly owing to the faster
rise of night or minimum temperatures but not maximum temperature. The
unsynchronized variability among mean, minimum, and maximum temperatures was
found at Dunhua meteorological station (Fig. 5). The sampled site was
located at a border zone between Jilin and Heilongjiang provinces, further
north than Changbai Mountain. Meanwhile, some differences in the
reconstructed temperature series were explained reasonably well from the
comparison with analogous regions. Consequently, these findings could reveal
more characteristics of regional climate variations and provide reliable
data for larger-scale climate reconstructions in northeast China.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS4">
  <title>Detection of northeast-wide cold damage or frost disaster
events</title>
      <p>As the minimum temperature approached or fell below the freezing point, it
may have limited biological activity and growth. Therefore, years with low temperatures
were often accompanied by cold damage or severe frost events. The evidence
from historical documents (Sun  et al., 2007) showed that cold damage or frost
disaster events have occurred in Heilongjiang Province since 1675 (Table 5).
Extremely cold damage or frost disaster events were in good agreement with
eight low-temperature years (1675, 1682, 1689, 1699, 1730, 1748, 1812, and
1885 in Fig. 6b and Table 4) in reconstructed April–July MMT series during
the 1600s–1800s. At the beginning of 20th century, three severe frost
periods occurred in the periods 1909–1918, 1934–1945, and 1956–1972 in
Heilongjiang Province (Sun  et al., 2007) and were represented in our
reconstruction (Fig. 6b and Table 4). In addition, other low-temperature
years in our reconstruction corresponded to extreme frost disaster events
occurred in the periods 1902–1903, 1912–1914, 1920, 1932, 1934–1936,
1940, 1947, 1956–1961, 1964–1965, 1967, and 1969 (Fig. 6b and Table 4).
The results revealed that 27 of the 30 cold damage or frost disaster events
corresponded to the April–July MMT lower than the 27-year moving average,
while the remaining three events corresponded to higher than April–July MMT
values. In contrast, we found a decreasing trend in the annual extreme low-temperature frequency and cold damage or severe frost events with the
warming since the 1980s. In summary, the reconstructed April–July MMT on
Laobai Mountain strongly revealed the cold damage or frost disaster events
in the past 414 years.</p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4" sec-type="conclusions">
  <title>Conclusions</title>
      <p>A significant positive correlation between the tree-ring width of Korean pine
and the April–July MMT was found on Laobai Mountain, northeast China, and
the April–July MMT was reconstructed for the past 414 years (1600–2013).
The reconstructed and instrumental temperature series exhibited coherence
over the common periods. The reconstructed series showed interannual to
multidecadal temperature variations over the past 414 years. The cold and warm
periods of the reconstructed minimum temperature record were also observed
in historical documents and several proxy temperature records in northeast
China. The most notable feature of the reconstructed series was obviously a rapid warming trend since the 1980s, which was also confirmed by other
reconstructed temperature series. Additionally, the correspondence between
the low-temperature years and the historical cold damage or severe frost
events demonstrated the potential relationship between April and July MMT and
extreme cold events. This temperature record may provide new and valuable
information for the longest temperature variation period in northeast
China.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5">
  <title>Data availability</title>
      <p>The April–July minimum reconstruction on Laobai Mountain will be available
in the Supplement of the original publication
(<uri>http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/data-access/paleoclimatology-data/datasets/tree-ring</uri>)
and all the data published in this study are available for noncommercial
scientific purposes.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><app-group>
        <supplementary-material position="anchor"><p><bold>The Supplement related to this article is available online at <inline-supplementary-material xlink:href="http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-1879-2016-supplement" xlink:title="pdf">doi:10.5194/cp-12-1879-2016-supplement</inline-supplementary-material>.</bold></p></supplementary-material>
        </app-group><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p>This research was supported by the National Natural
Science Foundation of China (nos. 41471168 and 31370463), the Key Project of
the Special Focus on “Global Change and Mitigation” of the China National
Key Research and Development Plan (2016YFA0600800), the Program for
Changjiang Scholars and Innovative Research Team in University (IRT-15R09),
and the Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University
(NCET-12-0810). We greatly appreciate the three anonymous referees for their
constructive and helpful comments in revising and improving our manuscript a
lot. We thank the staff of Laobai Mountain Forestry Bureaus for their
assistance in the field. Meanwhile, we greatly appreciate Neil Pederson at
Harvard Forest, Harvard University, for his assistance in English-language editing of parts of
the paper.
<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?><?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
Edited by: J. Guiot <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
Reviewed by: three anonymous referees</p></ack><ref-list>
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    </app></app-group></back>
    <!--<article-title-html>A 414-year tree-ring-based April–July minimum temperature reconstruction and
its implications for the extreme climate events, northeast China</article-title-html>
<abstract-html><p class="p">A ring-width series was used as a proxy to reconstruct
the past 414-year record of April–July minimum temperature at Laobai
Mountain, northeast China. The chronology was built using standard tree-ring
procedures for providing comparable information in this area while
preserving low-frequency signals. By analyzing the relationship between the
tree-ring chronology of Korean pine (<i>Pinus koraiensis</i>)  and  meteorological data, we found that
the standard chronology was significantly correlated with the April–July
minimum temperature (<i>r</i> =  0.757, <i>p</i> &lt; 0.01). Therefore, the April–July
minimum temperature since 1600 (more than six trees, but the expressed population signal (EPS) is greater than
0.85 since 1660) was reconstructed by this tree-ring series. The
reconstruction equation accounted for 57.3 % of temperature variation, and
it was proved reliable by testing with several methods (e.g., sign test,
product mean test, reduction of the error, and coefficient of efficiency).
Reconstructed April–July minimum temperature on Laobai Mountain showed six
major cold periods (1605–1616, 1645–1677, 1684–1691, 1911–1924,
1930–1942, and 1951–1969) and seven major warm periods (1767–1785,
1787–1793, 1795–1807, 1819–1826, 1838–1848, 1856–1873, and 1991–2008)
during the past 414 years. The reconstructed low-temperature periods in the
17th and early 18th century were consistent with the Little Ice
Age (LIA) in the Northern Hemisphere, and the rate of warming in the
19th century was significantly slower than that in the late 20th
century. In addition, the reconstructed series was fairly consistent with
the historical and natural disaster records of extreme climate events (e.g.,
cold damage and frost disaster) in this area. This temperature record
provides new evidence of past climate variability, and can be used to
predict the climate trend in the future in northeast China.</p></abstract-html>
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influence on north Atlantic climate during the Holocene, Science, 294,
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